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New IEA Data May Indicate A Slowdown In Rig Count Drop

New IEA Data May Indicate A Slowdown In Rig Count Drop The IEA OMR is out early this month hence April’s edition of vital statistics comes early. The March 2015 Vital Statistics is here. EIA oil price and Baker Hughes rig count charts are updated to the end of March 2015, the remaining oil production charts are updated to February […]

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Low Oil Prices Not Enough To Kill Off Oil Sands, Yet

Low Oil Prices Not Enough To Kill Off Oil Sands, Yet On Friday I visited the University of Alberta in Edmonton, where falling oil prices have brought a record provincial budget deficit despite aggressive tax increases and spending cuts. Here I pass along some of what I learned about how the plunge in oil prices is affecting […]

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The Oil Price Crash and Economic Slow Down in China

The Oil Price Crash and Economic Slow Down in China Two of the factors in the oil price crash are well constrained: 1) oversupply of expensive light tight oil (LTO) in North America and 2) the decision of OPEC to not cut production. The third possible factor of weak global demand is not so easy […]

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ExxonMobil CEO Wrong About “Resilience” Of Tight Oil Production

ExxonMobil CEO Wrong About “Resilience” Of Tight Oil Production ExxonMobil CEO Rex Tillerson is wrong about the resilience of U.S. tight oil production. Last week, The Wall Street Journal reported: “…Mr. Tillerson pointed out that the collapse in natural-gas prices similarly had led the number of rigs drilling for that fuel to drop to 280 from north […]

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Deciphering The Latest Rig Count Data

Deciphering The Latest Rig Count Data The main take-away from this week’s rig count is that everything is on track for lower U.S. oil production by mid-year. The weekly changes vary but the overall trend since October is down and that is positive for achieving a better balance between supply and demand. Please remember the […]

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“Default Monday”: Oil & Gas Companies Face Their Creditors

“Default Monday”: Oil & Gas Companies Face Their Creditors Debt funded the fracking boom. Now oil and gas prices have collapsed, and so has the ability to service that debt. The oil bust of the 1980s took down 700 banks, including 9 of the 10 largest in Texas. But this time, it’s different. This time, […]

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Could Oil Prices Plummet A Second Time?

Could Oil Prices Plummet A Second Time? Are oil prices heading for a double dip? The surge in shale production has produced a temporary glut in supplies causing oil prices to experience a massive bust. After tanking to a low of $44 per barrel in January, falling rig counts and enormous reductions in exploration budgets have fueled […]

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The Easy Oil Is Gone So Where Do We Look Now?

The Easy Oil Is Gone So Where Do We Look Now? In 2008, Canadian economist Jeff Rubin stunned the oil market with a bold prediction: With the world economy growing at 5 percent a year, oil demand would grow with it, outpacing supply, thus lifting the oil price from $147 to over $200 a barrel. […]

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Arthur Berman: Why Today’s Shale Era Is The Retirement Party For Oil Production

Arthur Berman: Why Today’s Shale Era Is The Retirement Party For Oil Production A leading geologist delivers the hard facts As we’ve written about often here at PeakProsperity.com, much of what’s been ‘sold’ to us about the US shale oil revolution is massively over-hyped. The amount of commercially-recoverable shale oil is much less than touted, […]

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Slump in Oil Prices Brings Pressure, and Investment Opportunity

Slump in Oil Prices Brings Pressure, and Investment Opportunity Now, as the cracks appear in the latest energy boom, the forces of failure and opportunity are stirring again. Resolute Energy, a Colorado company that borrowed big in the boom, is among those in an endgame that is being played up and down Wall Street and […]

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Oil Rig Count Plunges Most Ever, Oil Price Soars, Inventories Too: Catch Falling Knife, Get Fingers Sliced Off

Oil Rig Count Plunges Most Ever, Oil Price Soars, Inventories Too: Catch Falling Knife, Get Fingers Sliced Off The oil industry is dead-serious when it talks about slashing operating cost and capital expenditures. They have to. Preserving cash is suddenly a priority, after years when money was growing on trees. In the US, the cost […]

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40 % of US petroleum product exports didn’t grow since 2011

40 % of US petroleum product exports didn’t grow since 2011 This is another post in the series on how US tight oil has impacted on global oil markets. This time we look at US petroleum product exports. (1) Destination of US product exports Fig 1: US petroleum product exports by destination and type of growth […]

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Tight Oil Production Will Fade Quickly: The Truth About Rig Counts

Tight Oil Production Will Fade Quickly: The Truth About Rig Counts U.S tight oil production from shale plays will fall more quickly than most assume. Why?  High decline rates from shale reservoirs is given. The more interesting reasons are the compounding effects of pad drilling on rig count and poorer average well performance with time. Rig […]

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The most important thing to understand about the coming oil production cutbacks

The most important thing to understand about the coming oil production cutbacks What the current oil price slump means for world oil supply is starting to emerge. “Layoffs,” “cutbacks,” “delays,” and “cancellations” are words one sees in headlines concerning the oil industry every day. That can only mean one thing in the long run: less […]

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HYPE, BROKEN PROMISES AND SHALES

HYPE, BROKEN PROMISES AND SHALES The term shale revolution has been used so much that it almost has no meaning anymore. But were shales ever really the energy panacea promised or merely a self styled hype machine? Would the frenzy in drilling ever have truly taken off if it weren’t for cheap money? These are […]

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