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Sell The Bonds, Sell The Stocks, Sell The House —–Dread The Fed!

Sell The Bonds, Sell The Stocks, Sell The House —–Dread The Fed! There is going to be carnage in the casino, and the proof lies in the transcript of Janet Yellen’s press conference. She did not say one word about the real world; it was all about the hypothecated world embedded in the Fed’s tinker toy […]

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Doomsayers are wrong (so far) as U.S. Fed raises rates: Don Pittis

Doomsayers are wrong (so far) as U.S. Fed raises rates: Don Pittis Breaking the ice on frozen rates has calmed markets, not roiled them U.S. Federal Reserve chair Janet Yellen oozed confidence as she announced a hike in interest rates yesterday. Markets responded in kind. (Reuters) “Remember, we have very low rates and we’ve made […]

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Fedpocalypse Now?

Fedpocalypse Now? “Here’s another fine mess you’ve gotten me into….” — Oliver Hardy If ever such a thing was, the stage is set this Monday and Tuesday for a rush to the exits in financial markets as the world prepares for the US central bank to take one baby step out of the corner it’s […]

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Fed’s Rocket Ship Turns Hoverboard

Fed’s Rocket Ship Turns Hoverboard Over the past year, while the U.S. economy has continually missed expectations, Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen has assured all who could stay awake during her press conferences that it was strong enough to withstand tighter monetary policy. In delivering months of mildly tough talk (with nothing in the way […]

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December 16, 2015—–When The End Of The Bubble Begins

December 16, 2015—–When The End Of The Bubble Begins They are going to layer their post-meeting statement with a steaming pile of if, ands & buts. It will exude an abundance of caution and a dearth of clarity. Having judged that a 25 bps pinprick is warranted, the FOMC will then plant itself firmly in front of the great flickering dashboard in the […]

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The Trouble with the Future

The Trouble with the Future  Feeeeeelings PARIS – Yesterday, we got so much mail on our recent issue on Donald Trump we couldn’t read it all. Pro… con… off the wall – readers’ sentiments were all over the place. But a clever reader mercifully brought the discussion to an end with this quote from fellow Baltimorean H.L. Mencken: “As […]

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JP Morgan And Citigroup Agree That The U.S. Economy Is Steamrolling Toward A Recession

JP Morgan And Citigroup Agree That The U.S. Economy Is Steamrolling Toward A Recession As we approach the end of 2015, researchers at both JP Morgan and Citigroup agree that the probability that the U.S. economy will soon plunge into recession is rising.  Just last week, a member of the U.S. House of Representatives asked […]

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JP Morgan And Citigroup Agree That The U.S. Economy Is Steamrolling Toward A Recession

JP Morgan And Citigroup Agree That The U.S. Economy Is Steamrolling Toward A Recession As we approach the end of 2015, researchers at both JP Morgan and Citigroup agree that the probability that the U.S. economy will soon plunge into recession is rising.  Just last week, a member of the U.S. House of Representatives asked […]

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It Begins: Desperate Finland Set To Unleash Helicopter Money Drop To All Citizens

It Begins: Desperate Finland Set To Unleash Helicopter Money Drop To All Citizens With Citi’s chief economist proclaiming “only helicopter money can save the world now,”and the Bank of England pre-empting paradropping money concerns, it appears that Australia’s largest investment bank’s forecast that money-drops were 12-18 months away was too conservative. Over the last few months, in a prime […]

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This Is What Happened The Last Time The Fed Hiked While The U.S. Was In Recession

This Is What Happened The Last Time The Fed Hiked While The U.S. Was In Recession Back on June 17, Bank of America started its 66-day countdown to the moment it was convinced the Fed would hike rates, September 17, 2015. We, correctly, said that “we disagree entirely” with BofA’s conclusion that the Fed would hike rates, and […]

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The FED v Bias & Prejudice

The FED v Bias & Prejudice COMMENT: If the Fed is so smart and understands the problem with low/negative interest rates, then why didn’t it hike rates in September?  Better yet, why didn’t they raise rates YEARS ago?  The Fed has kept rates near zero for seven years but now suddenly realizes that this is a […]

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Does the Bell Toll for the Fed?

Does the Bell Toll for the Fed? Last week Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen hinted that the Federal Reserve Board will increase interest rates at the board’s December meeting. The positive jobs report that was released following Yellen’s remarks caused many observers to say that the Federal Reserve’s first interest rate increase in almost a […]

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Yellen Tells Congress Negative Interest Rates Are Possible

Yellen Tells Congress Negative Interest Rates Are Possible Reuters has reported that Yellen told a House of Representatives committee when testifying before Congress: “Potentially anything – including negative interest rates – would be on the table. But we would have to study carefully how they would work here in the U.S. context.” Yellen may have been placating […]

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Dear Janet, Seriously!!

Dear Janet, Seriously!! The Fed’s confidence trick this week was, once again, the Keyser Soze gambit (via Beaudelaire)-  “convincing the world of Yellen’s hawkishness, when no such character trait exists.” However, unlike the movies, stocks and FX markets have already seen through the con, leaving Fed Funds futures alone to believe the hype. As we noted previously, “The Fed Can’t Raise […]

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One Trader Loses It Over Draghi And Yellen’s Lies

One Trader Loses It Over Draghi And Yellen’s Lies Epsilon Theory’s Ben Hunt is one of our favorite commentators and market analysts. He is a very rational, even-keeled and objective observer and trader of the capital markets, no matter how broken or centrally-planned they may be. Which is why we were disappointed to see that […]

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