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Volcker Rebukes Bernanke and Yellen

Volcker Rebukes Bernanke and Yellen In his new book, “Keeping At It: The Quest for Sound Money and Good Government,” by Paul Volcker (1979-1987) with Christine Harper, the former Fed Chairman delivers a sound rebuke to Chairmen Ben Bernanke (2006-2014) and Janet Yellen (2014-2018), and other Fed governors and economists, for fretting overmuch about deflation.  He […]

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Yellen Wants Fed to Commit to Future Booms to Make Up for Busts

Yellen Wants Fed to Commit to Future Booms to Make Up for Busts Former Fed Chair Yellen promotes “Lower for Longer”, a policy in which the Fed knowingly keeps interest rates too low. Here’s the asinine policy proposal of the day: Fed Should Commit to Future ‘Booms’ to Make Up for Major Busts. The U.S. […]

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ECB & Bonds – People Believe What They Want to Believe

ECB & Bonds – People Believe What They Want to Believe QUESTION: the ECB is arguing that given the low free float of EU bonds (especially German), bonds not owned by the ECB or other central banks, the impact of an end to APP purchases will be nowhere comparable to the tapering sell-off in the US […]

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Trump and the Federal Reserve

Trump and the Federal Reserve Many of us would rather not think about the possibility of President Trump getting reelected, but there is little doubt that he is thinking about it. If Trump is serious about winning reelection, he may want to reconsider the sort of people he is appointing to the Federal Reserve. Virtually all political […]

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The Two Janet’s And The Perfect Storm Ahead

The Two Janet’s And The Perfect Storm Ahead The Bloomberg news crawler this morning is heralding the heart of our thesis: Namely, that “flush with cash from the tax cut”, US companies are heading for a “stock buyback binge of historic proportions”. This isn’t a “told you so” point. It’s dramatic proof that corporate America has […]

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Danielle DiMartino Booth: Don’t Count On The Powell Fed To Rescue The Markets

Danielle DiMartino Booth: Don’t Count On The Powell Fed To Rescue The Markets The new Fed Chair may break from his predecessors The recent gut-wrenching drop in asset prices began on the first day of the job for new Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. How is Mr. Powell likely to react to a suddenly sick-looking market? […]

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The Debt Beneath

The Debt Beneath Debt is irrelevant and matters not. It’s different this time. That’s the message from politicians, markets and participants. Tax cuts pay for themselves (they do not), leverage doesn’t matter (it does) and the increased costs of servicing the debt as a result of rising rates will be offset by imaginary real wage […]

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2017 Year In Review

Tortoon/Shutterstock 2017 Year In Review Markets fiddle while Rome burns Every year, friend-of-the-site David Collum writes a detailed “Year in Review” synopsis full of keen perspective and plenty of wit. This year’s is no exception. As with past years, he has graciously selected PeakProsperity.com as the site where it will be published in full. It’s quite longer than […]

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Weekly Commentary: Chronicling for Posterity 

Weekly Commentary: Chronicling for Posterity  Janet Yellen’s Wednesday news conference was her final as Fed chair. Dr. Yellen has a long and distinguished career as an economist and public servant. Her four-year term at the helm of the Federal Reserve is almost universally acclaimed. History, however, will surely treat her less kindly. Yellen has been […]

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Pecking Order

Pecking Order Out of all the animals we keep on our “farm”, chickens are the only ones that bring me no joy. Chickens are, by nature, brutal and cruel. They will torture the weak to death with their pecks, not because they have to, but because they can. It’s the way their brains are hard-wired, […]

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Weekly Commentary: China Initiating a Global Bear Market?

Weekly Commentary: China Initiating a Global Bear Market? Chair Yellen is widely lauded for her accomplishments at the Federal Reserve. For the most part, her four-year term at the helm of the Fed boils down to four (likely soon to be five) little rate hikes over 24 months. Most lavishing praise upon Janet Yellen believe […]

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US Gross National Debt Jumps $723 billion in 12 Weeks, Yellen “Very Worried about Sustainability of US Debt Trajectory”

US Gross National Debt Jumps $723 billion in 12 Weeks, Yellen “Very Worried about Sustainability of US Debt Trajectory” But only a few lost souls in Congress care. Even as lawmakers are trying to cobble together a tax-cut bill that would cut revenues by $1.5 trillion over ten years, the gross national debt has spiked […]

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Political Economics

Political Economics Who President Trump ultimately picks as the next Federal Reserve Chairman doesn’t really matter. Unless he goes really far afield to someone totally unexpected, whoever that person will be will be largely more of the same. It won’t be a categorical change, a different philosophical direction that is badly needed. Still, politically, it […]

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Richard Sylla: 70% to 80% Chance of Another Global Financial Crisis

Richard Sylla: 70% to 80% Chance of Another Global Financial Crisis When Janet Yellen, Chairman of the US Federal Reserve, said in June that she does not expect another financial crisis in our lifetime, eyebrows were raised. None more so than Richard Sylla’s. Sylla, a professor emeritus at the Stern School of Business and co-author […]

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Nonsensical Global Worries Over Subdued Inflation: Yellen, Draghi, Kuroda

Nonsensical Global Worries Over Subdued Inflation: Yellen, Draghi, Kuroda Central bank presidents at the Fed, the ECB, and Bank of Japan are all concerned over low inflation. The Fed wants to hike anyway, but the Bank of Japan will keep pursuing aggressive monetary easing. Meanwhile, asset prices are in the biggest ever bubble. Bank of […]

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