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Tag Archives: volatility
Volatility and the Alchemy of Risk
Volatility and the Alchemy of Risk Reflexivity in the Shadows of Black Monday 1987 The Ouroboros, a Greek word meaning ‘tail devourer’, is the ancient symbol of a snake consuming its own body in perfect symmetry. The imagery of the Ouroboros evokes the infinite nature of creation from destruction. The sign appears across cultures and […]
The S&P Is A Bloated Corpse
The S&P Is A Bloated Corpse Fan Ho In Paris 1953 Update: I never did this before, but now I think I must: change the title of an article. “Minsky and Volatility” isn’t nearly as good as “The S&P Is A Bloated Corpse”. Simple, really. The URL will be the same as before According to […]
The Waiting Is The Hardest Part
BLOG imgflip.com The Waiting Is The Hardest Part Tom Petty’s anthem for today’s investors Man, what an awful stretch of events. When I penned last week’s article on tragedy, little did I expect something as horrible as the Las Vegas massacre would immediately follow. And nearly lost in the headlines was the untimely passing of […]
Eric Peters On Tipping Points: “It All Worked Incredibly Well, Until It Blew Up”
Eric Peters On Tipping Points: “It All Worked Incredibly Well, Until It Blew Up” Two years ago, long after we first suggested that the transformation of VIX from a measure of implied market volatility to a reflexive instrument that can be traded – and thus influence the underlying assets whose volatility it was supposed to […]
Volatility in Housing: What Surges & Crashes the Most?
Volatility in Housing: What Surges & Crashes the Most? It depends on the value of the home. What happens to home prices during the current housing boom and the next housing bust depends to some degree on whether the home is relatively “affordable” — whatever that means at today’s prices — or more expensive. This […]
BofA: “Central Banks Are Now In A Desperate Dilemma”…”Start Buying Volatility”
BofA: “Central Banks Are Now In A Desperate Dilemma”…”Start Buying Volatility” One week after the second biggest weekly inflow to Wall Street on record, the “risk on” rotation ended abruptly in the ensuing five days, when as Bank of America writes overnight, it observed “Inflows to structural “deflation”, outflows from cyclical “inflation”; with oil the […]
A Murderous Complacency
A Murderous Complacency Dark omens are circling everywhere in today’s markets murder: a flock of crows ~ Miriam-Webster dictionary Many view the appearance of crows as an omen of death because ravens and crows are scavengers and are generally associated with dead bodies, battlefields, and cemeteries, and they’re thought to circle in large numbers above sites where […]
Sorry, Central Banks: Risk and Volatility Cannot be Extinguished
Sorry, Central Banks: Risk and Volatility Cannot be Extinguished Central bank market intervention doesn’t extinguish risk–it simply transfers it to the system itself. The unspoken claim of central bank policy is that risk can be extinguished by intervention/manipulation: once the Fed has your back, i.e. is supporting the market, risk disappears, and the easy profits flow to […]
State Street: “Move Over Zero Hedge, There Is A New Bear In Town”
State Street: “Move Over Zero Hedge, There Is A New Bear In Town” By Mr. Risk – State Street Global Markets Unleash Volatility Beast Thanks for nothing, central banks! If central banks provided the prototypical inflection point, risk assets should get destroyed next week. Feast your eyes on a compendium of volatility charts. The beast […]
Chaos & Volatility On The Rise
Chaos & Volatility On The Rise The systems that support us are breaking down No, that’s not a ‘click bait’ sensationalist title. Things are getting ‘weird’ out there if you’re trying to be polite, and downright ‘chaotic’ if you’re being blunt. Everywhere we look, we see signs that the systems that support us are breaking […]
SocGen: “Now We Know Why The Fed Desperately Wants To Avoid A Drop In Equity Markets”
SocGen: “Now We Know Why The Fed Desperately Wants To Avoid A Drop In Equity Markets” With the ECB now unabashedly unleashing a bond bubble in Europe of which it has promised to be a buyer of last resort with the stronly implied hint that European IG companies should issue bonds and buy back shares, and promptly […]
Diversify Into Gold As An “Insurance Policy” Against Geopolitical Risk
Diversify Into Gold As An “Insurance Policy” Against Geopolitical Risk “Investors could be forgiven for heading for the hills given the tumultuous start to 2016,” so writes Andrew Oxlade in The Telegraph today who advises investors to diversify into gold as an “insurance policy”: We have long been advocates of exposure to gold as an insurance policy. […]
Economics Is Like A Religion – Just Faith In Theory
Economics Is Like A Religion – Just Faith In Theory Everyone is missing the serious problem that ultra-low interest rates have created for retirees. Pension funds are still assuming that future returns will be in the 7½–8% range. And as people get older and have no practical way to go back to work, pension funds […]
