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The Biggest Stock Market Crashes Tend to Happen in October
The Biggest Stock Market Crashes Tend to Happen in October October is the Most Dangerous Month The prospect of steep market declines worries investors – and the month of October has a particularly bad reputation in this respect. Bad juju month: Statistically, October is actually not the worst month on average – but it is […]
21st Century Shoe-Shine Boys
21st Century Shoe-Shine Boys Anecdotal Flags are Waved “If a shoeshine boy can predict where this market is going to go, then it’s no place for a man with a lot of money to lose.” – Joseph Kennedy It is actually a true story as far as we know – Joseph Kennedy, by all accounts […]
India: Cash is Back
India: Cash is Back But the Crisis has Deepened and has Become More Entrenched (Part XIV) Nobody for President On 17th July 2017, India will elect a new President through a vote of the elected representatives. The two real choices are between Ram Nath Kovind and Meira Kumar. Afraid of looking completely ignorant, I asked […]
Pulling Levers to Steer the Machine
Pulling Levers to Steer the Machine Ticks on a Dog A brief comment on Fed chief Janet Yellen’s revealing speech at the University of Michigan. Bloomberg: “Before, we had to press down on the gas pedal trying to give the economy all of the oomph that we possibly could,” Yellen said Monday in Ann Arbor, […]
The Fed’s Doomsday Device
The Fed’s Doomsday Device Bezzle BALTIMORE – Barron’s, in a lather, says the market is facing the “Two Horsemen of the Apocalypse.” Huh? Only two? There were four last time! Supposedly, the so-called Brexit – the vote in Britain this Thursday on whether to leave or remain in the European Union (EU) – and uncertainty […]
Janet Yellen’s $200-Trillion Debt Problem
Janet Yellen’s $200-Trillion Debt Problem Blame “Brexit” BALTIMORE – The U.S. stock market broke its losing streak on Thursday [and even more so on Monday, ed.]. After five straight losing sessions, the Dow eked out a 92-point gain. The financial media didn’t know what to say about it. So, we ended up with the typical […]
Kuroda-San in the Mouth of Madness
Kuroda-San in the Mouth of Madness Deluded Central Planners Zerohedge recently reported on an interview given by Lithuanian ECB council member Vitas Vasiliauskas, which demonstrates how utterly deluded the central planners in the so-called “capitalist” economies of the West have become. His statements are nothing short of bizarre (“we are magic guys!”) – although he is […]
Deficit Spending is Not the Answer
Deficit Spending is Not the Answer The Growing Chorus for Fiscal Stimulus Central bankers and monetary adherents the world over are united in the common grouse that fiscal policy is lacking. Grander programs of direct stimulation are needed, they grumble. Monetary policy alone won’t cut the mustard, they gripe. Global debt-to-GDP ratios (excl. financial debt). […]
No Courage, Feckless Experiments and the Deep State
No Courage, Feckless Experiments and the Deep State Hosannas and Hat-Tipping Today’s post is about you dear reader… and the world you live in. That world got notice last week that henceforth short-term interest rates would be more than zilch. From all over the planet came hosannas and hat-tipping. Some commentators congratulated the Yellen Fed […]
Junk Bonds Under Pressure
Junk Bonds Under Pressure While the Stock Market is Partying … There are seemingly always “good reasons” why troubles in a sector of the credit markets are supposed to be ignored – or so people are telling us, every single time. Readers may recall how the developing problems in the sub-prime sector of the mortgage […]
The End of the World Has Already Begun
The End of the World Has Already Begun Disappearing Growth Nothing much to report from the stock market yesterday. Investors are regaining their calm. A few weeks ago, it looked as though the end of the world had begun. We are talking, of course, about the world in which credit, stocks, and central bank reputations […]
Europe’s Banks – Insolvent Zombies
Europe’s Banks – Insolvent Zombies The Walking Dead Now that Europe’s fractionally reserved banking system has been regulated into complete inertia, it is a good time to assess the current bottom line, so to speak. We should mention here that there are essentially two ways of dealing with the banking system. One is to introduce […]
The Case for Outlawing Cash
The Case for Outlawing Cash Losing Confidence GUALFIN, Argentina – September is here. As expected, market volatility is increasing. The Great Zombie War is intensifying. And investors are getting scared. On Tuesday, the Dow lost 470 points – a nearly 3% drop. Bloomberg: “U.S. stocks joined a worldwide sell-off, after equities’ worst month in more […]
Jackson Hole – Meeting of the Physics Envy Brigade
Jackson Hole – Meeting of the Physics Envy Brigade Planners Meet to Discuss the Impossible The Jackson Hole pow-wow takes place this weekend. A more revolting get-together of actual and armchair central planners (i.e., the advisors to the planners, many of whom see themselves as planners-in-waiting) could hardly be imagined. One has to wonder how […]
