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Is the U.S. Banking System Safe?–15 Years Later

IS THE U.S. BANKING SYSTEM SAFE? – 15 YEARS LATER “We’ve got strong financial institutions…Our markets are the envy of the world. They’re resilient, they’re…innovative, they’re flexible. I think we move very quickly to address situations in this country, and, as I said, our financial institutions are strong.” – Henry Paulson – 3/16/08   “I have full confidence […]

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How Bernanke Broke The World

How Bernanke Broke The World THE BIGGEST BUBBLE IN HISTORY DEFLATES YOUR STANDARD OF LIVING IS GOING TO FALL IN HALF Soon, you’ll wake up to hear reports on CNBC and Twitter about ATM machines not working across the country. JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon will appear on CNBC, to explain that for the good […]

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Fourth Turning Accelerating Towards Climax

FOURTH TURNING ACCELERATING TOWARDS CLIMAX “At some point, America’s short-term Crisis psychology will catch up to the long-term post-Unraveling fundamentals. This might result in a Great Devaluation, a severe drop in the market price of most financial and real assets. This devaluation could be a short but horrific panic, a free-falling price in a market […]

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Ben Bernanke: Contrary Indicator

Ben Bernanke: Contrary Indicator On May 17, 2007 Ben Bernanke, then chairman of the U.S. Federal Reserve System, spoke at a conference sponsored by the bank’s Chicago branch and told his audience the following: [W]e believe the effect of the troubles in the subprime sector on the broader housing market will likely be limited, and we […]

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The House that Ben Built

The House that Ben Built Yes, this collapse does portend to be far worse than the last and it’s a very different type of financial collapse too. After credit markets froze in the subprime crash of 2008-2009 Ben Bernanke and the Fed conjured up a number of monetary tricks to keep the system afloat.  POMO, […]

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“Last Hurrah” for Central Bankers

“Last Hurrah” for Central Bankers We’ve all seen zombie movies where the good guys shoot the zombies but the zombies just keep coming because… they’re zombies! Market observers can’t be blamed for feeling the same way about former Fed Chair Ben Bernanke. Bernanke was Fed chair from 2006–2014 before handing over the gavel to Janet […]

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Fed Has Shovel, Digs Bigger Hole

Fed Has Shovel, Digs Bigger Hole Let’s get to the bottom line on all this “rate cut” nonsense. The Fed made a fatal mistake in first promoting “fiscal” actions (during the 08 crash) and then continuing to support them well after the bottom in 2009.  This allowed Barack Obama to run trillion dollar deficits for years and, once he did […]

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Weekly Commentary: Whatever It Takes to Never Give Up

Weekly Commentary: Whatever It Takes to Never Give Up Any central bank head that passes through an eight-year term without once raising rates has some explaining to do. To leave monetary policy extremely loose for such an extended period comes with major consequences (can we at least agree on that?). So, what went wrong? How […]

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Fourth Turning Economics

Fourth Turning Economics “In retrospect, the spark might seem as ominous as a financial crash, as ordinary as a national election, or as trivial as a Tea Party. The catalyst will unfold according to a basic Crisis dynamic that underlies all of these scenarios: An initial spark will trigger a chain reaction of unyielding responses […]

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Fed Can’t Get Out – Buy Gold Now – Jim Rickards

Fed Can’t Get Out – Buy Gold Now – Jim Rickards Four time best-selling author Jim Rickards says the Fed “throwing in the towel” on rate hikes is signaling a big problem for the economy. Rickards says, “The Fed was tightening to get ready for the next recession. . . . You need to cut […]

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Federal Reserve Confesses Sole Responsibility for All Recessions

Federal Reserve Confesses Sole Responsibility for All Recessions In a surprisingly candid admission, two former Federal Reserve chairs have stated that the Federal Reserve alone is responsible for creating all recessions in the United States. First, former Fed Chair Ben Bernanke said that Expansions don’t die of old age. They get murdered. MarketWatch To clarify […]

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Volatility Holds the Key to Markets in 2019

Volatility Holds the Key to Markets in 2019 Over the last two weeks, after making good on the four-rate interest hike of 2018, Fed Chairman, Jerome Powell, became more dovish to start 2019. His change in tone is worth considering because of his historical stance on reducing the amount of artificial stimulus coming from the […]

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Coffee Sellers Are Not Fundamentally Different From Banks

COFFEE SELLERS ARE NOT FUNDAMENTALLY DIFFERENT FROM BANKS With the 2007-8 financial crisis came a splendid alphabetical soup of central bank interventions to stimulate financial markets, lower interest rates, provide astonishing amounts of liquidity to banks and, allegedly, prevent another Great Depression. Likening the failure of big banks to falling elephants crushing even the smallest grass, […]

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Volcker Rebukes Bernanke and Yellen

Volcker Rebukes Bernanke and Yellen In his new book, “Keeping At It: The Quest for Sound Money and Good Government,” by Paul Volcker (1979-1987) with Christine Harper, the former Fed Chairman delivers a sound rebuke to Chairmen Ben Bernanke (2006-2014) and Janet Yellen (2014-2018), and other Fed governors and economists, for fretting overmuch about deflation.  He […]

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The Everything Bubble: When Will It Finally Crash?

The Everything Bubble: When Will It Finally Crash? Much like the laws of physics, there are certain laws of economics that remain constant no matter how much manipulation exists in the markets. Expansion inevitably leads to contraction, and that which goes up must eventually come down. Central banks understand this reality very well; they have […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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