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The Anatomy of a Crisis: A Strong Dollar and Disappearing Liquidity

August 19, 2018

The Anatomy of a Crisis: A Strong Dollar and Disappearing Liquidity Since March – the dollar’s rallied over 7%. And it’s caused the Emerging Markets to implode. But the bigger problem is what lies ahead. And that’s a global dollar shortage – which the mainstream continues to ignore. . . I’ve touched on this a […]

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Warren Buffet’s Favorite Stock Market Metric Is Signaling Huge Downside Ahead

August 4, 2018

Warren Buffet’s Favorite Stock Market Metric Is Signaling Huge Downside Ahead Today – Apple became the first public company worth over $1 trillion dollars. . . Thanks to very low interest rates – the company’s piling on debt and buying their own shares back – shrinking the float. And because of a worldwide rush into mutual […]

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“It Was Only A Matter of Time”: Trump Sets His Sights on the Fed’s Tightening and the Strong Dollar

July 21, 2018

“It Was Only A Matter of Time”: Trump Sets His Sights on the Fed’s Tightening and the Strong Dollar Who says that the President doesn’t – and shouldn’t – pay attention to the U.S. Dollar’s value? Well – President Trump sure does. . . Just look at his tweets from this morning. . . This […]

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‘The Markets Peaked’ – This Historical Indicator Signals Potentially Huge Losses Ahead

July 11, 2018

‘The Markets Peaked’ – This Historical Indicator Signals Potentially Huge Losses Ahead Understanding cycle theory is still one of the most important things an investor can do. Buying at the peak is a surefire way to increase your downside risk – even if your investment is sound. And buying at the bottom gives you a […]

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‘Something’s Wrong’: The Fed’s Creating Risks – But The Markets Ignoring It

June 6, 2018

‘Something’s Wrong’: The Fed’s Creating Risks – But The Markets Ignoring It The other day I published an article calling out the markets denial of rising risks. Even with everything that’s happening in Italy and with the Emerging Markets blowing up – expected volatility has actually decreased. . . Basically, the stock markets pricing everything […]

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Blowing Up: The Italian Debt Crisis, the Experts That Missed it – And What’s Next

May 30, 2018

Blowing Up: The Italian Debt Crisis, the Experts That Missed it – And What’s Next With the crisis unfolding in Italy, I can’t help but remember the lessons from the underrated book – Fat Tail by Ian Bremmer. This book is an excellent read and explains how political risks can lead to severe economic and social risks. […]

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There is Over $7.5 Trillion In Debt That’s Highly Vulnerable To Rising Rates – Here’s What To Expect

April 25, 2018

There is Over $7.5 Trillion In Debt That’s Highly Vulnerable To Rising Rates – Here’s What To Expect The 10-year interest rate hit the critical level of 3% this morning. And this is the highest level it’s been since 2014 – four years ago. . . A couple months back, I highlighted the correlation of […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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