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‘The Limits to Growth’ (1972)

‘The Limits to Growth’ (1972) Published in 1972, and shrouded in controversy since that date, ‘The Limits to Growth’ is the most successful econometric projection ever made. The idea of these of blog posts is to introduce people to some ‘historic’ books and reports, which I think should be more widely read. To start, I […]

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The century of the limits

The century of the limits IMPOSSIBLE IS NOTHING. JUST DO IT. SMASH YOUR LIMITS We know much better some slogans that sell us that everything is possible, than the laws of thermodynamics, which govern our own nature and the limits that bound it. And so it goes. This is our frame of thought and from it […]

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The Future is a Landscape

The Future is a Landscape I’ve been reflecting of late about the way that our habitual expectations about change blind us to the way that change actually happens. One of the most important of these is the frankly weird but pervasive notion that the future is a single place, where only one kind of thing […]

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What Kind of Mindsets Lead Us Into Traps?

What Kind of Mindsets Lead Us Into Traps? First picture: Morning, Hamilton Ranch (aka Carroll Ranch), Big Hole Valley, Montana Second picture: Beaverslide used for hay. Agriculture is what led into civilization. After quite an interesting last week, I have a better understanding of why so many people fall into the different “traps” and mindsets that we […]

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Mining of Minerals and the Limits to Growth

Mining of Minerals and the Limits to Growth The mining of minerals is linked to the 1972 Limits to Growth study. There are a number of technical problems the business model behind mining is struggling with now. Challenges for the proposed expansion in mining to construct a non-fossil fuel system (EV’s, batteries, wind turbines, solar […]

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MIT Predicted in 1972 That Society Will Collapse This Century. New Research Shows We’re on Schedule.

MIT Predicted in 1972 That Society Will Collapse This Century. New Research Shows We’re on Schedule. A 1972 MIT study predicted that rapid economic growth would lead to societal collapse in the mid 21st century. A new paper shows we’re unfortunately right on schedule. IMAGE: GETTY A remarkable new study by a director at one of […]

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The American infrastructure, ancient Rome and ‘Limits to Growth’

The American infrastructure, ancient Rome and ‘Limits to Growth’ Infrastructure is the talk of the town in Washington, D.C. where I now live and with good reason. The infrastructure upon which the livelihoods and lives of all Americans depends is in sorry shape. The American Society of Civil Engineers 2021 infrastructure report card gives the United States […]

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The Future of the Oceans: The two Souls of the Club of Rome

The Future of the Oceans: The two Souls of the Club of Rome I was very happy when I finally managed to find a copy of the old report to the Club of Rome, “The Future of the Oceans” by Elizabeth Mann Borgese. A book published in 1986, one of a long series of reports that the […]

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The pandemic as the end of consumerism. Everything that’s happening is happening because it had to happen

The pandemic as the end of consumerism. Everything that’s happening is happening because it had to happen  These Medieval ladies look like fashion models. With their splendid dresses in silk brocade, they are displaying their wealth in an age, the 14th century, in which Europe was enjoying a period of economic growth and prosperity. They […]

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What If Preventing Collapse Isn’t Profitable?

What If Preventing Collapse Isn’t Profitable? The real downside of the green-profit narrative has been that it created the assumption in many people’s minds that the solution to climate change and other environmental dilemmas is technical, and that policy makers and industrialists will implement it for us, so that the way we live doesn’t need […]

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Can Changing Habits for Self-Reliance and Resilience help society avoid the worst of unfortunate futures?

Can Changing Habits for Self-Reliance and Resilience help society avoid the worst of unfortunate futures? Our release of chapter 25 from RetroSuburbia: the downshifter’s guide to a resilient future as a free downloadable pdf is another small gesture to spread positive messages in a time of pandemic. This is especially so for all those locked down in Melbourne, the […]

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The Arc Of Our Future

The Arc Of Our Future In last week’s open post, I noted that I didn’t have anything in particular planned for this fifth Wednesday of the month, and asked my readers what they wanted to hear about. Quite a few subjects got brought up for discussion—among others, the novels of Hermann Hesse, Carl Jung’s concept […]

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Understanding Our Pandemic – Economy Predicament

Understanding Our Pandemic – Economy Predicament The world’s number one problem today is that the world’s population is too large for its resource base. Some people have called this situation overshoot. The world economy is ripe for a major change, such as the current pandemic, to bring the situation into balance. The change doesn’t necessarily come from […]

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The most accurate model-based prediction of all times

The most accurate model-based prediction of all times The “base case” scenario from the 1972 edition of “The Limits to Growth.” This scenario described the trajectory of the world’s economy on the basis of the data and assumptions that were judged to be the most reliable ones. This run might turn out to have been […]

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Collapse: The Coronavirus is not a Cause, it is a Trigger

Collapse: The Coronavirus is not a Cause, it is a Trigger Is the epidemic going to cause civilization to collapse? It may happen for good reasons This is a version of the article that I published on the English version of “Al Arabiya” On March 26, 2020. It is not the same text I published there […]

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