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“Take The Tragedy In Sri Lanka And Multiply By Ten”: The Fed Just Lobbed A Financial Nuke That Will Obliterate The Global Economy
“Take The Tragedy In Sri Lanka And Multiply By Ten”: The Fed Just Lobbed A Financial Nuke That Will Obliterate The Global Economy We are living in a period of mass “Jonestown” economic delusion. Just twenty months ago – central bankers were offering to buy nearly every junk bond known to mankind, dramatically distorting the […]
Panic In Emerging Markets: South African Stocks On Track For Worst 3Q Since 2011
Panic In Emerging Markets: South African Stocks On Track For Worst 3Q Since 2011 The world is on the cusp of an economic storm, and most global investors haven’t strapped on their rain boots nor deployed their umbrellas for what is coming in 2020. As we note in this piece, the most vulnerable fall first, […]
The Next Economic Crisis and the Looming Post-Multipolar System
The Next Economic Crisis and the Looming Post-Multipolar System The Impending Crisis At one time, specifically during the post-World War 2 Bretton Woods era, it looked like as if the capitalist model could be indefinitely sustainable and avoid plunging the world into major world conflicts. That era began to come to an end during the […]
The Biggest Emerging Market Debt Problem Is in America
Getty Images The Biggest Emerging Market Debt Problem Is in America A decade after the subprime bubble burst, a new one seems to be taking its place in the market for corporate collateralized loan obligations. A world economy geared toward increasing the supply of financial assets has hooked market participants and policymakers alike into a […]
Emerging Markets Face a New Problem as Trillions in Bonds Mature – and Soon
Emerging Markets Face a New Problem as Trillions in Bonds Mature – and Soon The U.S. dollar continues being the single most important factor for the Emerging Markets. And as the dollar keeps getting stronger – it will continue crippling them. “But isn’t a strong dollar supposed to be better for Emerging Markets by making […]
“We’re Back In The Real World Where Bad News Is Bad News”: To $1 Trillion Fund Manager, Turmoil Is “New Normal”
“We’re Back In The Real World Where Bad News Is Bad News”: To $1 Trillion Fund Manager, Turmoil Is “New Normal” For nearly a decade stocks enjoyed an environment of unprecedented bullishness, where good news was good news, and bad news was even better as it suggested central bank intervention via monetary stimulus, boosting asset […]
Is The Long-Anticipated Crash Now Upon Us?
Shutterstock Is The Long-Anticipated Crash Now Upon Us? Is this the market’s breaking point? I admit: I’m a permabear. This is no surprise to those who know and have followed me over the years. But I’m publicly proclaiming my ‘bearishness’ because doing so might open up a needed and long overdue dialog. Here’s my fundamental […]
Weekly Commentary: “Whatever They Want” Coming Home to Roost
Weekly Commentary: “Whatever They Want” Coming Home to Roost Let’s begin with global. China’s yuan (CNY) traded to 6.9644 to the dollar in early-Friday trading, almost matching the low (vs. dollar) from December 2016 (6.9649). CNY is basically trading at lows going back to 2008 – and has neared the key psychological 7.0 level. CNY […]
Has “It” Finally Arrived?
Shutterstock Has “It” Finally Arrived? Is this week’s 6% market drop the start of the Big One? With the recent plunge in the S&P 500 of over 5%, has the long-anticipated (and long-overdue) market correction finally begun? It’s hard to say for certain. But the systemic cracks we’ve been closely monitoring definitely got an awful […]
IMF Warns About Emerging Markets: Hello “Always Late” IMF, Global Crisis Coming
IMF Warns About Emerging Markets: Hello “Always Late” IMF, Global Crisis Coming The IMF is finally warning that there may be an emerging market crisis. Hello IMF, it’s already here. Look ahead. The IMF is perpetually late in its forecasts. Here’s the latest hoot: IMF Warns of Possible Emerging-Markets Crisis. A new study by the […]
Macquarie: “There Is A Growing Possibility That The Plot Might Go Terribly Wrong”
Macquarie: “There Is A Growing Possibility That The Plot Might Go Terribly Wrong” EMs in the crosshairs: Between war games, fake news and bonds From military exercises to trade wars, the fury is intensifying. At the same time, global liquidity is compressing while rates are rising. Growing uncertainty, contracting liquidity & rising cost of capital […]
“Shocking” Turkish Inflation Hits 15 Year High, Unleashing Stagflationary Shockwave; Lira Plunges
“Shocking” Turkish Inflation Hits 15 Year High, Unleashing Stagflationary Shockwave; Lira Plunges A few days ago we discussed how soaring oil prices have been a stagflationary double whammy to emerging markets, which have been hit not only by a surging dollar, resulting in a collapse in local currencies and spiking import costs, but a spike […]
Emerging Markets Slammed By Soaring Oil Prices
Emerging Markets Slammed By Soaring Oil Prices US consumers may be cursing rising gasoline prices which are rapidly approaching an average of $3.00 across the nation as Brent hits a new 4 year high above $84, but that is nothing compared to the horror that motorists across most emerging markets are facing. With currencies across […]
India & the Emerging Market Crisis
India & the Emerging Market Crisis India’s financial markets are in the throes of this Emerging Market crisis. The Mumbai-based Infrastructure Leasing & Financial Services (IL&FS) is an over 30-year-old infrastructure lending giant that claims to have helped develop and finance projects worth $25 billion in Asia’s fastest-growing economy. The company recently defaulted on debt payments […]
Why Are So Many People Talking About The Potential For A Stock Market Crash In October?
Why Are So Many People Talking About The Potential For A Stock Market Crash In October? It is that time of the year again. Every year, people start talking about a possible stock market crash in October, because everyone remembers the historic crashes that took place in October 1987 and October 2008. Could we witness […]
