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Trade Wars Set To Go Nuclear: US Considering Broad Curbs On Chinese Imports
Trade Wars Set To Go Nuclear: US Considering Broad Curbs On Chinese Imports First thing this morning, when the market was surging and inexplicably rejoicing in the certainty that Trump would back down on tariffs, a nagging feeling that this was all wrong prompted us to ask “What If Trump Does Not Back Down“, and […]
Europe Will Retaliate To Trump Trade War With 25% Tariffs Targeting GOP States
Europe Will Retaliate To Trump Trade War With 25% Tariffs Targeting GOP States Following through with threats of retaliation made earlier in the week, the European Union on Tuesday is preparing punitive tariffs on iconic US brands produced in Republican-controlled states as US trade partners try to do anything and everything they can to stymie […]
Trump’s Trade Wars Could Spark A Massive Drop In Oil
Trump’s Trade Wars Could Spark A Massive Drop In Oil Today, I am breaking with two of my rules in writing these pieces. I generally try to steer clear of politics and to avoid being alarmist or overly sensational. What has forced me to ignore both rules is the announcement on Thursday by Donald Trump […]
Kuroda Shocks Markets Hinting At QE End; Nikkei, USDJPY Tumble
Kuroda Shocks Markets Hinting At QE End; Nikkei, USDJPY Tumble In addition to the suddenly escalating global trade war, overnight traders had one more thing to worry about: another central bank unwinding its QE program. This happened shortly after midnight ET, when BOJ Governor Kuroda unexpectedly announced that the Bank of Japan will start thinking […]
Let The Trade Wars Begin: Trump Says He Will Impose Steel, Aluminum Tariffs Next Week
Let The Trade Wars Begin: Trump Says He Will Impose Steel, Aluminum Tariffs Next Week Update III: After the White House said earlier that today’s meeting would be a “listening” meeting, President Trump has taken investors by surprise by announcing that he will impose the long-rumored aluminum and steel sanctions next week. As expected, Trump […]
China, South Korea Vow Retaliation In Trump Trade War
China, South Korea Vow Retaliation In Trump Trade War When we reported earlier today that President Trump lobbed the first real shot in the global (but mostly Asian) trade war when the White House announced it would slap imported solar cells and washing machines with up to 50% tariffs – Trump’s most significant trade action […]
Unintended Consequences, Part 2: Easy Money = Overcapacity = Trade Wars
Unintended Consequences, Part 2: Easy Money = Overcapacity = Trade Wars It’s unclear what China was thinking when it was borrowed all those trillions to quadruple its capacity to make steel, cement and other basic industrial products. There’s no record of it checking in with the other countries that have such industries to see if […]
China Furious After US Launches Trade War “Nuke” With 522% Duty
China Furious After US Launches Trade War “Nuke” With 522% Duty Now that China’s brief infatuation with “rationalizing” excess capacity in its massively glutted (and insolvent) steel sector is over after lasting all of 2-3 months, China is back to doing what it did in late 2015 (and what it has always done) when as […]
The Trade Wars Begin: China Retaliates To Steel Tariffs With Global Anti-Dumping Duties
The Trade Wars Begin: China Retaliates To Steel Tariffs With Global Anti-Dumping Duties When looking back in history, December 23, 2015 may be the date the global trade wars officially began. On that day, as we reported at the time, the U.S. imposed a 256% tariff on Chinese steel imports. It did so perhaps with […]
The Trade Wars Begin: U.S. Imposes 256% Tarriff On Chinese Steel Imports
The Trade Wars Begin: U.S. Imposes 256% Tarriff On Chinese Steel Imports Two weeks ago, when looking at the latest import price index data, we showed something disturbing: China has become an all out exporter of deflation. As the chart below shows, In November, import prices from China decreased 1.5% over the past 12 months, the […]
Why We’re Drifting Towards World War 3
Why We’re Drifting Towards World War 3 The Economist argues that there are ominous parallels between the conditions which led to the first world war and today: The United States is Britain, the superpower on the wane, unable to guarantee global security. Its main trading partner, China, plays the part of Germany, a new economic power bristling […]
