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July 7, 2024 Readings
July 7, 2024 Readings
War is Peace: Andrew Carnegie’s “Temple of Peace” in the Hague–Dr. Jacob Nordangard
Crash Or Bear Market, Either Way Stocks Going “Down, A Lot”: Mark Spiegel–Quoth the Raven
Communicative Resilience in a World-in-Crisis: It Gets Personal! Part 1–Reslience.org.
Google’s Net Zero Plans Are Going Up In Smoke–Robert Bryce
Earth’s Latest ‘Vital Signs’ Show the Planet Is in Crisis | Scientific American
Climate change is pushing up food prices — and worrying central banks–Financial Times
July 6, 2024 Readings
July 6, 2024 Readings
The meme that is destroying Western civilisation—Part III–Steve KeenI
World’s Largest Fusion Reactor is Finally Completed, the Test Run Is 15 Years Away – MishTalk
Back in the USSR. Are We the Soviets Now?–Robert Malone
David Stockman on Why the Federal Reserve is Running Out of Monetary Oxygen–David Stockman
Finland gives US control over 15 military bases–InfoBRICs
Russia Finally Acknowledges That She Is at War with Washington – Global Research
Biden and Trump Battle over a Rattle – Edward J. Curtin, Jr.
Who Turned Off the Gaslight–James Howard Kunstler
War Games | how to save the world–Dave Pollard
Crash Or Bear Market, Either Way Stocks Going “Down, A Lot”: Mark Spiegel–Quoth the Raven
10 Signs That Global War Is Rapidly Approaching–Michael Snyder
The coming population collapse — Part 2 | by Subhash Kak
‘They’re Everywhere’: Common Foods Linked to Elevated Levels of PFAS in Body–Common Dreams
Russia Holds Mobile Nuclear Missile Launcher Drills Days Before NATO Summit In DC | ZeroHedge
July 5, 2024 Readings
July 5, 2024 Readings
Move Over, Disaster Capitalism–Make Room for Addiction Capitalism–Charles Hugh Smith
No Escape From Unchecked Government Spending and Deficits…Here’s The Proof–Crisis Investing
Doug Casey on Revisionist History and How the Good Guys Don’t Always Win
Cat 4 Hurricane Beryl Heads Towards Texas, Threatening Major Oil Refineries | ZeroHedge
Craig Murray’s Campaign Against Empire – Read by Eunice Wong
Egypt Teeters On Brink Of Economic Ruin As Public Debt Mounts, Poverty Rate Soars | ZeroHedge
Green New Scam Is Dying – The Daily Reckoning
The Massive Harm of LNG Fracking, Tallied | The Tyee
The Status of U.S. Oil Production: 2024 Update Everything Shines By Dimming – resilience
From Milk Runs to MAD to Madness | Mises Institute
Borneo’s Dayak adapt Indigenous forestry to modern peat management–MongaBay
Brace for Peak Impact | Do the Math
It’s Too Hot For Trains In Canada–Guy McPherson
This Civilization Is Deeply Unnatural–Caitlin Jonstone
The Media Don’t Get Degrowth–Degrowth Is The Answer
From Milk Runs to MAD to Madness | Mises Institute
The Awesome, Terrifying Power of the Press
Scientists And Farmers Restore Aztec-Era Floating Farms That House Axolotls–MongaBay
Rebuilding the flax / textile industry as a commons: Fantasy Fibre Mill
Reporters Blame “Right-Wing Media” for Their Failure to Disclose Biden’s Infirmity – JONATHAN TURLEY
July 4, 2024 Readings
July 4, 2024 Readings
Petrodollar Panic: Separating Fact From Fiction – RIA
The Politics of Exhaustion–Aurelien
“Gaza Is Complicated.” No It Isn’t, Grow Up.–Caitlin Johstone
Germany expanding intelligence services amid its “preparation for war” with Russia–InfoBRICS
Large Maneuvers of War in Europe Under US Command. Manlio Dinucci – Global Research
The meme that is destroying Western civilisation–Part 1–Steve Keen
Iron In The Blood–Zero Input Agriculture
Drumbeats of a Greater Israel War – by David Haggith
Oh No, Now The US Has To Stop Imprisoning Ex-Presidents For Their Crimes!–Caitlin Johnstone
Unveiling the Brennan-Clapper Files: How January 6 Shifted Surveillance Powers–Reclaim the Net
We’re All Living Season 5 of “The Wire” – by Matt Taibbi
Out-of-Control Government Spending Will Break America… And It Just Got Worse–Crisis Investing
How To Obtain REAL Independence… Minimizing the State’s Ability To Coerce You–International Man
The US Is A “Runaway Train” | ZeroHedge
Looking Back, Looking Forward–Chris Smaje
What Does Collapse Look Like? – David Moscrop
240,000 people evacuated in China rainstorms–Phys.org
Climate change is pushing up food prices — and worrying central banks–Financial Time
July 3, 2024 Readings
July 3, 2024 Readings
2019: Peak (Western) Civilization–The Honest Sorcerer
Summer Reflections–Erik Michaels
The Long Forum June 2024 – by Shane Simonsen
Can The Law Drag Fossil Fuels Into Greener Pastures?
We Are All Joe Biden (And Malthus Was Not a Reptilian)–Ugo Bardi
The Coming US Budget Disaster Will Impoverish Americans | Mises Institute
Ongoing Propaganda From Corporate Media Outlets–Guy McPherson
Category 4 Beryl on collision course with Windward Islands
Hundreds Dying Everyday In Karachi As Pakistan Battles Brutal Summer–Independent
Tropical rains will shift northward in the coming decades – Earth.com
The True Catastrophe of Our Times – TomDispatch.com
Restoring Nature Is Our Only Climate Solution – resilience
I saw first-hand just how much fracking destroys the earth | Rebecca Solnit | The Guardian
How World Leaders Are Scrambling to Secure Food in The Shadows | by Eric Lee | Jun, 2024 | Medium
China deploys aircraft carrier off Philippine coast amid tensions | World News – Business Standard
You Are Materials Blind–Matt Orsagh
Third Of Nuclear-Plant Owners In Talks With Tech Firms To Power Up AI Data Centers | ZeroHedge
NATO Mulls Imposing No-Fly Zone Over Western Ukraine | ZeroHedge
Biden’s De Facto EV Mandate At Risk After Supreme Court ‘Chevron’ Ruling
July 2, 2024 Readings
Groundwater Depletion Maps Reveal Depths of “Extreme” and “Exceptional” Mexican Drought
Saudi Arabia Breaks US Global Power?
Very Hard Times are Coming – Charles Nenner | Greg Hunter’s USAWatchdog
Debt Brakes and Treaty Requirements About to Smash the EU – MishTalk
Brazil’s Supreme Court Is Hiring Contractors To Monitor Social Media and Track Dissenters
EU’s Mass Surveillance Faces Fierce Resistance
The Delusion of Advanced Plastic Recycling Using Pyrolysis — ProPublica
‘Gold mine’ of century-old wheat varieties could help breeders restore long lost traits | Science
David Stockman on The Ukrainian Border War Folly – International Man
Episode 61: Psychological Warfare in Pharma Marketing ft: Robert Malone
U.S. Government Historical Debt – by Lau Vegys
Ticking Time Bomb: Space Junk Is Eating Away at Earth’s Ozone Layer
Big Tech Coalition Partners With WEF, Pushes “Global Digital Safety” Standards
World Economic Forum Pushes For AI Use and Collaboration in Fighting “Misinformation”
Wellbeing: UNCONNECT – by Robert W Malone MD, MS
Big Brother on Board: UK Train Stations Use Amazon-Powered AI to Read People’s Mood
The Confiscation of Reality ⋆ Brownstone Institute
Science Snippets: The Ability to Grow Food is Threatened by Climate Change
Red Sea Diversion Causes Congestion at World’s Busiest Port | OilPrice.com
As Inflation Rises, Prepare for Crime | SchiffGold
“Remarkably Lopsided”: NYT Bestseller Bias Laid Bare | ZeroHedge
July 1, 2024 Readings
Common Household Cleaning Product Found To Release Trillions of Microplastic Fibers
Widespread floods in Bangladesh leave over 2 million people stranded – The Watchers
Neo-Nazi Junta’s F-16s Flying From NATO Countries – Great Way to Start WW3 – Global Research
Amazon Sparks Outrage with “Do Not Promote” Book Ban List Following Biden Admin Pressure
Russia promises retaliation against US for Ukraine strike on Crimea | Reuters
Massive sewage spill prompts beach closures along California’s Central Coast | KTLA
New tipping point discovered beneath the Antarctic ice sheet
Is Globalization Dead? Two Views, Brad Setser’s and Mine – MishTalk
You Can’t Taper a Ponzi Scheme – International Man
Inflation Keeps Coming in Waves, but Economist Can’t Even Get on their Surfboards
Yet Another Self-Reinforcing Feedback Loop Ensures the Irreversibility of Climate Change
The Big Squeeze: Inflation as a Cover for Profiteering
What happened to Canada? – Lean Out with Tara Henley
Norway starts stockpiling grain again, citing the pandemic, war and climate change | AP News
From Black Sea to US Midwest, extreme weather threatens crop output | Reuters
Ending Growth Won’t Save the Planet
A Conservative Wins in Toronto for the First Time in Over 30 Years – MishTalk
The Third World War Has Been Cancelled. – by Aurelien
Assange’s Plea: A Controversial End to a 14-Year Legal Struggle and the Impact on Free Speech
Weekend Reads: Big Media’s Big Mistake
The Collapse Is Coming. Will Humanity Adapt? – Nautilus
Delhi Police Deploys Water Cannons on Water Shortage Protesters, Netizens Respond – Thar Tribune
Climate Code Red: 1.5 degrees Celsius is here and now
The “EU Defense Line” Is The Latest Euphemism For The New Iron Curtain
Hurricane Beryl To Intensify Into “Extremely Dangerous Cat. 4” Storm | ZeroHedge
More Than 40% of U.S. EV Buyers Want To Go Back To Combustion Engine Cars, McKinsey Study Says
13 Nations Sign Agreement to Engineer Global Famine by Destroying Food Supply – News Addicts
June 30, 2024 Readings
Up to half a million NATO soldiers waiting to enter Ukraine
Our Rulers Are Literally Driving Us Crazy
Doug Casey on Insider Trading… Why Politicians Can Do it and You Can’t
You Keep Using the Term ‘Authoritarian’ ⋆ Brownstone Institute
Over 80 UK war planes deployed from Cyprus to Lebanon since 7 Oct: Report
Dam In East Texas On ‘Potential Failure Watch’ | ZeroHedge
Lithium: A Clean Energy Solution with a Dirty Secret | OilPrice.com
Iran Threatens Israel With ‘Obliterating War’ If It Attacks Lebanon | ZeroHedge
Low snow on the Himalayas threatens water security: Study
Groundwater Depletion Maps Reveal Depths of “Extreme” and “Exceptional” Mexican Drought
The Supreme Court Punts on Censorship – by Matt Taibbi
Sky’s the Limit For Our Debt and the Money Supply
It was the media, led by the Guardian, that kept Julian Assange behind bars
Are Humans Worth More Than Other Organisms?
Climate crisis sees rise in illegal water markets in the Middle East
Panama Canal agency warns water shortage “is not over”
From Assange to 9/11 to Supply Chain Failures: When Can You Believe Government Explanations?
Pyongyang Says It Will Send Troops to Ukraine Within a Month
Electing the Next Dictator: Ugly Truths You Won’t Hear from Trump or Biden – Global Research
Trade War Between Europe and China Is Creeping Closer – Global Research
US, UK and EU Preparing for War Against Russia. Reinstating the Draft – Global Research
America’s Dark Day – Scott Ritter Extra
Big Banks Pass an Extreme Stress Test Including 10 Percent Unemployment – MishTalk
As Putin floats peace terms, US-Ukraine call for prolonged war
G3P: Global Public-Private Partnerships and the United Nations
Here’s Why These Troubling Trends Mean Mass Chaos is Likely Coming to the West…
Chaos is Spreading Everywhere! – by David Haggith
Where and Why Tornado Risk is Growing as Climate – and Communities – Change
How To Stay Cool Without Air Conditioning
We’ve Hit Peak Denial. Here’s Why We Can’t Turn Away From Reality | Scientific American
Scientists “Puzzled and Concerned” – by Guy R McPherson
Our Propagandized Society Is Like A Sick Man Who Doesn’t Know He’s Sick
What Would Happen If This Event of 41 Years Ago Happened Today? – Global Research
June 29, 2024 Readings
Attempting a new format (that I will probably fiddle with for a week or so) for sharing articles of interest. Below you will find a number of links to those articles. Note that I may add a few before the day ends so check back. Hope this works for everyone…
First-Responder Trauma: A New Framework for Activists
Climate Disaster Preparation Guide | by Climate Survivor | Jun, 2024 | Medium
The World Lost Two-Thirds Of Its Wildlife In 50 Years. We Are to Blame
How Does Anyone Still Care About This Bullshit?
Health Prepping: Microbiome Maintenance is Key to…Everything
The Coming US Budget Disaster Will Impoverish Americans | Mises Institute
oftwominds-Charles Hugh Smith: 10 Geopolitical / Financial Risks to the Global Economy
Welsh Police Pay Home Visit To Man For Displaying Reform UK Political Sign
American Pravda: JFK, LBJ, and Our Great National Shame, by Ron Unz
Fact-Checking Network Says Online Face Checks Aren’t Censorship
US Readies To Evacuate Americans From Lebanon If War Erupts, Marines En Route | ZeroHedge
The UN: “We must all work to eradicate (hate speech) completely.
UN food chief: Poorest areas have zero harvests left
Where is the Sense of Urgency? – by Matt Orsagh
A water war is looming between Mexico and the US. Neither side will win | CNN
The pervasive belief in the eternal progress of mankind has been a crucial, driving element of Western liberalism for generations. It is starting to break down.
The most powerful force in Western politics today is a cultural virus that is always chewing away at our instincts for self-preservation. It is why millions of people support infinity wind turbines and infinity solar panels, even if these make their electricity more expensive and less reliable. It is related to out-group identification and the cultural fetish for victim minorities, and thus explains the popular impulses that permit mass migration. At the broadest level, this force accounts for an important phenomenon in modern politics, whereby millions of people support policies that make their lives objectively worse, while parties responsible for these policies appear utterly immune to their own failures, if they are not actively rewarded for them.
You might call this force “expectant progressivism.” It is the quiet, unstudied belief that things are always getting better, more just, more abundant, more enlightened, more advanced and more human-rightsey. Expectant progressives view the past teleologically, as one massive Whig-historical fable, and they regard their political preferences as investments in moral futures. They aim to put their names on the next brave innovations in social and economic justice while these are still culturally cheap – that is to say, controversial and disputed. Once these innovations become new cornerstones in the liberal consensus, the expectant progressives will be able to cash in on their far-sighted, humanitarian convictions. They will enjoy the privilege of proclaiming that they were, once again, on the right side of history.
…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…
Bring Back Capitalism
Bring Back Capitalism
A new generation of unscrupulous political leaders and Wall Street hucksters has come up with a brilliant plan to outwit the populist revolt: pretending to be critics of capitalism
Raise your hand if you saw this headline from the New York Times last week coming:
The name of Bret Stephens may be the one most associated with “markets” in media. Even his struggle-sessionish “I was wrong about climate change” piece in 2022 came with a caveat that witnessing melting glaciers in Greenland just reinforced “my belief that markets, not government, provide the cure.” Seeing an article about capitalism failing the middle class above his byline is like reading “Grammer is Overrayted” by William Safire, or “Globalism: It Doesn’t Float My Plane” by Thomas Friedman. In the end Stephens tried to say something in defense of markets, but in a bizarre reversal from 15 years ago, such protestations now need to be couched as indictments of the profit motive, especially in papers like the Times, whose upscale readers are continuing their preposterous pose of socialist chic.
The mainstream press was once home to reflexive, often hysterical defenses of the free-market system. Op-ed pages saw even the CEOs of firms caught trading against their own clients defended as “wealth creators” who did “God’s work” for a “social purpose.” No more. Now, even the very wealthy give performative speeches about the pitfalls of capitalism, corporate-funded think-tanks routinely decry its failures, and polls on sites like Fast Company even show that 35% of “C-suite executives” react negatively to the word, “capitalism.” What gives? The only headline I recall in recent years that unironically cheered the capitalist idea was a Washington Post op-ed from last summer: “Elon Musk’s Twitter Failure Shows Capitalism is Working.”
…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…
“Wiki-Gate”: Julian Assange Was Framed by the People Who Supported Him
1. Julian Assange is Free, but “Freedom of Speech has Passed”
Julian Assange left Belmarsh maximum security prison on the morning of 24 June. He was granted bail by the High Court in London and was released at Stansted airport during the afternoon, where he boarded a plane and departed the UK.
We must acknowledge the “dodgy nature” of the negotiations with the US DOJ: The deal reached on June 24, was that Assange:
“agrees to plead guilty to ONE felony related to the disclosure of national security information in exchange for his release from Belmarsh Prison in the United Kingdom” (Common Dreams, June 24, 2024)
Holding the Assange Court Case in a Remote “Territorial Court” in the Northern Mariana Islands. Why?
The Northern Mariana are remote islands of 50,000 inhabitants in the Pacific North of Guam which belong to the U.S. Commonwealth.
Confirmed by media reports (CBS, BBC): Assange will not spend time in US custody. He will receive “credit for the time spent incarcerated in the UK”.
“Assange will return to Australia, according to a letter from the Justice Department”.
His guilty plea to only ONE charge is slated to be finalized in the “Remote” “District Court” of the Northern Mariana Islands on June 26.
The Criminalization of Justice? Threat to the First Amendment
What is the End-Game of Assange’s “guilty plea” to be decided upon at the hearings of the “Territorial Court’ of the Northern Mariana Islands?
Assange had agreed to plead guilty to “one felony for conspiring to unlawfully obtain and disseminate classified information related to U.S. national defense”, as outlined in a DOJ Letter together with other documents (filed in U.S. District Court in the Northern Mariana Islands, a U.S. territory in the Pacific)
…click on the link above to read the rest of the article…
Assange Is Free, But Justice Has Not Been Done
Listen to a reading of this article (reading by Tim Foley):
Julian Assange is free. As of this writing he is en route to the Northern Mariana Islands, a remote US territory in the western Pacific, to finalize a plea deal with the US government which will see him sentenced to time served in Belmarsh Prison. Barring any shady shenanigans from the empire in the process, he will then return to his home country of Australia a free man.
Importantly, according to experts I’ve seen commenting on this astonishing new development it doesn’t appear that his plea deal will set any new legal precedents that will be harmful to journalists going forward. Joe Lauria reports the following for Consortium News:
“Bruce Afran, a U.S. constitutional lawyer, told Consortium News that a plea deal does not create a legal precedent. Therefore Assange’s deal would not jeopardize journalists in the future of being prosecuted for accepting and publishing classified information from a source because of Assange’s agreeing to such a charge.”
I’ve obviously got a lot of big feels about all this, having followed this important case so closely for so long and having put so much work into writing about it. There’s so very, very much work to be done in our collective struggle to liberate the world from the talons of the imperial murder machine, but I am overjoyed for Assange and his family, and it feels good to mark a solid win in this fight.
None of this undoes the unforgivable evils the empire inflicted in its persecution of Julian Assange however, or reverses the worldwide damage that has been done by making a public example of him to show what happens to a journalist who tells inconvenient truths about the world’s most powerful government.
…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…
Exposed: How Climate Racketeers Aim to Force Us into Smart Gulags
Exposed: How Climate Racketeers Aim to Force Us into Smart Gulags
In Australia and NZ, “managed retreat” schemes could force people out of homes that “climate change” models render “uninsurable”
The criminocratic global imperialists often use their Commonwealth colonies to try out the most insidious escalations of their tyranny – think of Canada, New Zealand and Australia during Covid.
We can therefore assume that this is going to be the blueprint for the roll-out of their Fourth Industrial Revolution agenda across the world.
The sinister scheme in question, called “Managed Retreat”, has been exposed by independent researcher Kate Mason on her excellent Substack blog aimed at “deconstructing 4IR narratives”.
The idea is that exaggerated “modelling” of the imagined effects of “climate change” is being used to define certain areas as unsuitable for human settlement.
Working hand in hand with the state is the insurance industry – long a central part of the corrupt criminocratic empire – which deems homes in these areas to be “uninsurable”.
Banks are also playing their part (of course!) saying they are unwilling to provide mortgages for these “uninsurable” properties.
In her latest article, Kate refers to a TV report about Kensington Banks, near Melbourne city centre, which has been newly declared a flood zone.
She writes: “Property prices are expected to plummet by 20 percent. I think that’s rather conservative – who is going to buy in a flood zone? Unless it’s a developer who will raze it all to the ground and build a Smart Resilient complex”.
Meanwhile, in New Zealand, residents are up in arms about attempts to impose “retreat” from coastal areas under the pretext of a predicted rise in sea levels.
…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…
Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CLXXXII–Tech ‘Solutions’ Are Us
Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CLXXXII–Tech ‘Solutions’ Are Us
Pompeii, Italy (1984). Photo by author.
Tech ‘Solutions’ Are Us
I wanted to share another one of those conversations I have been involved in. It is not unlike many I see occur (and sometimes get involved in) when someone posts definitive support for the pursuit of complex technologies to sustain our current energy-intensive and resource-extractive living arrangements. In this particular case, it was a link I shared to an article by energy writer/researcher Alice Friedemann. The original post and comments that lead to my final response can be found at the end of this introductory few paragraphs and my final response.
First, I wanted to highlight that I am about half-way through reading and summarising another archaeology research article, with some of the arguments made in it finding its way into my final response during the conversation about technological ‘solutions’ to our energy/resource predicament.
It’s most interesting to see how the archaeological evidence regarding past society’s adaptations to resource and environmental issues is not significantly dissimilar to modern-day attempts, except perhaps in scale (and we can thank significant surplus net energy from hydrocarbons for this). Technological innovations are pursued to help problem solve and adapt, but not all are successful and can lead to ‘collapse’. This ‘collapse’ may take centuries or, if the innovations are unsuccessful, only a generation or two.
The April 2010 article entitled Complexity and Sustainability: Perspectives From the Ancient Maya and the Modern Balinese by V.L. Scarborough and W.R. Burnside was published in the journal American Antiquity. It concludes that “Both of these complex societies used labortasking to adapt to local ecological limitations in semi-tropical settings. These societies used heterarchical organizations to accretionally engineer and manage their environments, strategies that promoted long-term resilience. Case studies such as these provide a nuanced picture of different paths to social complexity and highlight their relative costs, benefits, and potential for long-term sustainability.”
I’m perhaps halfway through the article and its summarising (already over 15 pages of typed notes) and hope to get through it sometime in the next few weeks; the unusually high amount of precipitation our region north of Toronto has received so far this growing season has led to phenomenal growth in my garden requiring constant maintenance and most of my time. I think the unusually high humidity has also contributed to some disease issues in a few of my fruit trees that has me needing to ‘problem solve’ a bit more than usual–leaf curl in my peach trees, mosaic virus in my apple trees, and no blossoms on my cherry tree (but no sign of cherry aphids this year, a win).
In the meantime, here’s my final response in that conversation from the following post:
Original post that I put out back on March 24, 2024:
Peak hydrocarbons. If you’re not aware of why the peak of hydrocarbons (especially diesel) should send warning sirens blaring through our world, you need to read this article (and most of the other articles on the linked site) by energy researcher and writer Alice Friedemann.
My final response with previous commentary immediately afterwards:
LB, We will have to agree to disagree, especially as it pertains to the feasibility and consequences of chasing complex technological ‘solutions’ to our energy predicament.
Pre/history is pretty clear that virtually every complex society over the past dozen millennia or so has eventually ‘collapsed’. This ‘collapse’ appears to result from diminishing returns on societal investments in complexity along with overexploitation of the natural environment, especially the resources required to support growing complexities.
Further, those societies that pursue novel technological innovations to sustain their growth tend to ‘collapse’ faster than those that do not. In fact, adoption of a misguided innovation can lead to ‘collapse’ relatively quickly, in just a generation or two. The most ‘sustainable’ societies are those that focus upon ‘labourtasking’ that leverages human and draft animal power (as opposed to technology) which serves to severely limit ecological destruction and drawdown of resources.
Rather than pursue a more sustainable path (although labourtasking is still not fully sustainable since complexities of large human groupings, even if based upon manual labour, are still resource/energy dependent and encounter diminishing returns as they grow leading to eventual ‘collapse’), we are increasingly pursuing complex and heavily resource-dependent technologies–a sure recipe for a quick and broad ‘collapse’.
Not surprisingly, this approach (and the narrative that it’s fully doable, clean/green, and sustainable) is being heavily marketed and pushed by those at the top of our power/wealth structures that stand to profit immensely from the pursuit (including academia)—to say little about the geopolitical resource wars this path spawns and that seem to be growing and spreading as we bump up against biophysical limits evermore seriously. That many (most?) support this approach is not surprising given the vast propaganda/marketing machine of our ruling caste and the vilification of dissenters.
Further, our current experiment with a global, industrial-based society has turbo-charged this ‘technotasking’ approach via its leveraging of hydrocarbons and economic machinations (i.e., debt/credit creation to pull growth from the future). The past two centuries in particular have witnessed incredible population and economic growth. While some view this as positive, this one-sided perspective completely ignores the ecologically-destructive enterprises involved and that have spread to almost every corner of the globe. And all of it, of course, depends very much upon exponentially-increasing energy/resource extraction and production, the pursuit of which has already encountered significant diminishing returns.
Part of the reason so many buy into the technotasking approach is because of the perceived ‘success’ our species has encountered over the past dozen or so millennia in using it, but this completely ignores/denies so much of the negative impacts; impacts that are metastasizing as our population and energy/resource demands grow exponentially—consider for a moment the requirements being bandied about to support the AI ‘revolution’; a pursuit that is estimating energy needs that far, far surpass current abilities and are calling for a tripling/quadrupling (or more) of our current energy/resource production/extraction.
As for a 2050 plan for a “world of 7 billion middle class affluent consumers”, we can make all sorts of ‘scientific’ predictions based upon possibilities founded upon our technological prowess and human ingenuity, but the hope of exponential growth of our exploitive and extractive consumption has already bumped up against the limits to such a path and we are increasingly seeing the negative impacts and consequences. It’s just that in our unique story-telling way we have created a world where inconvenient reality to our wishes/hopes are denied/ignored/rationalised away.
Untestable mathematical models of the future can be devised to support anything. Sure small-scale prototypes might suggest some marginal possibilities but use one flawed assumption in the modelling to propose global adoption and the conclusions that suggest success are less than meaningless–they are dangerous, especially if we adhere to the precautionary principle.
Yes, we will likely continue to pursue these damaging and unattainable ‘solutions’ since the world’s profiteers (especially the media, financial institutions, and political systems) are pushing/supporting them. And many (most?) will support them because the idea of limiting our growth/expansion has been broadly vilified and we have been conditioned to believe such a path is our ‘right’ and that everything has a ‘solution’—if just enough resources are thrown into them–we just need to believe.
War over resources? Never. Wars are simply some ‘other’ wishing to destroy our ‘democracy’ and living standards because they hate us. We need to protect ourselves by imposing our will upon them and then we’ll make sure their natural resources are used judiciously–especially for green/clean tech.
Overloaded planetary sinks? Exaggeration. We just need to consume more clean/green products. In fact, let’s replace every industrial product currently in existence with these ‘sustainable’ products while bringing the entire population up to ‘advanced economy’ standards. What’s not to love? Ponies and lollipops for everyone.
Sociopolitical roadblocks? Nothing the election of the ‘correct’ individual/party with the ‘proper’ regulations and policies can’t rectify. The political caste has only the best interests of the citizens and planet in mind in their decision-making.
Planetary overshoot and toxic legacies? Nonsense, we can have 7+ billion middle class consumers if we just do things ‘right’ and in a sustainable and non-polluting way. And if there are negative side-effects, we’ll figure out a way to deal with them.
Resource limits? Non-existent concern. With human ingenuity and ‘free’ markets there are no limits. In fact, if some important resources–say water–becomes scarce we’ll simply mine passing asteroids or leave our solar system for other habitable planets. Elon Musk or Jeff Bezos will get us there.
Financial machinations? Balderdash. We can fully trust the banking industry and political systems that run them. All that debt requiring even greater growth is a great thing. Just ignore all that evidence that inequality has been increasing significantly and the middle class eviscerated over the last several decades as greater and greater amounts of debt pile up resulting in increasing price inflation.
And then there’s the notion that the so-called overwhelming support could be as ‘simple’ as a misguided paradigm/worldview that has yet to be ready for broad criticism and overturning. Paradigms have a way of protecting themselves, especially if they have the backing of the-powers-that-be and serve their interests.
As the saying goes, however, Nature bats last. Given it’s the ninth inning, the bases are loaded, there’s no out, we’re up by only a run, and our pitcher is struggling to find the strike zone with a 3-0 count, things are looking dicey. Just believing it is possible to win because it’s in our best interest isn’t enough to prevent the walk-off hit Nature has in store for us.
The Laws of Thermodynamics, especially Entropy, are unforgiving no matter how ‘intelligent’ our species might be. And, frankly, we’re not looking very smart given what we’ve been doing…
Commentary that began June 25, 2024:
LB
If you are familiar with “final stage ERoI,” fossil fuel is on an energy cliff. The ratio of useful fossil energy in application to the energy required to produce it has fallen to 1.0 useful unit per 6.0 input units. Society needs about 10.0. Renewables are over 40.0.
Alaska oil has been energy negative for years. North Sea oil is marginal at best.
https://ageoftransformation.org/greatoversimplification/
LFP battery is now “lifetime” warranty and cost drops another 50% yr/yr in 2024.
Perovskite tandem pv cells (made at room temperature from common recyclable materials) has passed durability field tests and is in MW installation phase of commercial production. That is a 40% efficiency gain with, again, a 50% price drop yr/yr in 2024.
https://thedriven.io/…/catl-announces-electric…/…
Alice Friedemann
LB, LFP batteries and PV cells require fossil fuels for every single step of their life cycle, from mining, to ore crushing, smelting, transportation to hundreds of factories to make parts, more transportation from these hundreds to the single place something will be made, transport to destination, and so on, plus the electric grid can’t stay up without Natural gas
LB
Oh, contraire…
https://reneweconomy.com.au/worlds-biggest-grids-could…/
Alice Friedemann
LB, energy storage doesn’t scale up
LB
Alice Friedemann, energy storage scales up.
Steve Bull
LB, Sure, and to hell with the ecological destruction left in its wake.
Alice Friedemann
LB, what exactly scales up?
LB
Alice Friedemann, every grid integration analysis by qualified scientists…. in all journal literature.
That includes the synergy of solar primary by day and wind primary by night. Their complementary production overlay to both load follow and peak match… both daily and seasonally.
Steve Bull
LB, Simon Michaux’s work challenges this assertion that EVERY analysis supports the idea of the possibility of a successful scaling up.
LB
Steve Bull ….Michaux’s challenge has been blunted. He is a lone wolf. The literature doesn’t support his notions. Here are literally 19 thousand 2024 journal articles on the matter, including 4300 review articles.
https://scholar.google.com/scholar?q=energy+transition+materials+mining&hl=en&as_sdt=0,6&as_ylo=2024
LB
…and where are the comprehensive and numerically detailed studies for a 2050 world of 7 billion middle class affluent consumers that do not feature RE, EV, electrification, and transactive hypergrids? Where is a master plan other than the 195 nation Paris Accord as aligned with the 195 nation IPCC?
The real plans all look like this:
ABSTRACT: “The roadmaps call for a 100% transition of all-purpose business-as-usual (BAU) energy to wind-water-solar (WWS) energy, efficiency, and storage, ideally by 2035, but by no later than 2050, with at least 80% by 2030. Grid stability analyses find that the countries, grouped into 24 regions, can exactly match demand with 100% WWS supply and storage, from 2050–2052. Worldwide, WWS reduces end use energy by 56.4%, private annual energy costs by 62.7% (from $17.8 to $6.6 trillion per year), and social (private plus health plus climate) annual energy costs by 92.0% (from $83.2 to $6.6 trillion per year) at a present-value cost of $61.5 trillion. The mean payback times of the capital cost due to energy- and social-cost savings are 5.5 and 0.8 years, respectively. WWS is estimated to create 28.4 million more long-term, full-time jobs than lost worldwide and may need only 0.17% and 0.36% of world land for new footprint and spacing, respectively. Thus, WWS requires less energy, costs less, and creates more jobs than BAU.”
http://web.stanford.edu/…/I/145Country/22-145Countries.pdf
Simon Michaux
LB, Soon my work comes out in peer reviewed journal. Full calculations. So I call bullshit on every one elses work and we can have a discussion. I don’t mind being different to evryone else as long as I have data to support my points.
LB
Simon Michaux …fair enough. Thanks.
Alice Friedemann
Simon Michaux, Can’t wait to see it!
If you’ve made it to the end of this Contemplation and have got something out of my writing, please consider ordering the trilogy of my ‘fictional’ novel series, Olduvai (PDF files; only $9.99 Canadian), via my website or the link below — the ‘profits’ of which help me to keep my internet presence alive and first book available in print (and is available via various online retailers).
Attempting a new payment system as I am contemplating shutting down my site in the future (given the ever-increasing costs to keep it running).
If you are interested in purchasing any of the 3 books individually or the trilogy, please try the link below indicating which book(s) you are purchasing.
Costs (Canadian dollars):
Book 1: $2.99
Book 2: $3.89
Book 3: $3.89
Trilogy: $9.99
Feel free to throw in a ‘tip’ on top of the base cost if you wish; perhaps by paying in U.S. dollars instead of Canadian. Every few cents/dollars helps…
https://paypal.me/olduvaitrilogy?country.x=CA&locale.x=en_US
If you do not hear from me within 48 hours or you are having trouble with the system, please email me: olduvaitrilogy@gmail.com.
You can also find a variety of resources, particularly my summary notes for a handful of texts, especially Catton’s Overshoot and Tainter’s Collapse: see here.
It Bears Repeating: Best Of…Volume 1
A compilation of writers focused on the nexus of limits to growth, energy, and ecological overshoot.
With a Foreword and Afterword by Michael Dowd, authors include: Max Wilbert; Tim Watkins; Mike Stasse; Dr. Bill Rees; Dr. Tim Morgan; Rob Mielcarski; Dr. Simon Michaux; Erik Michaels; Just Collapse’s Tristan Sykes & Dr. Kate Booth; Kevin Hester; Alice Friedemann; David Casey; and, Steve Bull.
The document is not a guided narrative towards a singular or overarching message; except, perhaps, that we are in a predicament of our own making with a far more chaotic future ahead of us than most imagine–and most certainly than what mainstream media/politics would have us believe.
Click here to access the document as a PDF file, free to download.