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The Masses Are Being Conditioned to Ignore the Economic Bubble
The Masses Are Being Conditioned to Ignore the Economic Bubble In the second week of October, after the “partial” U.S.-China trade deal was announced to much fanfare, I made this prediction: US and Chinese officials rarely waste an opportunity to use trade talk headlines to head-fake markets with false hope. Rumors of a “partial” or tentative […]
The Economic Bubble Bath
The Economic Bubble Bath At the end of a long, tiring day, we may choose to treat ourselves to a soothing bubble bath. Surrounded by steaming water and a froth of sweet-smelling bubbles, it’s easy to forget the cares of everyday life. This fact is equally true of economic bubbles. When the markets are up, […]
What happens when the Yellow Vests meet European Debt Crisis II?
What happens when the Yellow Vests meet European Debt Crisis II? There is a lot of talk about which economic bubble will burst first and burst the worst (sounds like a gangsta rap song, no?) The stock market, real estate, luxury goods, corporate debt and government bond bubbles, and other lesser bubbles, all jockey for […]
Weekly Commentary: Portending an Interesting Q4
Weekly Commentary: Portending an Interesting Q4 “Those who do not learn history are doomed to repeat it.” I’ll add that those that learn the wrong lessons from Bubbles are doomed to face greater future peril. The ten-year anniversary of the financial crisis has generated interesting discussion, interviews and scores of articles. I can’t help but […]
Weekly Commentary: Anbang and China’s Mortgage Bubble
Weekly Commentary: Anbang and China’s Mortgage Bubble The Shanghai Composite traded as high as 3,587 intraday on Monday, January 29th, a more than two-year high. This followed the S&P500’s all-time closing high (2,873) on the previous Friday. On February 9th, the Shanghai Composite traded as low as 3,063, a 14.6% decline from trading highs just […]
5 Charts that Prove this Market Bubble is Not Slowing Down
5 Charts that Prove this Market Bubble is Not Slowing Down The stock market continues to show volatile signs of a market bubble. Here’s five charts that show that a very real bubble is on the horizon. 1. Economic Bubbles and The Breadwinner Economy Former Congressman and Reagan’s budget director, David Stockmanhighlights that, “Another month […]
Bubbles? Schiller P/E Ratio Nears Roaring ’20s Bubble High as Home Prices Increased 43.6% Since Feb ’16
BUBBLES? SHILLER P/E RATIO NEARS ROARING ’20S BUBBLE HIGH AS HOME PRICES INCREASED 43.6% SINCE FEB ’16 Supreme Court Justice Potter Steward said in 1964 in the Jacobellis v. Ohio case, “I shall not today attempt further to define the kinds of material I understand to be embraced within that shorthand description [hard-core pornography]; and perhaps I […]
This bubble finally burst. Which one’s next?
This bubble finally burst. Which one’s next? Like so many other high-flying Silicon Valley startups, Clinkle was supposed to ‘make the world a better place’. Founded in 2011 by a guy barely out of his teens, the company picked up early buzz after proclaiming they would disrupt mobile payments. Or something. Silicon Valley venture capital […]
Sizing Up the Bubble
Sizing Up the Bubble “In the ruin of all collapsed booms is to be found the work of men who bought property at prices they knew perfectly well were fictitious, but who were willing to pay such prices simply because they knew that some still greater fool could be depended on to take the property […]
Please Don’t Pop My Bubble!
Please Don’t Pop My Bubble! So ride your bubble of choice up–stocks, bonds, housing, bat guano, take your pick–but it’s best to keep your thumb on the sell button. One person’s bubble is another person’s “fair market value.” What is clearly an outrageously overvalued asset perched at nosebleed levels of central-bank fueled speculative euphoria is to […]
This Bubble’s Days Are Numbered—–Market Tops Are Sprouting Up Everywhere
This Bubble’s Days Are Numbered—–Market Tops Are Sprouting Up Everywhere I have an important update regarding how far we could see the market drop in the short days and weeks ahead… I’ve been warning for months that it looks like this bubble may finally be peaking. I’ve warned that it’s best to get out of […]
A Major Bank Just Made Global Financial “Meltdown” Its Base Case: “The Worst The World Has Ever Seen”
A Major Bank Just Made Global Financial “Meltdown” Its Base Case: “The Worst The World Has Ever Seen” When it comes to the epic bubble in China’s economy, it really boils down to one – or rather two – things: a vast debt build up (by now everybody should be familiar with McKinsey’s chart showing China’s […]
Central Banks Ready To Panic — Again
Central Banks Ready To Panic — Again Less than a decade after a housing/derivatives bubble nearly wiped out the global financial system, a new and much bigger commodities/derivatives bubble is threatening to finish the job. Raw materials are tanking as capital pours out of the most heavily-impacted countries and into anything that looks like a […]
Diminishing Returns on Central-Planning Policy Extremes = 2016 Crash
Diminishing Returns on Central-Planning Policy Extremes = 2016 Crash The problem with these policy extremes is that they are so painfully visibly acts of central-planning desperation. It is perhaps fitting that I am posting a call for a financial crisis that fails to respond to the usual central-planning manipulations on Bastille Day. There are two main lessons […]
A Much Bigger Threat Than Our National Debt
A Much Bigger Threat Than Our National Debt The markets are acting as though it was already summer. They are wandering around with little ambition in either direction. Meanwhile, we’ve been wondering about… and trying to explain… what it is we are really doing at the Diary. We expect a violent monetary shock, in which the dollar […]
