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Tag Archives: population growth
Two Cheers for Population Decline
Two Cheers for Population Decline Eventual gradual population decline, provided it results from free choice, should be welcomed. Indeed, the greatest demographic challenge to human welfare is not low fertility and population aging, but rather the high fertility rates and rapid population growth still seen in Pakistan, much of the Middle East, and Africa. LONDON […]
Economic Breakdown Starts In East Asia due to Collapsed Births & Childbearing Populations
Economic Breakdown Starts In East Asia due to Collapsed Births & Childbearing Populations The floor under the East Asia neighborhood (consisting of China, Japan, South / North Korea, Taiwan, & Mongolia) is about to fall away. These nations (combined) equal slightly more than 20% of the global population and consume 27% of total global energy. From […]
Why the Fed, Nor Any Central Bank, Can Ever Truly “Normalize”
Why the Fed, Nor Any Central Bank, Can Ever Truly “Normalize” Last week, I highlighted that since ’00, when the Federal Reserve has ceased adding to its balance sheet or begun “normalizing” (via rolling off assets), equity markets have swooned (detailed HERE). A simple idea today…that the end of population growth (where it matters) has long been upon […]
A Debt Based System Can’t Succeed Without Population Growth
A Debt Based System Can’t Succeed Without Population Growth A simple idea today…that the end of population growth (where it matters) is upon us. Absent population growth among the nations that do nearly all the consuming, a debt based economic and financial system can’t ultimately succeed. That is, without growth, assets generally don’t appreciate and debt is generally […]
Population growth and food: A systems perspective
Population growth and food: A systems perspective In this age of the Anthropocene, it is necessary to look inward as well as outwards to find systemic solutions. People may or may not be “a plague on earth” as David Attenborough has stated, but we are without doubt the dominant force on this planet. Some introspection […]
7.5 billion and counting: How many humans can the Earth support?
7.5 billion and counting: How many humans can the Earth support? Humans are the most populous large mammal on Earth today, and probably in all of geological history. This World Population Day, humans number in the vicinity of 7.5 to 7.6 billion individuals. Can the Earth support this many people indefinitely? What will happen if we […]
A Proposal for a United Nations Framework Convention on Population Growth
A Proposal for a United Nations Framework Convention on Population Growth The United Nations Meeting Room by Keith Burns | Flickr | CC BY-NC-ND 2.0 Introduction Recently, an international assembly of scientists from 184 countries endorsed an article published in the journal Bioscience entitled “World Scientists’ Warning to Humanity: A Second Notice”. As the warning states, “We […]
China’s Growth Story…Don’t Look For a Happy Ending!
China’s Growth Story…Don’t Look For a Happy Ending! Many economists suggest China is on the cusp of significant growth in domestic consumer demand as China shifts from exporter to consumer. These economists postulate that rising domestic demand coupled with continued growth as the global exporter will push both China and the global economy into high gear. China suggests that it will achieve 6.5% […]
Humanity Sealed Its Own Fate: 15,000 Scientists Sign A “Doomsday Warning”
Humanity Sealed Its Own Fate: 15,000 Scientists Sign A “Doomsday Warning” A catastrophic warning about humanity’s impending doom was just signed by 15,000 scientists; they all agree that we’ve already sealed our fate. The signed letter, which was apparently first written in 1992, claims all of the predictions made by scientists have come true except […]
The End is Near…Depopulation is Out of Control…So Buy Stocks (Seriously)
The End is Near…Depopulation is Out of Control…So Buy Stocks (Seriously) The world economy is premised on a ludicrous idea. That Asia, then India, and then Africa will continue to drive economic growth. So as not to turn this article into a book, lets consider this idea focusing on East Asia consisting of China, Japan, North and South Korea, Taiwan, and minor others. […]
The Tale of Two America’s…Urban Rise, Rural Demise, Rationale to Hyper-Monetize
The Tale of Two America’s…Urban Rise, Rural Demise, Rationale to Hyper-Monetize (The following was written as an outline for a potential book. To this point no publisher has shown interest and time and funds have run out.) America is in the midst of an ongoing and accelerating shift in demographics and population growth. These trends, long […]
Contemplations for a Sunday (unless you can’t get around to it til Monday)
Contemplations for a Sunday (unless you can’t get around to it til Monday) Some simple themes today… Population growth, economic growth, and resultant energy consumption are inexorably slowing. The Federal Reserve knows it can not stop this and is simply slowing the inevitable with interest rate cuts to incent greater consumption via skyrocketing credit/debt (particularly government debt….debt that is undertaken with […]
Energy Consumption vs. Core Populations – Trending Down Together
Energy Consumption vs. Core Populations – Trending Down Together In this article, I want to spend a little time reviewing two of the most relatively reliable data sets, population size/growth and energy consumption/growth. I’ll compare the total energy consumption of nations / groupings of nations vs. their core (25-54yr/old) employed populations and total core (25-54yr/old) populations. What’s the […]
