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Italian Bond Market Crisis Coming Up
Italian Bond Market Crisis Coming Up Italy’s 10-Year bond yield surged around the Italian election. There’s heavy issuance in Sept and ECB tapering in Oct. The yield on Italian bonds surged in May on the victory of the League- and Five Star in the national election. The alliance does not intend to follow EU budget […]
“That’s a Super Dangerous Place to Be”: CEO of JPMorgan Asset Management
“That’s a Super Dangerous Place to Be”: CEO of JPMorgan Asset Management When central banks distort the markets, risk disappears from view. “You could have a bunch of walking-zombie companies and you don’t even know it,” explained Mary Callahan Erdoes, CEO of JPMorgan Asset Management, on Wednesday at the Delivering Alpha Conference in New York. […]
China Launches Quasi QE To Support Banks And Sliding Bond Market
China Launches Quasi QE To Support Banks And Sliding Bond Market With the ECB’s QE coming to an end at the end of the year (absent some shock to the market or economy), some traders have already been voicing concerns which central bank will step in and provide a backstop to the global fixed income […]
Eurointelligence Displays Stunning Ignorance Regarding Target2
Eurointelligence Displays Stunning Ignorance Regarding Target2 On two recent days, Eurointellence made stunningly bad comments about the escalating capital flight from Italy. The latest Target2 Chart from the ECB is from May. Newer totals are available in some individual countries. Debtors, primarily Italy and Spain, now owe Germany close to €1 trillion. Realistically, this money […]
Italian debt; a financial disaster waiting to happen
Italian debt; a financial disaster waiting to happen The new Italian government will increase public spending and public debt. It promised to reduce taxes, introduce basic security and reform pensions. Italy’s Northern League’s leader Mateo Salvini surged in the polls and the party is now the strongest in Italy. A couple of years ago it […]
Emerging Market Crisis Spreads To The Core, Central Banks Face Catch-22
Emerging Market Crisis Spreads To The Core, Central Banks Face Catch-22 One of the things giving “data-driven” central banks wiggle room on their pledge to tighten monetary policy is the fact that there are several definitions of inflation. In the US the thing most people think of as inflation is the consumer price index, or […]
Ike was right!
Ike was right! POITOU, FRANCE – We wait for the world to fall apart. The Dow is still more than 1,000 points below its high; so we presume the primary trend is down. Treasury yields – on the 10-year note – are near 3%… twice what they were two years ago. So we presume the […]
Watch Live: The World’s Top 3 Central Bankers Discuss What’s Next
Watch Live: The World’s Top 3 Central Bankers Discuss What’s Next Update: Powell has maintained his hawkish tone from last week’s press conference with his comments in Sintra on the labor market and monetary policy. He expressed confidence in the US economy and said “the case for continued gradual rate hikes is strong.” According to […]
Is Draghi Really Ending QE?
Is Draghi Really Ending QE? Mario Draghi said the euro-area economy is strong enough to overcome increased risk, and therefore this justifies the European Central Bank’s decision to end bond purchases bringing to an end a decade-long failed experiment. The truth behind this statement is starkly different than being portrayed in the press. Draghi also pledged […]
Weekly Commentary: The Great Fallacy
Weekly Commentary: The Great Fallacy A big week in the world of monetary management: The Federal Reserve raised rates 25 bps, the ECB announced plans to wind down its historic QE program, and the Bank of Japan clung to its “powerful monetary easing” inflationist scheme. A tense People’s Bank of China left rate policy unchanged, […]
A Hard Rain’s a-Gonna Fall
A Hard Rain’s a-Gonna Fall The prospects for the rest of the year are awful Après moi, le déluge ~ King Louis XV of France A hard rain’s a-gonna fall ~ Bob Dylan (the first) As the Federal Reserve kicked off its second round of quantitative easing in the aftermath of the Great Financial Crisis, hedge fund […]
Free Money Calculation: Fed Will Give $36.93 Billion of Taxpayer Money to Banks
Free Money Calculation: Fed Will Give $36.93 Billion of Taxpayer Money to Banks The Fed upped the interest it pays on excess reserves to 1.95% today. This is free money (taxpayer funded) to banks. The Fed bumped up the interest it pays on excess reserves today to 1.95%. Currently, excess reserves sit at $1.894 trillion. […]
The Eurozone’s Coming Debt Crisis
The Eurozone’s Coming Debt Crisis The European Central bank has signaled the end of its asset purchase program and a possible rate hike before 2019. After more than 2 trillion euro of purchases and zero interest rate policy, it is overdue. The massive quantitative easing program has generated very significant imbalances and the risks outweigh […]
Breslow: “If You Ever Needed Proof That Central Banks Have Crushed These Markets, There You Have It”
Breslow: “If You Ever Needed Proof That Central Banks Have Crushed These Markets, There You Have It” It’s been a while since we featured the grouchy version of Richard Breslow, Bloomberg’s “Trader’s Notes” author, who is back with a bang with his latest missive, explaining why “Ignoring Current Events Just Makes You a Slave” and […]
ECB & Bonds – People Believe What They Want to Believe
ECB & Bonds – People Believe What They Want to Believe QUESTION: the ECB is arguing that given the low free float of EU bonds (especially German), bonds not owned by the ECB or other central banks, the impact of an end to APP purchases will be nowhere comparable to the tapering sell-off in the US […]
