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Tag Archives: deflation
According To Albert Edwards, This Country Will Trigger The “Great Unwind”
According To Albert Edwards, This Country Will Trigger The “Great Unwind” For years, SocGen’s permabear Albert Edwards was best known for preaching the gospel of terminal deflation, having introduced the “Ice Age” concept some three decades ago to describe a world trending toward monetary paralysis and the failure of conventional economic policies as central banks […]
2017 Year In Review
Tortoon/Shutterstock 2017 Year In Review Markets fiddle while Rome burns Every year, friend-of-the-site David Collum writes a detailed “Year in Review” synopsis full of keen perspective and plenty of wit. This year’s is no exception. As with past years, he has graciously selected PeakProsperity.com as the site where it will be published in full. It’s quite longer than […]
Inflation v Deflation–State Finances
INFLATION V DEFLATION – STATE FINANCES There is a general belief, and that is all it is, that state finances fare better in an inflationary environment than a deflationary one. This perception arises from the transfer of wealth from lenders to the state through a devaluation of the currency, which occurs with monetary inflation, compared […]
Global Deflation Alert: Chinese Credit Creation Tumbles To 27 Month Low
Global Deflation Alert: Chinese Credit Creation Tumbles To 27 Month Low At the end of November, we showed a troubling observation for China – and global – macro watchers from Axiom’s Gordon Johnson: for the first time ever, record Chinese credit creation had failed to stimulate the economy, and in fact the exact opposite appeared […]
You’re Just Not Prepared For What’s Coming
You’re Just Not Prepared For What’s Coming Not even close I hate to break it to you, but chances are you’re just not prepared for what’s coming. Not even close. Don’t take it personally. I’m simply playing the odds. After spending more than a decade warning people all over the world about the futility of […]
Deflation Must Be Embraced
DEFLATION MUST BE EMBRACED There are two problems with understanding deflation: it is ill defined, and it has a bad name. This article puts deflation into its proper context. This is an important topic for advocates of gold as money, who will be aware that sound money, in theory, leads to lower prices over time […]
Central Bank Group Think: Convince the Public More Inflation is Coming
Central Bank Group Think: Convince the Public More Inflation is Coming Chicago Fed chief Charles Evans is worried about the lack of inflation primarily because he is clueless about where to find it. As further proof of his economic illiteracy, Evans says “Low inflation expectations keep inflation down”. Bloomberg reports Evans Says Fed Must Convince […]
For God’s Sake, Stop!
FOR GOD’S SAKE, STOP! “Most economists, it seems, believe strongly in their own superior intelligence and take themselves far too seriously. In his open letter of 22 July 2001 to Joseph Stiglitz, Kenneth Rogoff identified this problem. ‘One of my favourite stories from that era is a lunch with you and our former colleague, Carl […]
Dear Mario Draghi: About Your Victory Over Deflation Speech in March
Dear Mario Draghi: About Your Victory Over Deflation Speech in March In March, ECB President Mario Draghi declared victory over deflation. Let’s take a look at Eurozone inflation since his victory speech. On March 10, 2017, I reported ECB Declares Victory Over Deflation: Hallelujah! My lead-in comment was “ECB President Mario Draghi Declares Victory Over […]
Yellen Was Right: “Transitory” Factors of “Low” Inflation Are Reversing, with Much More to Come
Yellen Was Right: “Transitory” Factors of “Low” Inflation Are Reversing, with Much More to Come What’s Boiling Beneath the Surging Inflation? Consumers are going to shell out more money for the same stuff, that’s for sure. Inflation as measured by the Consumer Price Index jumped 2.2% in September compared to a year ago, the Bureau of […]
Why US Price Inflation Remains Relatively Subdued?
WHY US PRICE INFLATION REMAINS RELATIVELY SUBDUED? The yearly growth rate of the US consumer price index stood at 1.9% in August against 1.7% in July, while the growth rate of the price index less food and energy stood at 1.7% in August against a similar figure in July and 2.3% in August last year. […]
Japan’s “Deflationary Mindset” Grows As Household Cash Hordes Reach Record High
Japan’s “Deflationary Mindset” Grows As Household Cash Hordes Reach Record High After being force-fed more stimulus than John Belushi, and endless rounds of buying any and every asset that dares to expose any cracks in the potemkin village of fiat folly, Japan remains stuck firmly in what Abe feared so many years ago – a […]
“10-Year Treasury Yields Headed to Zero Percent” Saxo Bank CIO
“10-Year Treasury Yields Headed to Zero Percent” Saxo Bank CIO In his latest Email article, Steen Jakobsen, Saxo Bank Chief economist and CIO has a bold prediction about interest rates. With nearly everyone, even Janet Yellen at the Fed, predicting wage-induced inflation, Jakobsen makes a bold call in the opposite direction. This is a guest post […]
Why Oil Prices Can’t Bounce Very High; Expect Deflation Instead
Why Oil Prices Can’t Bounce Very High; Expect Deflation Instead Economists have given us a model of how prices and quantities of goods are supposed to interact. Figure 1. From Wikipedia: The price P of a product is determined by a balance between production at each price (supply S) and the desires of those with purchasing […]
