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Our Leaders Made a Pact with the Devil, and Now the Devil Wants His Due

Our Leaders Made a Pact with the Devil, and Now the Devil Wants His Due The unprecedented credit-fueled bubbles in stocks, bonds and real estate are popping, and America’s corrupt leaders can only stammer and spew excuses and empty promises. Unbeknownst to most people, America’s leadership made a pact with the Devil: rather than face the […]

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Surviving 2020 #3: Plans A, B and C

Surviving 2020 #3: Plans A, B and C Readers ask for specific recommendations for successfully navigating the post-credit/speculative-bubble era and I try to do so while explaining the impossibility of the task. As the bogus prosperity economy built on exponential growth of debt implodes, we all seek ways to protect ourselves, our families and our worldly assets. There […]

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No Fix for Recession: Without a Financial Crisis, There’s No Central Bank Policy Fix

No Fix for Recession: Without a Financial Crisis, There’s No Central Bank Policy Fix There are no extreme “fixes” to secular declines in sales, profits, employment, tax revenues and asset prices.  The saying “never let a crisis go to waste” embodies several truths worth pondering as the stock market nears new highs. One truth is that […]

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Weekly Commentary: Canary in the Credit Market’s Coal Mine

Weekly Commentary: Canary in the Credit Market’s Coal Mine What ever happened to “Six Sigma”?  GE was one of the most beloved and hyped S&P500 stocks during the late-nineties Bubble Era. With “visionary” Jack Welch at the helm, GE was being transformed into a New Age industrial powerhouse – epitomizing the greater revolution of the […]

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When Does This Travesty of a Mockery of a Sham Finally End?

When Does This Travesty of a Mockery of a Sham Finally End? Credit bubbles are not engines of sustainable employment, they are only engines of malinvestment and wealth destruction on a grand scale. We all know the Status Quo’s response to the global financial meltdown of 2008 has been a travesty of a mockery of […]

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How “Ghost Collateral” And “Yin-Yang” Property Deals Will Collapse China’s Credit Bubble

How “Ghost Collateral” And “Yin-Yang” Property Deals Will Collapse China’s Credit Bubble One lesson from the 2007-08 crisis was that the vast majority of financial market participants, never mind the general public, were unfamiliar with subprime mortgages until the crisis was underway. Even now, we doubt many have much understanding of repo, the divergence between […]

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PBOC’s Zhou Warns Of “Sudden, Complex, Hidden, Contagious, Hazardous” Risks In Global Markets

PBOC’s Zhou Warns Of “Sudden, Complex, Hidden, Contagious, Hazardous” Risks In Global Markets Just two weeks after warning of the potential for an imminent ‘Minsky Moment’, Chinese central bank governor Zhou Xiaochuan has penned a lengthy article on The PBOC’s website that warns ominously of latent risks accumulating, including some that are “hidden, complex, sudden, […]

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An Accountant Smells a Rat – Peter Diekmeyer

An Accountant Smells a Rat – Peter Diekmeyer Twenty years ago Doug Noland was so worried about imbalances surrounding the dot.com boom that he began to title his weekly reports “The Credit Bubble Bulletin. Years later, he warned the world about the impending 2008 crisis. However a coming implosion, he says, could be the biggest […]

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Albert Edwards: “Citizen Rage” Will Soon Be Directed At “Schizophrenic” Central Banks

Albert Edwards: “Citizen Rage” Will Soon Be Directed At “Schizophrenic” Central Banks Perhaps having grown tired of fighting windmills, it was several weeks since Albert Edwards’ latest rant against central banks. However, we were confident that recent developments out of the Fed and BOE were sure to stir the bearish strategist out of hibernation, and […]

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Fed Vice Chair Fischer Admits Fed is Waiting for Godot

Fed Vice Chair Fischer Admits Fed is Waiting for Godot The Fed’s fourth mandate. In his keynote speech on the usual suspects of central-bank topics at the Institute of International Finance’s big shindig in Washington DC today, Fed Vice Chair Stanley Fischer nevertheless managed to develop a new theory for a fourth Fed mandate. This […]

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The G-20s Big Fat Zero——Now Comes The Bubble’s Demise!

The G-20s Big Fat Zero——Now Comes The Bubble’s Demise! The tens of millions of taxpayer money wasted at the G-20’s Shanghai soirée had a silver lining. The assembled masters of world finance came up with a big fat zero on the coordinated global stimulus front. So doing, they essentially admitted that their money printing central banks are out of dry powder (“…but monetary […]

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Sudden Death? Junk-Rated Companies Headed for Biggest “Refinancing Cliff” Ever: Moody’s

Sudden Death? Junk-Rated Companies Headed for Biggest “Refinancing Cliff” Ever: Moody’s At the worst possible time. Most of the defaults, debt restructurings, and bankruptcies so far this year and last year were triggered when over-indebted cash-flow negative companies could not make interest payments on their debts. During the crazy days of the peak of the […]

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China Has A “Colossal Credit Bubble” And No One Knows How It Will Unwind, Marc Faber Warns

China Has A “Colossal Credit Bubble” And No One Knows How It Will Unwind, Marc Faber Warns A little over a week ago, Marc Faber dialed in from Thailand to chat with Bloomberg TV about the outlook for US equities, the American economy, and USTs in the new year. The US is “already in a recession,” the […]

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Now Comes The Great Unwind—-How Evaporating Commodity Wealth Will Slam The Casino

Now Comes The Great Unwind—-How Evaporating Commodity Wealth Will Slam The Casino The giant credit fueled boom of the last 20 years has deformed the global economy in ways that are both visible and less visible. As to the former, it only needs be pointed out that an economy based on actual savings from real production […]

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From ZIRP to NIRP

From ZIRP to NIRP The sudden end of the Fed’s ambition to raise interest rates above the zero bound, coupled with the FOMC’s minutes, which expressed concerns about emerging market economies, has got financial scribblers writing about negative interest rate policies (NIRP). Coincidentally, Andrew Haldane, the chief economist at the Bank of England, published a […]

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