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Every Big Bit Helps

Every Big Bit Helps The post describes how new supercritical CO2 Brayton Cycle turbines may revolutionise the efficiency of electricty generation. Background image, existing Rankine Cycle steam turbine. Foreground, Brayton Cycle turbine with same power rating. Let’s say you and I need to move 1 million tons of sand. You show up to the site […]

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US Oil Exports Are Exceeding Almost All Predictions—Thanks to Fracking

US Oil Exports Are Exceeding Almost All Predictions—Thanks to Fracking The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported in September that crude oil exports are continuing to set records, mostly due to the fracking boom in the Permian Basin, in Texas and New Mexico. June exports hit a record 2.2 million barrels per day, while the monthly average was up […]

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US Demands For More Oil Could Backfire

US Demands For More Oil Could Backfire This week the State Department accused OPEC of hiding spare capacity exceeding 1.4 million barrels daily. It urged the cartel to use it to stop the oil price rally that has continued uncomfortably close to midterm elections. The request—or demand, depending on your interpretation—is unprecedented and it might […]

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EIA’s Electric Power Monthly – August 2018 Edition with data for July

EIA’s Electric Power Monthly – August 2018 Edition with data for July The EIA released the latest edition of their Electric Power Monthly on September 25th, with data for July 2018. The table above shows the percentage contribution of the main fuel sources to two decimal places for the last two months and the year […]

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The “Weakest” EIA Report In Years

The “Weakest” EIA Report In Years The EIA just published one of the “weakest” weekly oil reports in years, which suggests troubled waters ahead for the global oil market. The timing of the report is not ideal, coming amidst a currency crisis in Turkey, which has raised fears of financial contagion in other emerging markets. […]

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The Productivity Problem In The Permian

The Productivity Problem In The Permian The multi-year campaign to boost efficiency and productivity in the U.S. shale patch could be nearing its limits. Output in the Permian basin is already starting to slowdown, largely due to pipeline constraints. However, there is also a series of other data points that suggests that shale drillers are […]

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The U.S. Oil Production “Mirage”

The U.S. Oil Production “Mirage” Some of the surge in U.S. oil production this past spring might have been “a mirage.” On July 31, the EIA released monthly data on U.S. oil production, which revealed a decline in U.S. output of 30,000 bpd in May, compared to a month earlier. The dip is a surprise, […]

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USA and World Oil Production

USA and World Oil Production All data below is from various sources. All US data is from the EIA. Unless otherwise noted is in thousand barrels per day. US C+C production through April, 2018. For the last 8 months, the average increase in US production has been 168,000 bpd. Most of this has come from […]

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The Problem with EIA Shale Gas and Tight Oil Forecasts

The Problem with EIA Shale Gas and Tight Oil Forecasts Each year the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) produces forecasts of U.S. oil and gas production in its Annual Energy Outlook (AEO), which is widely viewed as an authoritative assessment of what to expect for future U.S. oil and gas output (the EIA prefers the […]

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Oil Prices Fall As EIA Confirms Inventory Build

Oil Prices Fall As EIA Confirms Inventory Build After a surprise 5.32-million-barrel inventory build reported by the American Petroleum Institute (API) weighed on oil prices yesterday, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) is reportinga build of 1.6 million barrels for the week ending March 23. The markets, which have not had a chance to react to […]

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United States as energy exporter: Is it “fake news”?

United States as energy exporter: Is it “fake news”? Much of the media coverage of the American energy industry implies that America has become a vast and growing exporter of energy to the rest of the world and that this has created a sort of “energy dominance” for the country on the world stage. Whether […]

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EIA’s Shocking U.S. Oil Production Predictions

EIA’s Shocking U.S. Oil Production Predictions Between 2010 and 2015, annual oil production in the U.S. grew by four million barrels per day (BPD). Production dipped in 2016, but then U.S. crude oil production again rose by 1.2 million BPD between January and December 2017, to levels that haven’t been seen since the early 1970s. […]

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EIA USA Reserve Estimates

EIA USA Reserve Estimates EIA reserve estimates for USA for 2016 have been issued (a couple of months later than usual). The numbers they provide are ‘proven’ reserves of crude, condensate and natural gas. The data is provided directly by the E&Ps with some adjustments made by EIA for missing numbers. The data show reserves […]

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LNG comes to Boston, a harbinger of the future?

LNG comes to Boston, a harbinger of the future? The most curious natural gas story of the year so far comes out of Boston and seems to have echoes of a deepening Russia-related scandal in Washington. A liquefied natural gas (LNG) tanker bearing natural gas produced in part in Russia delivered its cargo to the […]

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U.S. Department of Energy Doubles Down on Shale Optimism

U.S. Department of Energy Doubles Down on Shale Optimism The U.S. stock market is not the only thing that’s gotten overheated in the last few years. Exuberance over U.S. energy output has hit a record high as natural gas production has reached its all-time peak, and oil production nears highs not seen in 47 years. […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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