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Tag Archives: interest rate policy
Yellen Tells Congress Negative Interest Rates Are Possible
Yellen Tells Congress Negative Interest Rates Are Possible Reuters has reported that Yellen told a House of Representatives committee when testifying before Congress: “Potentially anything – including negative interest rates – would be on the table. But we would have to study carefully how they would work here in the U.S. context.” Yellen may have been placating […]
This Time Is The Same——And Worse!
This Time Is The Same——And Worse! The current stock market melt-up hardly qualifies as limp. Even the robo-machines and hyper-ventilating day traders apparently recognize that their job is to tag the May 2015 highs and then get out of the way. So when and as they complete their pointless mission, the question recurs as to why the posse […]
The Fed Can’t Raise Rates, But Must Pretend It Will
The Fed Can’t Raise Rates, But Must Pretend It Will Waiting for Godot is a play written by the Irish novelist Samuel B. Beckett in the late 1940s in which two characters, Vladimir and Estragon, keep waiting endlessly and in vain for the coming of someone named Godot. The storyline bears some resemblance to the Federal […]
Time to Keep Your Cash in the Microwave?
Time to Keep Your Cash in the Microwave? The Fed’s Big Pivot NORMANDY, France – “Now, I think I’ve seen everything” is an expression that – like “this is the end of history” and “I’ll never leave you” – usually turns out to be premature. But it is what we found ourselves saying yesterday. Not […]
Dear Janet, Seriously!!
Dear Janet, Seriously!! The Fed’s confidence trick this week was, once again, the Keyser Soze gambit (via Beaudelaire)- “convincing the world of Yellen’s hawkishness, when no such character trait exists.” However, unlike the movies, stocks and FX markets have already seen through the con, leaving Fed Funds futures alone to believe the hype. As we noted previously, “The Fed Can’t Raise […]
Breaking: China Cuts Interest Rate By 25 bps, Cuts RRR by 50 bps; Futures Soar; Fed December Rate Hike Back In Play
Breaking: China Cuts Interest Rate By 25 bps, Cuts RRR by 50 bps; Futures Soar; Fed December Rate Hike Back In Play Just two days ago, we noted that according to Citi’s Willem Buiter, there would be “Imminent Easing From Central Banks Of China, Australia, Japan And Europe.” Fast forward 48 hours when he is […]
Neither Bull nor Bear
Neither Bull nor Bear “Good Economic Management” vs. Larceny “Will you shut up?!” That is what we wanted to say this morning, here in Zurich, Switzerland. At the table next to us, a hedge fund promoter is working hard… “The value proposition… outside of the box… we’re only talking two points… we can dialogue about […]
Moneyweek: Hands Off Our Cash Petition
Moneyweek: Hands Off Our Cash Petition Andy Haldane recently floated the idea of abolishing cash so that radical monetary policy like negative interest rates can be implemented. You can sign the Moneyweek petition against this here: http://moneyweek.com/wp/hands-off-our-cash-petition Whereas the Bank of England’s Chief Economist Andrew Haldane announced on 18th September 2015 his intention to abolish use of cash in […]
Peak Debt, Peak Doubt, & Peak Double-Down
Peak Debt, Peak Doubt, & Peak Double-Down Time to Hike Rates It makes little sense to me why the market is only pricing a 6% probability of a rate hike at the October meeting, 30% for December, and only a near 50/50 probability all the way out to March 2016. The statutory mandates of the […]
The Latest Evidence That Global Trade Has Collapsed: India’s Exports/Imports Plunge By 25%
The Latest Evidence That Global Trade Has Collapsed: India’s Exports/Imports Plunge By 25% Late last month, India surprised 51 out of 52 economists when the RBI cut rates by 50bps. Although economists have a reputation for being terrible when it comes to making predictions (getting it wrong perpetually is almost a job requirement), it’s difficult […]
Wal-Mart’s Worst Stock Crash In 27 Years Is Another Sign That The Economy Is Rapidly Falling Apart
Wal-Mart’s Worst Stock Crash In 27 Years Is Another Sign That The Economy Is Rapidly Falling Apart Now that a major global recession has begun, you would expect major retailers like Wal-Mart to run into trouble as consumer spending dries up, and that is precisely what is happening. On Wednesday, shares of Wal-Mart experienced their largest […]
Central bankers must have the courage to act before a crisis: Don Pittis
Central bankers must have the courage to act before a crisis: Don Pittis Are our bankers-in-chief always condemned to crisis management? Are central bankers always destined to be too late? This weekend, two of that august fraternity were strutting their stuff. Former U.S. Fed chairman Ben Bernanke was busy promoting his new book called The Courage to […]
The Mindless Stupidity of Negative Interest Rates
The Mindless Stupidity of Negative Interest Rates Here we are in the midst of The Great Stagnation Middle Class Elimination and some central bankers and mainstream economists are promoting negative interest rates. One economist was quoted in a Marketwatch piece by Greg Robb as saying, “…pushing rates into negative territory works in many ways just like […]
The Hidden Debt Burden of Emerging Markets
The Hidden Debt Burden of Emerging Markets As central bankers and finance ministers from around the globe gather for the International Monetary Fund’s annual meetings here in Peru, the emerging world is rife with symptoms of increasing economic vulnerability. Gone are the days when IMF meetings were monopolized by the problems of the advanced economies […]
