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Tag Archives: credit bubble
From ZIRP to NIRP
From ZIRP to NIRP The sudden end of the Fed’s ambition to raise interest rates above the zero bound, coupled with the FOMC’s minutes, which expressed concerns about emerging market economies, has got financial scribblers writing about negative interest rate policies (NIRP). Coincidentally, Andrew Haldane, the chief economist at the Bank of England, published a […]
The Unwind
The Unwind Too often it’s as if I’m analyzing an altogether different world than conventional analysts. My strong preference is to be viewed as an adept and determined analyst, as opposed to some wacko extremist. I have always tried to distinguish my analysis from the “lunatic fringe.” It’s my overarching thesis that the world is […]
The REAL Reason China’s Economy Is Crashing
The REAL Reason China’s Economy Is Crashing China 2015 = U.S. 2008 We noted in 2009, in a piece titled “China 2009 = America 2001 = Rome 11 BC“: One of the top experts on China’s economy – [economics professor] Michael Pettis – has a very long but interesting essay arguing that China is blowing a giant […]
Riskiest End of the Junk Bond Market Just Blew Up
Riskiest End of the Junk Bond Market Just Blew Up You wouldn’t know by looking at the US Treasury market, which remained relatively sanguine this week, with only a little panic buying on Tuesday. So 10-year Treasuries ended the week near where they’d started it. But at the other end of the spectrum, the riskiest […]
SoT #41 – Wolf Richter: How Will The Global Asset Bubbles Unfold?
SoT #41 – Wolf Richter: How Will The Global Asset Bubbles Unfold? Stock bubble, credit market bubbles and housing market bubbles. Unfettered money printing by Central Banks globally have created massive bubbles of unprecedented proportions across all asset classes. Once Government and the Central Banks lose the power to stop markets from going down, you’ll […]
When Bonds Go Kaboom!
When Bonds Go Kaboom! We’re not the only ones giving Neanderthal advice about holding on to physical cash. British newspaper the Telegraph reports: The manager of one of Britain’s biggest bond funds has urged investors to keep cash under the mattress. Ian Spreadbury, who invests more than £4bn of investors’ money across a handful of bond funds for […]
A Much Bigger Threat Than Our National Debt
A Much Bigger Threat Than Our National Debt The markets are acting as though it was already summer. They are wandering around with little ambition in either direction. Meanwhile, we’ve been wondering about… and trying to explain… what it is we are really doing at the Diary. We expect a violent monetary shock, in which the dollar […]
What We Learned over Dinner from a Swiss Central Banker
What We Learned over Dinner from a Swiss Central Banker Dear Diary, Today… what we learned over dinner from a surprisingly smart central banker. But first, to the markets… The Dow shot up 121 Dow points yesterday, recovering most of Tuesday’s slide. In a series of business meetings Tuesday and Wednesday, we explained why nobody but us is rooting for […]
Bank Reserves and Loans: The Fed is Pushing On a String
Bank Reserves and Loans: The Fed is Pushing On a String The money multiplier effect no longer works. As you (hopefully) know, we live in a fractional reserve banking system: if the bank is required to have $1 in cash reserves for every $10 in loans, it means the bank creates $10 of new money when it issues a […]
What does $200 trillion of debt really mean for the global economy?’
What does $200 trillion of debt really mean for the global economy? A few years ago, in the depths of the recession caused by the financial crisis, I began an investigation into the consequences of several economic trends that I thought were bound to put a permanent end to the boom times that my generation, […]
