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The Collapse Of This Historic Correlation Suggests A Major Crisis Is Imminent

The Collapse Of This Historic Correlation Suggests A Major Crisis Is Imminent A lot of digital ink has been spilled in recent days over the perplexing reversal of the Yen, which for years was seen by the market as a “flight to safety” trade (as unexpected crisis events would prompt capital repatriation into Japan or […]

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Will the Bank of England join the loose money bandwagon?

Will the Bank of England join the loose money bandwagon? As the year of the 325th anniversary of the Bank of England’s foundation, and as the month of one of the Bank’s more important rate-setting decisions since 2008, September provides a congruous occasion on which to reflect on the history of the BoE and consider […]

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Why Monetary Easing Will Fail

WHY MONETARY EASING WILL FAIL The major economies have slowed suddenly in the last two or three months, prompting a change of tack in the monetary policies of central banks. The same old tired, failing inflationist responses are being lined up, despite the evidence that monetary easing has never stopped a credit crisis developing. This […]

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Beijing Eases Policy, Yuan Slides Towards 10-Year Low

Beijing Eases Policy, Yuan Slides Towards 10-Year Low On Sunday, the Bank of China cut the level of cash that banks must hold as reserves. The Yuan continued its slide. Reuters reports China Set to Reopen After Beijing Eases Policy. Shares in Asia stumbled in early trade on Monday as investors waited with bated breath […]

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Next Up: Global Synchronized Easing

Next Up: Global Synchronized Easing Global economic tightening is a pipe dream. It hasn’t happened yet, and likely won’t. Bloomberg writer Komal Sri-Kumar says, and I agree, Don’t be Surprised by a Switch Global Synchronized Easing. Global investors are positioned for a coordinated tightening of monetary policy by the world’s major central banks. Although the […]

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China Announces New Stimulus Measures

China Announces New Stimulus Measures Another day, another stimulus announcement by China. One day after Beijing threw in the towel, and in addition to monetary easing announced it would be far more “proactive” in fiscally stimulating the country, Chinese banks received notice from regulators on Wednesday that a core capital requirement will be eased in […]

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It’s Raining Money

It’s Raining Money With apologies to the Dire Straights: Now look at them yo-yo’s that’s the way you do it You play the bull on the fin TV That ain’t workin’ that’s the way you do it Money for nothin’ and stocks for free After 9 years of artificial liquidity drenching markets the same game […]

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Helicopter Money——The Biggest Fed Power Grab Yet

Helicopter Money——The Biggest Fed Power Grab Yet The Cleveland Fed’s Loretta Mester is a clueless apparatchik and Fed lifer, who joined the system in 1985 fresh out of Barnard and Princeton and has imbibed in its Keynesian groupthink and institutional arrogance ever since. So it’s not surprising that she was out flogging—-albeit downunder in Australia—- the next step in the Fed’s rolling coup […]

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Why Did Japanese NIRP Cause Such Surprise In the Currency Market and Is It More Dangerous?

WHY DID JAPANESE NIRP CAUSE SUCH SURPRISE IN THE CURRENCY MARKET AND IS IT MORE DANGEROUS? The Bank of Japan announcement of NIRP sent shock waves through currency markets The Yen has strengthened on capital repatriation since the BoJ move JGB 10 year yields turned negative this week Longer-term the Yen will weaken At the […]

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US Money Supply Growth Finally Begins to Crack

US Money Supply Growth Finally Begins to Crack  Breaking Below the Shelf In our recent missive on junk bonds, we inter alia discussed the fact that the growth rate of the narrow money supply aggregate M1 had declined rather noticeably from its peak in 2011. Here is a link to the chart. As we wrote: “We also […]

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Dear Janet, Seriously!!

Dear Janet, Seriously!! The Fed’s confidence trick this week was, once again, the Keyser Soze gambit (via Beaudelaire)-  “convincing the world of Yellen’s hawkishness, when no such character trait exists.” However, unlike the movies, stocks and FX markets have already seen through the con, leaving Fed Funds futures alone to believe the hype. As we noted previously, “The Fed Can’t Raise […]

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Breaking: China Cuts Interest Rate By 25 bps, Cuts RRR by 50 bps; Futures Soar; Fed December Rate Hike Back In Play

Breaking: China Cuts Interest Rate By 25 bps, Cuts RRR by 50 bps; Futures Soar; Fed December Rate Hike Back In Play Just two days ago, we noted that according to Citi’s Willem Buiter, there would be “Imminent Easing From Central Banks Of China, Australia, Japan And Europe.” Fast forward 48 hours when he is […]

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The Latest Evidence That Global Trade Has Collapsed: India’s Exports/Imports Plunge By 25%

The Latest Evidence That Global Trade Has Collapsed: India’s Exports/Imports Plunge By 25% Late last month, India surprised 51 out of 52 economists when the RBI cut rates by 50bps. Although economists have a reputation for being terrible when it comes to making predictions (getting it wrong perpetually is almost a job requirement), it’s difficult […]

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India “Surprises” 51 Out Of 52 “Experts”, Slashes Rates More Than Expected As Easing Bonanza Continues

India “Surprises” 51 Out Of 52 “Experts”, Slashes Rates More Than Expected As Easing Bonanza Continues Late last month, we asked how long it would be before the RBI hit back in the wake of China’s yuan deval. The Indian government’s chief economic advisor Arvind Subramanian had just told ET Now television that India may need to […]

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Global Easing Bonanza Continues As Norway, Taiwan Cut Rates To Spur Struggling Economies

Global Easing Bonanza Continues As Norway, Taiwan Cut Rates To Spur Struggling Economies On several occasions this year we’ve profiled Norway where the central bank, much like the Riksbank in neighboring Sweden, is walking a fine line between keeping rates low to support the economy (not to mention remain competitive in the global currency wars) […]

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