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Weekly Commentary: Transitory Histrionics

Weekly Commentary: Transitory Histrionics May 3 – Financial Times (Sam Fleming): “Having lamented low inflation as one of the great challenges facing central bankers today in March, Jay Powell on Wednesday wrongfooted many investors with comments that seemed to play down the gravity of the problem. The new message from the Federal Reserve chairman — […]

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Weekly Commentary: The Perils of Stop and Go

Weekly Commentary: The Perils of Stop and Go Please join Doug Noland and David McAlvany this coming Thursday, April 18th, at 4:00PM EST/ 2:00pm MST for the Tactical Short Q1 recap conference call, “What are Central Banks Afraid of?” Click here to register. China’s Aggregate Financing (approximately system Credit growth less government borrowings) jumped 2.860 billion […]

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Market Commentary: Faux Statesmanship

Market Commentary: Faux Statesmanship April 5 – New York Times (Dealbook): “’It doesn’t take a genius’ to know capitalism needs fixing. Capitalism helped Ray Dalio build his investment empire. But in a lengthy LinkedIn post, the Bridgewater Associates founder says that it isn’t working anymore. Mr. Dalio writes that he has seen capitalism ‘evolve in […]

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Weekly Commentary: Doing Harm with Uber-Dovish

Weekly Commentary: Doing Harm with Uber-Dovish This week’s FOMC meeting will be debated for years – perhaps even decades. The Fed essentially pre-committed to no rate hike in 2019. The committee downgraded both its growth and inflation forecasts. Having all at once turned of little consequence, we can now dismiss the 3.8% unemployment rate and […]

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Weekly Commentary: Dudley on Debt and MMT

Weekly Commentary: Dudley on Debt and MMT December’s market instability and resulting Fed capitulation to the marketplace continue to reverberate. At this point, markets basically assume the Fed is well into the process of terminating policy normalization. Only a couple of months since completing its almost $3.0 TN stimulus program, markets now expect the ECB […]

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Doug Noland: Central Banks Are “Hostages Of Market Bubbles”

Doug Noland: Central Banks Are “Hostages Of Market Bubbles” Doug Noland’s weekly Credit Bubble Bulletin is always required reading. The latest – befitting the amazing things that have happened lately – is more necessary than usual. But at 10,000 words it’s also a lot longer than usual. So while everyone should definitely read the whole thing, here are some […]

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Weekly Commentary: Rude Awakening Coming

Weekly Commentary: Rude Awakening Coming Please join Doug Noland and David McAlvany this Thursday, October 18th, at 4:00PM EST/ 2:00pm MST for the Tactical Short Q3 recap conference call, “Market Contagion is Back.” Click here to register. There’s little satisfaction writing the CBB after a big down week in the markets. Motivation seems easier to […]

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Doug Noland: No Bailouts Anytime Soon, So Let Those Short Bets Run

Doug Noland: No Bailouts Anytime Soon, So Let Those Short Bets Run Now that equities are behaving the way they should have since, oh, 2013 – volatile with a pronounced down bias – everyone is wondering how far the crazy will go before the Fed starts buying the S&P 500. Short sellers, of course, want […]

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Doug Noland: There Will Be No Way Out When This Market Bubble Bursts

Doug Noland: There Will Be No Way Out When This Market Bubble Bursts Financial assets will become toxic to hold This week Doug Noland joins the podcast to discuss what he refers to as the “granddaddy of all bubbles”. Noland, a 30-year market analyst and specialist in credit cycles, currently works at McAlvany Wealth Management and […]

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Weekly Commentary: End of an Era

Weekly Commentary: End of an Era Of the diverse strains of inflation, asset inflation is by far the most dangerous. A bout of consumer price inflation would be generally recognized as problematic and rectified through a tightening of monetary conditions. On the other hand, asset price inflation is both celebrated and venerated. There is simply […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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