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The Role of Shadow Banking in the Business Cycle
THE ROLE OF SHADOW BANKING IN THE BUSINESS CYCLE 1The process of lending and the uninterrupted flow of credit to the real economy no longer rely only on banks, but on a process that spans a network of banks, broker-dealers, asset managers, and shadow banks funded through wholesale funding and capital markets globally. – Pozsaret […]
China Furious After US Launches Trade War “Nuke” With 522% Duty
China Furious After US Launches Trade War “Nuke” With 522% Duty Now that China’s brief infatuation with “rationalizing” excess capacity in its massively glutted (and insolvent) steel sector is over after lasting all of 2-3 months, China is back to doing what it did in late 2015 (and what it has always done) when as […]
Bernanke’s Former Advisor: “People Would Be Stunned To Know The Extent To Which The Fed Is Privately Owned”
Bernanke’s Former Advisor: “People Would Be Stunned To Know The Extent To Which The Fed Is Privately Owned” With every passing day, the Fed is slowly but surely losing the game. Only it is not just former (and in some cases current) Fed presidents admitting central banks are increasingly powerless to boost the global economy, even […]
The “Terrifying Prospect” Of A Triumph Of Politics Over Economics
The “Terrifying Prospect” Of A Triumph Of Politics Over Economics The Triumph of Politics All of life’s odds aren’t 3:2, but that’s how you’re supposed to bet, or so they say. They are not saying that so much anymore, or saying that history rhymes, or that nothing’s new under the sun. More and more theys seem […]
The Global Run On Physical Cash Has Begun: Why It Pays To Panic First
The Global Run On Physical Cash Has Begun: Why It Pays To Panic First Back in August 2012, when negative interest rates were still merely viewed as sheer monetary lunacy instead of pervasive global monetary reality that has pushed over $6 trillion in global bonds into negative yield territory, the NY Fed mused hypothetically about […]
G-20 Needs To “Man Up” Or Risk Sparking Market Chaos, Citi Warns
G-20 Needs To “Man Up” Or Risk Sparking Market Chaos, Citi Warns Two days ago, the man who now signs your Federal Reserve notes threw cold water on hopes for a so-called “Shanghai Accord.” Over the past month or so, anticipation has built among market participants for some manner of coordinated policy response at this weekend’s G20 summit […]
Deutsche Bank Is Scared: “What Needs To Be Done” In Its Own Words
Deutsche Bank Is Scared: “What Needs To Be Done” In Its Own Words It all started in mid/late 2014, when the first whispers of a Fed rate hike emerged, which in turn led to relentless increase in the value of the US dollar and the plunge in the price of oil and all commodities, unleashing […]
The Spook In the Casino—–Recession Just Ahead, Part 1
The Spook In the Casino—–Recession Just Ahead, Part 1 The wise guys keep buying the dips owing to the simple proposition that there is never a lasting bear market without a recession. So after today’s blow-out we are likely to get another call to scoop up the “bargains” because the correction has run its course and […]
Negative Interest Rates Already In Fed’s Official Scenario
Negative Interest Rates Already In Fed’s Official Scenario Over the past year, and certainly in the aftermath of the BOJ’s both perplexing and stunning announcement (as it revealed the central banks’ level of sheer desperation), we have warned (most recently “Negative Rates In The U.S. Are Next: Here’s Why In One Chart”) that next in […]
Nigerian Currency Collapses After Central Bank Halts Dollar Sales To Stall “Hyperinflation Monster”
Nigerian Currency Collapses After Central Bank Halts Dollar Sales To Stall “Hyperinflation Monster” Having told banks and investors “don’t panic” in September, amid spiking interbank lending rates and surging default/devaluation risks, it appears the massive shortage of dollars that we warned about in December has washed tsunami-like ashore in oil-producing Nigeria. Following the Central bank’s decision this week to halt […]
Oil Bankruptcies Hit Highest Level Since Crisis And There’s “More To Come”, Fed Warns
Oil Bankruptcies Hit Highest Level Since Crisis And There’s “More To Come”, Fed Warns “Two things become clear in an analysis of the financial health of US hydrocarbon production: 1) the sector is not at all homogenous, exhibiting a range of financial health; 2) some of the sector indeed looks exposed to distress [and] lifelines […]
Saudis Poke The Russian Bear, Start Oil War In Eastern Europe
Saudis Poke The Russian Bear, Start Oil War In Eastern Europe Any weakening of Russian support for Mr. Assad could be one of the first signs that the recent tumult in the oil market is having an impact on global statecraft. Saudi officials have said publicly that the price of oil reflects only global supply […]
