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St Louis Fed Discloses More Free Money: A Carry Trade in Liquidity
St Louis Fed Discloses More Free Money: A Carry Trade in Liquidity Not only do banks earn free money on excess reserves, they can borrow money and make guaranteed free money on that. The Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis discusses the Carry Trade in Liquidity. The IOER [interest on excess reserves] has been the […]
WTI Crude Slides Back Into Red For 2016 As The Fed And Oil Remain On Unsustainable Paths
WTI Crude Slides Back Into Red For 2016 As The Fed And Oil Remain On Unsustainable Paths Oil prices have increased 50 percent since the lows exhibited earlier this year, a rise that is largely linked to the positive market reaction to the OPEC output freeze. But WTI Crude has given up all its early […]
A Contagious Crisis Of Confidence In Corporate Credit
A Contagious Crisis Of Confidence In Corporate Credit Credit is not innately good or bad. Simplistically, productive Credit is constructive, while non-productive Credit is inevitably problematic. This crucial distinction tends to be masked throughout the boom period. Worse yet, a prolonged boom in “productive” Credit – surely fueled by some type of underlying monetary disorder – can […]
“The Fed Suspended The Laws Of The Market In Order To Save It” – What Happens Next
“The Fed Suspended The Laws Of The Market In Order To Save It” – What Happens Next That the Fed has been boxed in by unleashing destructive monetary policies to “fix” decades of prior policy mistakes, is something we have been warning about since our first day. And, with every passing day that the Fed […]
How Much Higher Can The U.S. Dollar Go?
How Much Higher Can The U.S. Dollar Go? And what will the implications be? megainarmy/Shutterstock Let’s start our examination of the U.S. dollar (USD) by recalling the chart from my August 2014 essay, Why the Dollar Could Strengthen—A Lot. At that point, the USD had moved modestly off its lows, and had yet to challenge long-term […]
The Numbers Are In: China Dumps A Record $94 Billion In US Treasurys In One Month
The Numbers Are In: China Dumps A Record $94 Billion In US Treasurys In One Month Shortly after the PBoC’s move to devalue the yuan, we noted with some alarm that it looked as though China may have drawn down its reserves by more than $100 billion in the space of just two weeks. That, we went on […]
How China Cornered The Fed With Its “Worst Case” Capital Outflow Countdown
How China Cornered The Fed With Its “Worst Case” Capital Outflow Countdown Last week, in “What China’s Treasury Liquidation Means: $1 Trillion QE In Reverse,” we took a look at the potential size of the RMB carry trade, noting that according to BofAML, the unwind could, in the worst case scenario, be somewhere on the […]
Why QE4 Is Inevitable
Why QE4 Is Inevitable One narrative we’ve pushed quite hard this week is the idea that China’s persistent FX interventions in support of the yuan are costing the PBoC dearly in terms of reserves. Of course this week’s posts hardly represent the first time we’ve touched on the issue of FX reserve liquidation and its […]
