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As We Enter 2017, Keep The Big Picture In Mind

As We Enter 2017, Keep The Big Picture In Mind The new era of adjustment has only just begun  A big, gigantic, heart-felt Thank You! to everyone who supported this website and our activities in 2016! Really. Thank you. We did a lot of great things in 2016 in terms of reaching new audiences and extending our message […]

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2016 A Year in Review

2016 A Year in Review “The easiest thing to do on earth is not write.” ~William Goldman, novelist I never would have believed it—not in a million years—but it happened: the Cubs won the World Series, and The Donald is our new president. Every December, I write a Year in Review1 that’s first posted on Chris […]

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The World Is Turning Ugly As 2016 Winds Down

The World Is Turning Ugly As 2016 Winds Down I have to say that the negative reverberations in our current economic and political environment are becoming so strong that it is impossible for people to not feel at least some uneasiness in their gut. I imagine this is the same kind of sensation many felt […]

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War Is Coming And The Global Financial Situation Is A Lot Worse Than You May Think

War Is Coming And The Global Financial Situation Is A Lot Worse Than You May Think On the surface, things seem pretty quiet in mid-July 2016.  The biggest news stories are about the speculation surrounding Donald Trump’s choice of running mate, the stock market in the U.S. keeps setting new all-time record highs, and the media […]

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Rio Declares State Of “Public Calamity”, Warns Of Total Collapse In Security, Health And Transport

Rio Declares State Of “Public Calamity”, Warns Of Total Collapse In Security, Health And Transport Earlier today, the IAAF announced that Russian track and field athletes would be banned from the Rio Oympics due to allegations of systematic doping. Rune Andersen, who heads the IAAF task force overseeing Russia’s attempts to reform, said that a “deep-seated culture […]

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‘Central banks can do nothing’: Jakobsen

‘Central banks can do nothing’: Jakobsen 2016 has seen a popular reaction against zero-bound policies Political elites are struggling to preserve an unfruitful status quo ‘The world has become elitist in every way’: Jakobsen Political middle has become crowded, stagnant; new spectrum of ideas needed Investment in education and research needed; zero rates are a […]

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Political Change in 2020 or 2016

Political Change in 2020 or 2016  QUESTION: Dear Marty, We are heading straight into the hurricane, and as you correctly say, there is no way of reversing the trend. At this point, should Hillary (or Cruz for that matter) win the elections, she would have to face and preside over the coming inevitable crash and […]

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2016, The Year Of The Red Monkey: Expect Wild, Unending Volatility

2016, The Year Of The Red Monkey: Expect Wild, Unending Volatility The past 25 years of “growth” and brief recessions may not be a good guide to the next few years. In the lunar calendar that started February 8, this is the Year of the Red Monkey. I found this description of the Red Monkey […]

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Trump Rallies Reveal Increased Tensions Among Americans As This Nation Plunges Toward Civil Unrest

Trump Rallies Reveal Increased Tensions Among Americans As This Nation Plunges Toward Civil Unrest America is coming apart at the seams, and Trump rallies have become the latest flashpoint for the rising tide of civil unrest that is sweeping the nation.  For years, I have been writing about the increasing levels of anger and frustration […]

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This Time Is Different!

This Time Is Different!  Experts Agree: It Is Not 2008 If someone were to ask us what year it was, we would probably politely answer that it was 2016, curious to find out whether the inquirer was a) very confused, b) had only recently awoken from a coma and was still unsure of his when-abouts, or c) […]

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The IEA’s Oil Production Predictions for 2016

The IEA’s Oil Production Predictions for 2016 The IEA Oil Market Report, full issue, is now available to the public. Some interesting observations: Non-OPEC oil supplies are nevertheless seen sharply lower in December. Overall supplies are estimated to have slipped by more than 0.6 mb/d from the month prior, to 57.4 mb/d. A seasonal decline in […]

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Why We Won’t Have a “Lehman Moment” in the 2016 Crash

Why We Won’t Have a “Lehman Moment” in the 2016 Crash What the central banks cannot do is create productive places to invest the credit they’ve generated in such excess, or force qualified borrowers to swallow more unproductive debt. One way to lose a war is to focus on preparing to fight the last war. Preparing […]

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Retail Apocalypse: 2016 Brings Empty Shelves And Store Closings All Across America

Retail Apocalypse: 2016 Brings Empty Shelves And Store Closings All Across America Major retailers in the United States are shutting down hundreds of stores, and shoppers are reporting alarmingly bare shelves in many retail locations that are still open all over the country.  It appears that the retail apocalypse that made so many headlines in […]

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2016 Market Meltdown: We Have Never Seen A Year Start Quite Like This…

2016 Market Meltdown: We Have Never Seen A Year Start Quite Like This… We are about three weeks into 2016, and we are witnessing things that we have never seen before.  There were two emergency market shutdowns in China within the first four trading days of this year, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has never […]

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Energy round-up: six predictions for 2016

Energy round-up: six predictions for 2016 Photo credit:   James Russell 2015 proved to be an interesting year for energy and climate issues both globally and in the UK. Will 2016 hold more of the same? Forecasting is a dangerous business, but here are six predictions you should keep an eye on. 1) The showdown on oil prices between […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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