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EU Polices on Farming will Create a Famine
EU Polices on Farming will Create a Famine The EU is indeed playing into our model which has been projecting this would be a commodity wave built on food shortages. They will indeed contribute to worldwide famine and they have been supported by Bill Gates which seems to actually play into his desire to […]
Food Shortages Hitting China
Food Shortages Hitting China I have explained many times that while we see this 8.6-wave of the Economic Confidence Model as inflationary, this is strikingly different insofar as it will be on the back of food shortages. I have warned that Socrates was projecting food shortages because of the weather. However, now we have these global elitists […]
Inflation into 2021
Inflation into 2021 QUESTION: Hi, MartinYou have referenced the three different types of inflation in previous posts. Please speak to what we can expect to see manifest from this record money printing/stimulus from the Fed.Thanks,MD ANSWER: This cycle will be on the back of shortages in commodities. This is what the computer has been forecasting all along. […]
Australia Lowers Rate to Historic Low of 1%
Australia Lowers Rate to Historic Low of 1% The Reserve Bank of Australia has cut the official cash rate for the second month in a row to 1%. As we head into the turning point of the Economic Confidence Model come January 2020, the unemployment rate increased to 5.2% in April. GDP growth remains very […]
The Perfect Financial Storm
The Perfect Financial Storm COMMENT: Martin, Have read the two blogs on the Emerging Markets. Hit like a cold bucket of ice water. Knew something was coming from all your writings and the EMC, but Wow. Right in front of us. Here is an observation, a thought:Emerging Markets could turn out to be the Sub-Prime of […]
The Business Cycle & Why They Pretend it Cannot be Forecast
The Business Cycle & Why They Pretend it Cannot be Forecast QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; I have studied you Economic Confidence Model and found it to be extremely accurate in forecasting the business cycle. When I showed it to my professor here at ——— he responded that itis impossible to forecast the business cycle. He would not […]
There Are Two Types of Pole Shifts & We Seem to be on Course for an event Faster than Most Ever Believed
There Are Two Types of Pole Shifts & We Seem to be on Course for an event Faster than Most Ever Believed QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; I agree that something seems to be changing faster than perhaps we might have expected. Is there anything that points to how fast a pole change might actually take place? […]
Greece & the Debt Crisis
Greece & the Debt Crisis The entire EU Crisis began precisely on schedule on the Political Pi Turning point from the major high in 2007. Precisely on the day of the ECM turning point, April 16, 2010 (2010.29) Greece notified the IMF it was on the verge of bankruptcy. By April 22nd, the Euro fell to near […]
Sovereign Debt Crisis – Cycle Due 2017
Sovereign Debt Crisis – Cycle Due 2017 QUESTION: Hi Martin It’s been 30 years since I first saw you speak and this year I’m taking my son to Orlando to see you for the first time. How time flies. That said why have you not talked about the 86 year Sovereign Debt cycle that is forecasting […]
Collapse of the EU – Is it Inevitable?
Collapse of the EU – Is it Inevitable? QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; The World Economic Conference was outstanding. Your theme that Europe was the focal point for the coming chaos has been proven valid with each passing day. You have mentioned this is the time that will begin the collapse in public confidence within the EU even surviving. […]
Is The Pending Euro Collapse on Target From Our 2011 Forecast of 2016.202?
Is The Pending Euro Collapse on Target From Our 2011 Forecast of 2016.202? The euro crisis appears to be unfolding right on target rather amazingly. Our target was published in “The Rise and Fall of the Euro” back in 2011. The target for the collapse in confidence was 2016.202. This comes into play March 13/14, 2016. It […]
*COMPLETE* The Coming European Revolution
*COMPLETE* The Coming European Revolution I have warned that 2017 will be the political year from hell. What I am illustrating here is the link between a sovereign debt crisis and the Revolutionary Cycle. In 1933, Roosevelt came to power in the USA and turned the country toward socialism. That same year, 1933, brought Hitler and […]
Market Manipulation Confusion
Market Manipulation Confusion QUESTION: You say that long-term manipulations are impossible while short-term manipulations have been the focus of the bankers. Do you mean to say that not even governments can manipulate the economy perpetually? Are central banks buying US equities to manipulate the US stock market higher? It would seem that the Fed would then […]
The ECM Turning Point — Sept. 30/Oct. 1 — Guns & War?
The ECM Turning Point — Sept. 30/Oct. 1 — Guns & War? The unleashing of Russian firepower in Syria in support of the Syrian government came precisely on the day of the Economic Confidence Model. I have come to learn from observing this model that major world events, whatever the major focus may be, appear […]
The ECM Turning Point 2015.75 – The Start of a Trend is Now
The ECM Turning Point 2015.75 – The Start of a Trend is Now I was in Barcelona and was asked by many did I think the pro-independence parties in Spain’s Catalonia region would actually win. I told them it was inevitable for this is the global trend in motion. The vote for Catalonia is in […]



