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The Upcoming Increase in Interest Rates
THE UPCOMING INCREASE IN INTEREST RATES Last week, both Janet Yellen of the Fed and Mark Carney of the Bank of England prepared financial markets for interest rate increases. The working assumption should be that this was coordinated, and that both the ECB and the Bank of Japan must be considering similar moves. Central banks […]
Eric Peters: “This Is The Nightmare Scenario For The Next Fed Chair”
Eric Peters: “This Is The Nightmare Scenario For The Next Fed Chair” While we will have much more to share from the latest weekend letter by One River’s Eric Peters shortly, we found the following section on inflation vs asset bubbles – a topic which BofA’s Michael Hartnett has been focusing extensively on in the […]
Yellen Was Right: “Transitory” Factors of “Low” Inflation Are Reversing, with Much More to Come
Yellen Was Right: “Transitory” Factors of “Low” Inflation Are Reversing, with Much More to Come What’s Boiling Beneath the Surging Inflation? Consumers are going to shell out more money for the same stuff, that’s for sure. Inflation as measured by the Consumer Price Index jumped 2.2% in September compared to a year ago, the Bureau of […]
Janet Yellen’s 78-Month Plan for the National Monetary Policy of the United States
Janet Yellen’s 78-Month Plan for the National Monetary Policy of the United States Past the Point of No Return Adventures in depravity are nearly always confronted with the unpleasant reality that stopping the degeneracy is much more difficult than starting it. This realization, and the unsettling feeling that comes with it, usually surfaces just after […]
Rate Hike Cycles, Gold, and the “Rule of Total Morons”
Rate Hike Cycles, Gold, and the “Rule of Total Morons” In response to Janet Yellen’s everything is OK speech following today’s balance sheet reduction notice by the FOMC committee, I received an interesting set of comments from Pater Tenebrarum at the Acting Man Blog regarding rate hike cycles, gold, and stock market peaks. “Rule of Total […]
“Bad Options” Regarding 2% Inflation Targets (And Other Silly Notions)
“Bad Options” Regarding 2% Inflation Targets (And Other Silly Notions) The Wall Street Journal and Bloomberg both posted ridiculous articles regarding today regarding inflation. The former was on “bad options” the latter on “inflation expectations”. Let’s take a look at both articles because both represent widely believed nonsense. In Bad Options for Addressing Too-Low Inflation, Wall […]
“10-Year Treasury Yields Headed to Zero Percent” Saxo Bank CIO
“10-Year Treasury Yields Headed to Zero Percent” Saxo Bank CIO In his latest Email article, Steen Jakobsen, Saxo Bank Chief economist and CIO has a bold prediction about interest rates. With nearly everyone, even Janet Yellen at the Fed, predicting wage-induced inflation, Jakobsen makes a bold call in the opposite direction. This is a guest post […]
See No Evil, Speak No Evil…
SEE NO EVIL, SPEAK NO EVIL… The Jackson Hole speeches of Janet Yellen and Mario Draghi last week were notable for the omission of any comment about the burning issues of the day: …where do the Fed and the ECB respectively think America and the Eurozone are in the central bank induced credit cycle, and […]
Jackson Hole and the Appalachians
Jackson Hole and the Appalachians Henri Cartier-Bresson Trafalgar Square on the Day of the Coronation of George VI 1937 The Jackson Hole gathering of central bankers and other economics big shots is on again. They all still like themselves very much. Apart from a pesky inflation problem that none of them can get a grip […]
How Dumb Is the Fed?
How Dumb Is the Fed? Bent and Distorted POITOU, FRANCE – This morning, we are wondering: How dumb is the Fed? The question was prompted by this comment by former Fed insider Chris Whalen at The Institutional Risk Analyst blog. They’re not the best map readers, that much is known for certain. [PT] [O]ur message to the […]
On Borrowed Time
On Borrowed Time There are a number of things you don’t want to hear a central banker say. One of those things just popped out of Janet Yellen’s mouth – “I don’t believe we will see another financial crisis in our lifetime.” That has to be up there with Irving Fisher’s deathless observation from 17 October […]
Fed Chair Janet Yellen Warns Congress: US Debt Trajectory Is Unsustainable
Fed Chair Janet Yellen Warns Congress: US Debt Trajectory Is Unsustainable During her tesimony this morning, Fed Chair Janet Yellen urged Congress to take into account the growth trajectory of the federal debt when making decisions about spending and taxation. She said lawmakers need to work toward achieving “sustainability of this debt path over time,” […]
Janet Yellen: False Prophet of Prosperity
Janet Yellen: False Prophet of Prosperity Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen recently predicted that, thanks to the regulations implemented after the 2008 market meltdown, America would not experience another economic crisis “in our lifetimes.” Yellen’s statement should send shivers down our spines, as there are few more reliable signals of an impending recession, or worse, […]
Yes, Ms. Yellen…There Will Be Another Financial Crisis
Yes, Ms. Yellen…There Will Be Another Financial Crisis Janet Yellen, Federal Reserve Chair, recently stated; “Will I say there will never, ever be another financial crisis? No, probably that would be going too far. But I do think we’re much safer and I hope that it will not be in our lifetimes and I don’t believe […]
There Is No Excuse For Janet Yellen’s Complacency
There Is No Excuse For Janet Yellen’s Complacency Janet Yellen has been reported by Reuters as saying in London yesterday that “she does not believe that there will be a run on the banking system at least as long as she lives”: “Would I say there will never, ever be another financial crisis? You know […]
