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“Perverse, Unpredictable Effects” of Negative Interest Rates: Mortgage Rates Soar in Switzerland
“Perverse, Unpredictable Effects” of Negative Interest Rates: Mortgage Rates Soar in Switzerland The unintended consequences of NIRP. Negative interest rates – called “punishment interest” in Germany – have morphed from sheer impossibility to solid reality in Europe. Having seen how they work, the Bank of Canada has invoked them now, and Fed Chair Janet Yellen, has put them “on the […]
The Next Domino: CANADA
The Next Domino: CANADA The Federal Reserve has kept its zero interest rate policy (‘ZIRP’) for several years (and much longer than originally anticipated) whilst the European Central Bank seems to be getting serious about doing ‘better’ and has now reduced the deposit rate at the ECB to -0.30%. It’s already remarkable a central bank doesn’t seem […]
Stephen Poloz Considers Negative Interest Rates
Stephen Poloz Considers Negative Interest Rates Price controls on interest rates are the latest fad. A 100-year-trend that’s picked up steam in the last 15 years, where central banks have been confident enough to blatantly ignore the supply and demand for loans and keep rates as low as possible. How low can you go? For […]
Swiss Bank “Goes There”, Applies Negative Rates To Retail Deposits
Swiss Bank “Goes There”, Applies Negative Rates To Retail Deposits Back in September in “How Mario Draghi Can Force The Swiss National Bank To Go ‘Nuclear On Depositors,” we discussed the implications of the ECB’s (likely) decision to plunge further into NIRP-dom at the bank’s December meeting. In short, DM central banks – with the […]
Hang Onto Your Wallets: Negative Interest, the War on Cash, and the $10 Trillion Bail-in
Hang Onto Your Wallets: Negative Interest, the War on Cash, and the $10 Trillion Bail-in In uncertain times, “cash is king,” but central bankers are systematically moving to eliminate that option. Is it really about stimulating the economy? Or is there some deeper, darker threat afoot? Remember those old ads showing a senior couple lounging on […]
The Mad Euro Project Just Got A Lot Madder
The Mad Euro Project Just Got A Lot Madder Feeding a Monstrous Pile of Debt. Under Mario Draghi’s radical stewardship, the ECB seems determined to push the limits of monetary experimentation. And by all accounts, it’s succeeding. This week saw numerous eurozone governments sell bonds at negative rates, an economic anomaly that has no place […]
They’re coming for your cash
They’re coming for your cash It might sound like a conspiracy theory spun by right-wing crazies. But judging by the increasing desperation of governments to reboot the world economy, it just might happen. “It” is the recall or confiscation of cash, i.e., dollars, euros, pounds, etc., in physical form. And a key justification that those […]
Global Trade (Still) In Freefall: Imports Collapse At Largest Three US Ports
Global Trade (Still) In Freefall: Imports Collapse At Largest Three US Ports We’ve said it before and we’ll say it again: global growth and trade are grinding to a halt. Back in September, we flagged comments from WTO chief economist Robert Koopman who warned that after a “burst of globalization”, we are now “at a point of […]
Time to Keep Your Cash in the Microwave?
Time to Keep Your Cash in the Microwave? The Fed’s Big Pivot NORMANDY, France – “Now, I think I’ve seen everything” is an expression that – like “this is the end of history” and “I’ll never leave you” – usually turns out to be premature. But it is what we found ourselves saying yesterday. Not […]
Moneyweek: Hands Off Our Cash Petition
Moneyweek: Hands Off Our Cash Petition Andy Haldane recently floated the idea of abolishing cash so that radical monetary policy like negative interest rates can be implemented. You can sign the Moneyweek petition against this here: http://moneyweek.com/wp/hands-off-our-cash-petition Whereas the Bank of England’s Chief Economist Andrew Haldane announced on 18th September 2015 his intention to abolish use of cash in […]
The Mindless Stupidity of Negative Interest Rates
The Mindless Stupidity of Negative Interest Rates Here we are in the midst of The Great Stagnation Middle Class Elimination and some central bankers and mainstream economists are promoting negative interest rates. One economist was quoted in a Marketwatch piece by Greg Robb as saying, “…pushing rates into negative territory works in many ways just like […]
Why NIRP may trump QE4
Why NIRP may trump QE4 The Fed unsurprisingly chickened out from the much touted September hike. International conditions and a disapproval from Mr. Market was enough to unnerve an increasingly bewildered FOMC board. Less well known is the fact that the FOMC gave a strong, and unexpected, signal to the Pavlovian world of central bank […]
From ZIRP to NIRP
From ZIRP to NIRP The sudden end of the Fed’s ambition to raise interest rates above the zero bound, coupled with the FOMC’s minutes, which expressed concerns about emerging market economies, has got financial scribblers writing about negative interest rate policies (NIRP). Coincidentally, Andrew Haldane, the chief economist at the Bank of England, published a […]
The Echo Bubble in Housing Is About to Pop
The Echo Bubble in Housing Is About to Pop And here’s the knife in the heart of the Echo Housing bubble: declining household income. The Federal Reserve-induced Echo Housing Bubble is finally starting to roll over, and the bubble’s pop won’t be pretty. Why is the bubble finally popping now? All the factors that inflated the […]
