Not long ago, there was a popular joke in China that went something like, “Who is Xi Jinping?”
The answer was, “The husband of Peng Liyuan,” the famous singer Xi is married to.
Today, Xi is China’s president. He leads 1.4 billion people. And he’ll likely be the most powerful person in the world soon.
As I mentioned last Wednesday, Trump’s new steel and aluminum tariffs are part of a larger, escalating battle between the US and China.
China is rapidly displacing the US as the dominant global power. This shift is inevitable. China’s economy will be twice as large as the US economy by 2030.
This leaves the US with limited options…
- It could kick back and let China displace it as the most powerful country in the world.
- It could start a military war with China.
- And it could push the current trade battle into an all-out economic war against China.
I think a full-blown economic war is the most likely. Under President Trump, it’s all but certain.
That said, the Trump administration seems to underestimate China’s position—in both the short and long term.