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A Pyrrhic End to 130 Years of Vicious Bad Money and Banking Crises

April 23, 2023

A Pyrrhic End to 130 Years of Vicious Bad Money and Banking CrisesThe original vicious circle starts with inflationary interventions in an up-to-then well-anchored monetary regime. Consequent asset inflation spawns a banking crisis. That leads to the installation of anticrisis safety structures (one illustration is a novel or enhanced lender of last resort). Alongside a […]

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What Will It Take to Get the Public to Embrace Sound Money?

January 18, 2020

What Will It Take to Get the Public to Embrace Sound Money?  In the last decade, the combination of virulent asset price inflation and low reported consumer price inflation crippled sound money as a political force in the US and globally. In the new decade, a different balance between monetary inflation’s “terrible twins” — asset […]

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The Fed’s Dangerous Game: A Fourth Round of Stimulus in a Single Growth Cycle

July 27, 2019

The Fed’s Dangerous Game: A Fourth Round of Stimulus in a Single Growth Cycle The longer the signals in capital markets go haywire under the influence of “monetary stimulus,” the bigger is the cumulative economic cost. That is one big reason why this fourth Fed stimulus — in the present already-longest (but lowest-growth) of super-long […]

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How Asset Inflation Will End — This Time

March 16, 2019

How Asset Inflation Will End — This Time Life after death for asset inflation: this is what happens when “speculative fever” remains high even after monetary inflation has paused. This may well have been the situation in global markets during 2019 so far. But history and principle suggest that life after death in this monetary […]

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The Depression of 2019-2021?

December 30, 2018

The Depression of 2019-2021? The profound question which transcends all this day-to-day market drama over the holidays is the nature of the economic slowdown now occurring globally. This slowdown can be seen both inside and outside the US. In reviewing the laboratory of history — especially those experiments featuring severe asset inflation, unaccompanied by high […]

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How a Fragile Euro May Not Survive the Next Crisis

November 25, 2018

How a Fragile Euro May Not Survive the Next Crisis A big US monetary inflation bang brought the euro into existence. Here’s a prediction: It’s death will occur in response to a different type of US monetary bang — the sudden emergence of a “deflationary interlude.” And this could come sooner than many expect. The […]

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Can Yellen Keep the Boom Going?

March 9, 2017

CAN YELLEN KEEP THE BOOM GOING? Yellen, like notorious previous Fed chiefs including Strong, Martin, and Greenspan, can now claim success in having prolonged and strengthened an asset price inflation which otherwise may well have been about to enter its severe end phase. If history is any guide, the result of that success is to […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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