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It’s not only Mangaluru, but also Honnavar and Karwar, where the weather observatories have recorded abnormally high temperatures.(Picture only for representation)

It’s not only Mangaluru, but also Honnavar and Karwar, where the weather observatories have recorded abnormall… Read More

MANGALURU: The west coasthas been witnessing an abnormal increase in day temperature since past few days. On Wednesday, the evening temperature was 38.7 degree C for Mangaluru city, recorded at Panambur Weather Observatory, which is a seven degree C rise in the normal maximum. This, incidentally, is an all-time high record for the February month since Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) started recording temperatures for this region.

The previous high of 38.4 degree C was recorded on February 19 last year. The mean max for the month of February is 33.3 deg C. The day time temperatures have been on a high since February 12.

It’s not only Mangaluru, but also Honnavar and Karwar, where the weather observatories have recorded abnormally high temperatures. Karwar on Wednesday recorded 38.4 deg C, which is 6 deg C departure from the mean maximum for the February month. The all-time high for Karwar is 39.1 deg C recorded on February 21, 2009. Wednesday’s high was also once recorded on February 23, 2007, in Karwar.

Honnavar’s Wednesday’s temperature was 5 deg C higher than the mean maximum at 37.2 deg C. Honnavar’s all-time high is 38.6 deg C recorded on February 23, 1999. Another high of 38.5 deg C was recorded on February 21, 2009.

While there has been not much departure from minimum temperature in Mangaluru at 23 deg C, Karwar on Thursday saw a rise of 2 deg C from the mean minimum at 22.6 deg C and Honnavar about 5 deg C departure at 24.9 deg C.

Sundar M Metri, director, Meteorological Department, Bengaluru, confirmed that Wednesday’s temperature for Panambur observatory was an all-time record. This was due to the dry northerly winds and clear skies. He said temperatures will be high till these conditions exist. He said even Shirali and Bajpe (airport) had recorded high temperatures of 36.4 and 37.4 deg C respectively, on Wednesday….click on the above link to read the rest of the article…

Yes, the Arctic’s Freakishly Warm Winter is Due to Humans’ Climate Influence

December 27, 2016

Yes, the Arctic’s Freakishly Warm Winter is Due to Humans’ Climate Influence

Iceberg

The Arctic’s seasonal cycle means that the lowest sea ice concentrations occur in September each year. But while September 2012 had less ice than September 2016, this year the ice coverage has not increased as expected as we moved into the northern winter. As a result, since late October, Arctic sea ice extent has been at record low levels for the time of year.

*Late 2016 has produced new record lows for Arctic ice. NSIDC, Author provided*

These record low sea ice levels have been associated with exceptionally high temperatures for the Arctic region. November and December (so far) have seen record warm temperatures. At the same time Siberia, and very recently North America, have experienced conditions that are slightly cooler than normal.

*Temperatures have been far above normal over vast areas of the Arctic this November and December. Geert Jan van Oldenborgh/KNMI/ERA-Interim, Author provided*

Extreme Arctic warmth and low ice coverage affect the migration patterns of marine mammals and have been linked with mass starvation and deaths among reindeer, as well as affecting polar bear habitats.

Given these severe ecological impacts and the potential influence of the Arctic on the climates of North America and Europe, it is important that we try to understand whether and how human-induced climate change has played a role in this event.

Arctic attribution

Our World Weather Attribution group, led by Climate Central and including researchers at the University of Melbourne, the University of Oxford and the Dutch Meteorological Service (KNMI), used three different methods to assess the role of the human climate influence on record Arctic warmth over November and December.

…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…

US Economy – Slip-Sliding Away

January 16, 2016

US Economy – Slip-Sliding Away

Economic Conditions Continue to Worsen

It must be China. Or the weather, which is usually either too cold or to warm – somehow the weather is just neverright for economic growth. Surely it cannot be another Fed policy-induced boom that is on the verge of going bust? Sorry, we completely forgot – the Fed is never at fault when the economy suffers a boom-bust cycle. That only happens because we have “too few regulations” (that’s what Mr. Bernanke said after the 2008 bust – no kidding).

forgotten-heritage

Photo credit: Matthew Emmett

No matter what economic data releases one looks at lately, one seems more horrendous than the next. This is apart from payrolls of course, which are not only a lagging indicator, but are apparently a number that is occasionally made up out of whole cloth – such as in December, when 281,000 of the reported 292,000 in non-farm payroll gains were the result of “seasonal adjustment”, which is bureaucrat-speak for “didn’t actually happen”.

Today the markets were inundated with data that strongly suggest that the negative trends observed over much of 2015 continue to accelerate. In what is by now a well-worn tradition, Fed district surveys of the manufacturing sector continued their decline with today’s release of the Empire State survey. One no longer risks being accused of hyperbole by calling its recent trend a “collapse”:

Empire State Survey, general business conditions index. Such readings are usually not seen during economic expansions – click to enlarge.

As is often the case, not a single economist came even remotely close to correctly forecasting this meltdown. As Mish noted earlier today, it was quite a big miss:

“The Econoday Consensus estimate was for a slight improvement to -4 from a November reading of -4.59. The actual result was -19.37 with the lowest economic estimate -7.50.”

…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…

Weather that reminds us to give thanks

January 4, 2016

Weather that reminds us to give thanks

As many times as I’ve seen the wind whistle across our land in the Bog of Allen, I’ve never before felt as nervous as I have today, as the giant trees around our property are bending alarmingly in the gale. Our cement house has actually groaned in the intense wind, which blew down a tree across our driveway recently and ripped our greenhouse door apart.

Our heat pump gave out and the house is cold, the road to our house has patches of water so wide it is almost impassable, and our chickens are barely able to step out of the coop without being blown down. We do have a shed-full of wood for the fire, along with a pile of turf from the bog — but there’s been nothing but rain, and that soaks the turf and slows down the chopping. I’m supposed to be at work in Dublin right now, but our car broke down and the bus never showed up. Thankfully, our internet and phone works, so I could post this. Basically, though, it’s not my best morning.

Then again, I’m thankful we don’t live on the streets of Kilkenny yesterday, as the swelling river burst through the streets, smashing open the doors to pubs and businesses. I’m pleased that we have electricity, as thousands of people here in Ireland were left without it after recent storms. I’m thankful we did not have to abandon our homes over Christmas, or come home to a devastated neighbourhood. I’m thankful we were not on one of the flights that had to be cancelled, or on the roads that were completely impassable.

…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…

The View From Far Above: How Earth Changed in 2015

January 3, 2016

The View From Far Above: How Earth Changed in 2015

From raging forest fires to dwindling snowmelt to the extraordinary birth of new ocean islands, sometimes the best way to witness planetary happenings — and to gain perspective on them — is from high above. Below are satellite images and aerial photos from the NASA Earth Observatory that capture some of the more dramatic changes that shaped the earth over the past year.
Greenland ice sheet

NASA

This aerial photo captured in July shows large, fast-flowing rivers on top of the Greenland ice sheet abruptly dropping into a seemingly bottomless moulin, or sinkhole, in the ice. The shifting network of streams and rivers that form during the summer melt season can transport water from the surface of the ice to the ocean, gradually eating away the frozen mass. A slew of recent research has shown that the Greenland ice sheet, composed of some of the planet’s largest glaciers, is steadily losing more ice in the summer than it gains in the winter.

Indonesia fires

NASA

This late-September NASA satellite image shows the massive plumes of smoke blanketing Sumatra, Indonesia, as peat fires burned uncontrolled. This was a record year for fires in Indonesia, and tens of thousands of infernos released clouds of particulate matter and toxic gases over the region — a process that repeats itself year after year as property owners clear their land of debris for farming.

Nepal landslide

NASA

The Nepali village of Langtang, which was located along a popular trekking route near the base of Mount Langtang, was completely buried by an avalanche this spring. The ice and rocks were shaken loose by the devastating earthquake that struck central Nepal on April 25, 2015.

…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…

East Coast Celebrates Christmas With Warmest Weather On Record

December 25, 2015

East Coast Celebrates Christmas With Warmest Weather On Record

It was just 10 months ago that Boston smashed its all time snowfall record, and the US was blanketed in freezing weather from west to east as the Polar Vortex unleashed cold air for the second year in a row. It was so cold, the GDP report for the winter period had to be double-seasonally adjusted as the sharp economic slowdown, which was blamed on the “harsh weather”, simply did not make sense otherwise.

Fast forward to today when according to AccuWeather, Christmas felt more like Memorial Day across much of the eastern United States as temperatures rose between 20 and 35 degrees above average and 5-15 degrees above previous record highs.

While unlikely that it was the hottest Christmas ever – temperature recordings only go so far – records were broken all along the Eastern Seaboard, from the Southeast to New England with some areas breaking their previous record high by more than 10 degrees F. Some records were broken from the 1800s.

The highs that occurred on Thursday are more typical of late spring and early summer.

Halifax Superstores warn of short supply due to weather, dollar

December 20, 2015

Halifax Superstores warn of short supply due to weather, dollar

Grocery bills likely will go up in 2016 due to vegetable and fruit prices, a report says

Inflation is modest at 1 per cent, but the price of fresh vegetables was up 11.5 per cent in September, Statistics Canada said.

Inflation is modest at 1 per cent, but the price of fresh vegetables was up 11.5 per cent in September, Statistics Canada said. (Jacques Boissinot/Canadian)

A sign posted in the produce section of a Halifax area Superstore apologized to customers for the inconvenience.

”Due to weather related issues in the growing regions coupled with the impact of U.S. exchange,” the sign reads, “we are unfortunately experiencing significantly higher than normal costs and gaps in supply.”

These signs have been posted in Superstores in the Halifax area. (Nancy Waugh/CBC)

No one from Loblaw, the chain which owns Atlantic Superstore, was available to comment Saturday.

Dominion grocery stores, also owned by Loblaw, posted similar signs in Newfoundland this week.

The price of groceries in Canada has risen by 4.1 per cent in the last year — faster than inflation, according to a recent food price forecast by the University of Guelph.

7 foods that will cost you more in 2016 and why

Canada imports 81 per cent of its produce, much of that from the U.S., which has had variable weather and drought in the last year. That problem has been compounded by a sudden, severe drop of the Canadian dollar last winter, largely due to oil, the report said.

Consumers saw the price of fruit jump by 9.1 per cent and vegetables even more by 10.1, the report found.

Food prices ‘steadily marching up’

Annette d’Eon picked up a few groceries at Quinpool Road’s Superstore Saturday afternoon. Food prices she’s seen have been “steadily marching up,” she said.

…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…

“It’s Hot Out There” – Here’s Why In One Visualization

December 19, 2015

“It’s Hot Out There” – Here’s Why In One Visualization

It’s not just warm, but very warm,” exclaims one east coast ski resort owner, adding “I can’t remember it ever being like this here.” But why? As WSJ reports, two weather occurrences – the Arctic Oscillation and El Niño – are combining to shake up temperatures from coast to coast in the U.S., bringing springlike conditions to the Northeast for much of this month and leaving parts of the West colder and wetter than usual.

Typically this time of year, Arctic Oscillation would bring cold air to the Eastern U.S., bringing temperatures down. But so far this year, the oscillation has stayed much farther north, allowing warm air from the south to fill the void, said Mike Halpert, deputy director of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s climate prediction center.

The other factor is El Niño, a periodic climate cycle in which sea surface temperatures over the eastern Pacific become warmer than usual. The effects from changes in Arctic Oscillations generally last only a few weeks, but the balmy weather in the Northeast could continue because of the El Niño effect, experts say.

El Niños push the subtropical and polar jet streams, which help define weather around the world, to the north. The result is that the southern U.S. gets rain that normally falls in Central and South America, while the Northeast and Midwest get a reprieve from winter as the polar jet stream is pushed up into Canada.

“If people are nervous, they should be nervous.”

The current El Niño is on track to rank among the top three strongest since record-keeping began in 1950, according to federal climatologists.

“The El Niño impact is not dominating yet,” said Bill Patzert, a climate scientist with NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena, Calif. “It’s like the tale of two climates here.

And since every failure of central planning to achieve its seasonally-adjustedeconomic targets must be blamed on something, even something as ridiculous as the weather, regardless if it is “too cold” like in the past two years, or “too hot”, now we know why Q4 GDP will be crap!

Scientists Warn ‘Godzilla’s Coming!’ – Millions Potentially Endangered By Coming Monster!

October 19, 2015

Scientists Warn ‘Godzilla’s Coming!’ – Millions Potentially Endangered By Coming Monster!

Prepare! Deadly Rains Targeting Coast Loom!

“Storms will reign,” LA Times reported on October 15 after the National Weather Service issued a warning that El Niño is getting stronger, raising odds of more deadly heavy rains and mudslides. (http://www.latimes.com/local/lanow/la-me-ln-el-nino-forecast-20151015-story.html) Hours later Thursday, flash floods in California sent water and mud flowing into roads Thursday, triggering mudslides that buried cars and forcing closure of a portion of Interstate 5 in the Tehachapi Mountains, a highway known locally as “the grapevine.” California Highway Patrol said Friday night that I-5 had reopened after a cleanup.

First responders scrambled to rescue motorists stranded on roadways as flash floods and large hail pounded areas north of Los Angeles, Southern California authorities began digging out Friday. That storm is a clarion call to Californians and Northern Baja California Sur, Mexico residents.

While lower-profile weather forecasters had already issued the warning weeks ago, the National Weather Service stated for the first time on Thursday that it, too, expects El Niño to bring storms along with their wetter-than-average rains to virtually all of California. The statement followed a series of deadly environmental events across the globe that claimed hundreds of lives and millions of dollars worth of destruction, as though few knew and were prepared.

El Niño is expected to send more big storms throughout Southern California and as far north as San Francisco Bay Area. The forecast includes mountainous feeding California’s most important reservoirs, that then feed water into much of the entire state – and that means mudslides.

Being a season of unusual disastrous weather-related events, west coasters are urged to take note and prepare.

A “number of significant storms” will bring heavy rains.

…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…

Why B.C. may be in for a long, hot summer

June 26, 2015

Why B.C. may be in for a long, hot summer

A dry spring, a warmer than usual Pacific Ocean, and an El Niño means the hot weather could be here to stay

Whenever temperatures approach 30 C in Metro Vancouver, it’s a talker.

While the thermostat does get close once or twice each summer, this particular heat wave has a lot of added factors. First of all, it’s early, as seasonal highs for Vancouver right now are just 20 C.

And the forecast temperatures will likely end up 10 degrees above that this weekend — numbers more reminiscent of July or August.

This heat wave will also be intense. Temperatures will steadily climb right across southern B.C. over the next few days, peaking on Sunday at 30 degrees for the South Coast and approaching the 40s in the Interior.

Daily temperature records will fall, but so too will many all-time hottest June day records. It looks like we will, at least, get close for places like Vancouver (30.6 C), Kelowna (38 C) and Kamloops (39.1 C).

Finally, this heat is just the latest ‘extreme’ in what has been an incredibly warm and dry year overall. Most of B.C. is coming out of a winter of record low snow packs.

Long range forecast calls for hot summer

This past May was the driest on record for most of the province. So far, just a fraction of expected June rain has fallen. And in general, temperatures have been above seasonal for weeks on end.

This provides that much more of an impact for the hot weather forecast when it comes to fire danger and drought concerns. After an explosive start to the fire season, and reservoirs dropping at an alarming speed, a dry forecast ramps up the danger and a hot one means evaporation of any moisture happens at a faster rate.

…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…

Beyond the Perfect Drought: California’s Real Water Crisis

June 16, 2015

Beyond the Perfect Drought: California’s Real Water Crisis

The record-breaking drought in California is not chiefly the result of low precipitation. Three factors – rising temperatures, groundwater depletion, and a shrinking Colorado River – mean the most populous U.S. state will face decades of water shortages and must adapt.

The current drought afflicting California is indeed historic, but not because of the low precipitation totals. In fact, in terms of overall precipitation and spring snowpack, the past three years are not record-breakers, according to weather data for the past century. Similarly, paleoclimate studies show that the current drought is not exceptional given the natural variations in precipitation of the past seven centuries. Nor can it be confidently said that the current drought bears the unequivocal imprint of climate change

Mark Ralston/AFP/Getty Images

The Lake Oroville reservoir in Northern California was at less than 25 percent capacity last month.

driven by increasing greenhouse gases, since the low precipitation is well within the bounds of natural variability.

All this being said, it is also clear that this drought is exceptional and should be seen as an historical turning point. Indeed, California is moving into new — and worrisome — territory for three reasons: rising heat, which causes increased evaporation; the continuing depletion of groundwater supplies; and growing water shortages on the Colorado River, the main external source of water for Southern California.

A decade ago, I first wrote about California and the “perfect drought.” Now, unless bold steps are taken to deal with a growing water crisis, California may be facing a future of perfect droughts.

…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…

Forget The Snow, It’s The Drought That Is Crushing The US Economy

April 20, 2015

Forget The Snow, It’s The Drought That Is Crushing The US Economy

With all eyes and talking heads focused on the ‘weather’, it seems cold, wet, snowy, and frigid are the most GDP-destructive adjectives. However, as Bloomberg reports, the drought out West is starting to infiltrate U.S. housing data, according to the chief economist of a homebuilders’ group, and weakening a major part of the nation’s economy.

As Bloomeberg reports,

Housing starts in the West fell for a third straight month, dropping by 19 percent in March to an annualized rate of 201,000 for the weakest since May. Construction rebounded from harsh winter weather in other parts of the country, such as the Northeast, where they jumped a record 115 percent, and the Midwest.

The weakness in the West might reflect the record-setting drought, which may be discouraging companies from building or taking out permits for new construction, said David Crowe, chief economist at the National Association of Home Builders in Washington. Uncertainty surrounding local water policy and the ability to obtain water connections for new homes or apartment buildings could be holding some builders back, he said.

“Until it’s clear what restrictions mean for new building, it’s wise for builders to be hesitant,” Crowe said. “This is more serious than just a temporary dry period. This is a new regime that says it’s going to be harder to obtain additional water usage.”

And it’s not just California…

…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…

CIA Looking Into Weather Modification As A Form of Warfare

February 18, 2015

CIA Looking Into Weather Modification As A Form of Warfare

The U.S. – and Presumably Russia – Have Researched Weather Modification As Warfare For Many Decades

This week, a top American climate researcher – Professor Alan Robock from Rutgers – says that the CIA is looking into weather modification as a form of warfare.

The Independent reports:

A senior American climate scientist has spoken of the fear he experienced when US intelligence services apparently asked him about the possibility of weaponising the weather as a major report on geo-engineering is to be published this week.

Professor Alan Robock stated that three years ago, two men claiming to be from the CIA had called him to ask whether experts would be able to tell if hostile forces had begun manipulating the US’s weather, though he suspected the purpose of the call was to find out if American forces could meddle with other countries’ climates instead.

During a debate on the use of geo-engineering to combat climate change, at the annual meeting of the American Association for the Advancement of Science in San Jose, California, Prof Robock said: “I got a phone call from two men who said we work as consultants for the CIA and we’d like to know if some other country was controlling our climate, would we know about it?

”I told them, after thinking a little bit, that we probably would because if you put enough material in the atmosphere to reflect sunlight we would be able to detect it and see the equipment that was putting it up there.

…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…

Was 2014 the hottest year after all?

February 14, 2015

Was 2014 the hottest year after all?

World media rushed to report that “2014 was the warmest year on record”, but it seems no one bothered to look at the fine print and the fact scientists can’t be sure the claim is true, writes Samantha Walker.

Was 2014 really the hottest year on record? The headlines across the world’s media last month – including these pieces from the BBC, CNN, Wall Street Journal, The Guardian and The Age certainly claimed that it was.

The media chorus last month followed a joint announcement by two US scientific organisations: NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) and NOAA’s National Climatic Data Centre. On January 16, they released a categorical statement to the press that “2014 was the warmest year in modern record”.

Yet 10 days later, the UK’s Met Office (its national weather service) stated that while 2014 was indeed very warm, it wasn’t actually the single hottest on record. So the first question is – was 2014 the hottest year or not?

A quick bit of critical analysis explains where the confusion lies.

Director of GISS, Gavin Schmidt, and his colleagues published a paper moderately asserting that 2014 was hotter than the second hottest year – 2010 – by just 0.02°C. That number is five times less than the 0.1°C of uncertainty in their measurements. They stated that 2014, 2010 and 2005 were “in a statistical tie because of several sources of uncertainty, the largest source being incomplete spatial coverage of the data”.

…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…

Winter Storm Neptune: ‘Life-Threatening’ Storm, Cold to Hit New England

February 14, 2015

Winter Storm Neptune: ‘Life-Threatening’ Storm, Cold to Hit New England

Here’s a few updates on Winter Storm Neptune, which will hit the northeast U.S. on Friday, but the impact will be felt on Saturday and Sunday.

New England, including hard-hit Boston, will get slammed by the blizzard, says Accuweather.com.

“A storm passing through the Northeast riding a tidal wave of frigid air will evolve into a blizzard over New England before departing during the Valentine’s Day weekend,” the site says. “The worst of the storm will target the central and northern New England coast Saturday night into Sunday with wind-driven snow.”

Meanwhile, the “major cities in the path of the burst of snow that can cross hundreds of miles include Cleveland, Buffalo, Pittsburgh, Philadelphia, Baltimore, New York City, Washington, D.C., and Richmond, Virginia,” says Accuweather.

The Weather Channel urged northeast residents to “prepare now” for the storm, which it dubbed Winter Storm Neptune. “Areas far removed from the center of the storm in the mid-Atlantic can experience life-threatening cold, the risk of power outages from high winds, and the possibility of road closures and flight cancellations,” it said.

…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…

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