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The House that Ben Built

The House that Ben Built Yes, this collapse does portend to be far worse than the last and it’s a very different type of financial collapse too. After credit markets froze in the subprime crash of 2008-2009 Ben Bernanke and the Fed conjured up a number of monetary tricks to keep the system afloat.  POMO, […]

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Fed Disaster: S&P Futures Crash, Halted Limit Down; Gold, Treasuries Soar After Historic Fed Panic

Fed Disaster: S&P Futures Crash, Halted Limit Down; Gold, Treasuries Soar After Historic Fed Panic The Fed may have a very big problem on its hands. After firing the biggest emergency “shock and awe” bazooka in Fed history, one which was meant to restore not just partial but full normalcy to asset and funding markets, Emini futures are […]

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The Collapse Of This Historic Correlation Suggests A Major Crisis Is Imminent

The Collapse Of This Historic Correlation Suggests A Major Crisis Is Imminent A lot of digital ink has been spilled in recent days over the perplexing reversal of the Yen, which for years was seen by the market as a “flight to safety” trade (as unexpected crisis events would prompt capital repatriation into Japan or […]

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Truth

Truth Every once in a while the truth shines through and we got a few doses of it today. Recently critics who suggested that the Fed’s QE policies artificially elevate asset prices were dismissed as QE conspiracists, but the truth is that central bank policies are directly responsible for the asset price levitations since early […]

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How the Fed Created a QE “Monster” for the Markets

How the Fed Created a QE “Monster” for the Markets Like Victor Frankenstein, the Fed may have created its own monster. It’s been called many things, such as Quantitative Easing (QE), QE Lite, QE/Not QE, “Organic” Balance Sheet Growth, and more. But no matter what you choose to call it, the bottom line is this: The Fed […]

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He Knows

He Knows Last week we found out that Dallas Fed president Kaplan knows that the Fed is creating excess and imbalances in stocks. Yes, bloating the Fed’s balance sheet by over $400B  in four months has a massive impact on stock markets. And billions of repo liquidity unleashed each day can be seen impacting the daily […]

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“Last Hurrah” for Central Bankers

“Last Hurrah” for Central Bankers We’ve all seen zombie movies where the good guys shoot the zombies but the zombies just keep coming because… they’re zombies! Market observers can’t be blamed for feeling the same way about former Fed Chair Ben Bernanke. Bernanke was Fed chair from 2006–2014 before handing over the gavel to Janet […]

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Global Financial System Is A Big Rube Goldberg Machine

Global Financial System Is A Big Rube Goldberg Machine While pondering the current economy that is becoming more of a conundrum every day, I stumbled upon an analogy I would like to share. The global economy is like a giant “Rube Goldberg” machine. It is a ridiculously complicated contraption built to perform what should normally be a […]

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Jim Bianco Says This Is QE, Like Y2K

Jim Bianco Says This Is QE, Like Y2K In contrast to Hussman, Jim Bianco, at Bianco Research says the Fed’s repo actions are QE.  Earlier today I posted, Hussman Sides with Powell: It’s Not QE4. If Hussman convinced you the Fed was not conducting QE, I will give you a chance to change your mind again. […]

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Economy Still Falling Off a Cliff – John Williams

Economy Still Falling Off a Cliff – John Williams Economist John Williams says don’t put too much faith in the good employment numbers that came out last week because “It’s not as happy of a picture as it looks.” Williams is the founder of ShadowStats.com. His calculations strip out government accounting gimmicks to give a […]

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Is A Global Crash Just Around The Corner? Central Banks Are Cutting At The Fastest Rate Since The Financial Crisis

Is A Global Crash Just Around The Corner? Central Banks Are Cutting At The Fastest Rate Since The Financial Crisis There is something very fishy about the world’s economic situation. On one hand, US president Trump keeps repeating that the US economy is the strongest it has ever been, with global strategists, economists and officials […]

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Trapped

Trapped What? You thought a 850+ point drop in the $DJIA would result in a down week? No Sir. The unholy alliance has struck again. Massive jawboning by multiple administration officials about how well the China trade deal was going, a favorable jobs report and above all, the US Federal Reserve, all contributed to a furious rally to […]

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What Happens After The Economic Momentum Ends?

What Happens After The Economic Momentum Ends? At Some Point We Have Simply Overbuilt! The economic landscape before us continues to look like something out of  “Alice And The Looking Glass”. A bizarre  and unrecognizable land, a land that is distorted and papered over by ream after ream of paper. For over a decade this […]

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The Phantom Mania

The Phantom Mania There’s nothing of substance underlying the current market melt-up Well, stocks are back at all-time highs. Ignited by the Fed’s “Not-QE” program and endless Trump administration teases of an “imminent” China deal, the S&P 500 has been propelled above its upward Bollinger band — a hyperextension only seen one other time since […]

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The Free Money Bubble Is About To Burst

The Free Money Bubble Is About To Burst Recently, there has been a parade of central bankers along with their lackeys on Wall Street coming on the financial news networks and desperately trying to convince investors that there are no bubbles extant in the world today. Indeed, the Fed sees no economic or market imbalances […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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