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Prepare For Interest Rate Rises And Global Debt Bubble Collapse

November 9, 2017

 Prepare For Interest Rate Rises And Global Debt Bubble Collapse

– Diversify, rebalance investments and prepare for interest rate rises
– UK launches inquiry into household finances as £200bn debt pile looms
– Centuries of data forewarn of rapid reversal from ultra low interest rates
– 700-year average real interest rate is 4.78% (must see chart)
– Massive global debt bubble – over $217 trillion (see table)
– Global debt levels are building up to a gigantic tidal wave
– Move to safe haven higher ground from coming tidal wave

Source: Bloomberg

Last week, the Bank of England opted to increase interest rates for the first time in a decade. Since then alerts have been coming thick and fast for Britons warning them to prepare for some tough financial times ahead.

The UK government has launched an inquiry into household debt levels amid concerns of the impact of the Bank of England’s decision to raise rates. The tiny 0.25% rise means households on variable interest rate mortgages are expected to face about £1.8bn in additional interest payments whilst £465m more will be owed on the likes of credit cards, car loans and overdrafts.

The 0.25% rise is arguably not much given it comes against backdrop of record low rates and will have virtually no impact on any other rate. However it comes at a time of high domestic debt levels, no real wage growth and a global debt level of over $217 trillion.

Combined with low productivity across the developed world, experts are beginning to wonder how the financial system (and the individuals within) will cope.

After a decade of seeing negative real rates of interest many investors will be quietly celebrating that they may be about to see a turnaround for their savings. Many hope they will start being rewarded for their financial prudence as opposed to the punishing saving conditions of the last decade.

…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…

Yahoo Hacking Highlights Cyber Risk and Increasing Importance of Physical Gold

October 8, 2017

 Yahoo Hacking Highlights Cyber Risk and Increasing Importance of Physical Gold

– Yahoo admits every single one of 3 billion accounts hacked in 2013 data theft
– Equifax hacking and security breach exposes half of the U.S. population
– Some 143 million people vulnerable to identity theft
– Deloitte hack compromised sensitive emails and client data
– JP Morgan hacked and New York Fed hacked and robbed
– International hacking group steals $300 million
– Global digital banking  and financial system not secure

Hacking

Imagine there was a chemical disaster at a factory. The surrounding water and air supply are affected over hundreds of miles. Thousands of people, if not more, are affected.

There would be a national response. Governments would step in to ask why this had happened, how it was going to be dealt with and how it would be prevented.

More importantly, those affected would be notified with immediate effect. The responsible company would not set up a website inviting potential victims to log on with personal details in order to find out if and how badly they have been affected.

And if the company did do this then people and the government wouldn’t stand for it.

Imagine that another disaster happens a few months later, at another company. But it turns out the dangerous chemicals have been leaking into the environment for possibly the previous three months.

No-one knows the extent of the damage.

There would be uproar.

Yet there seems to be little reaction when the equivalent happens in the cyber world. Just this week, less than a month after the Equifax announcement, Yahoo have admitted all 3 billion accounts were compromised four years ago … four years ago …

This is just another example of repeated data breaches that have compromised the personal data and lives of billions of people.

…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…

 Gold Standard Resulted In “Fewer Catastrophes” – FT

September 29, 2017

  Gold Standard Resulted In “Fewer Catastrophes” – FT 

300 years ago last week on the 21st September, 1717 Sir Isaac Newton, Master of the Royal Mint of Great Britain, accidentally invented the gold standard.

Last month it was the 46th anniversary of President Nixon ending the gold standard. Since then the world has existed on a system of fiat paper and digital currency. It works so badly that it has lead to the global financial crisis, unending debt issues and a dramatic devaluation in sovereign currencies.

Despite this, much of the media and central banking system remain supporters of the current financial and monetary status quo.

They are so convinced that the time before fiat money was a disaster that anyone who suggests otherwise is labelled a gold-bug and told to move along.

Last week, there was a glimmer of light when the Financial Times’ Matthew C. Klein uncovered some 18-year old research into the gold standard and a recent speech by a Bank of England economist.

Mr Klein although a young man has quite an impressive journalistic c.v. He writes for FT Alphaville and Bloomberg View about the economy and financial markets.

He previously wrote for the Economist magazine and before that, Klein was a research associate at the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR), where he spent more than two years studying the history of the Federal Reserve and the intellectual history of monetary economics.

Going off gold did the opposite of what many people think

Klein writing in FT Alphaville draws on research from former economics advisor to President Obama, Christina Romer:

Imagine you can choose between living in two kinds of societies:

  1. Dynamic world prone to wild swings and big crashes, but ultimately more growth in the long run
  2. Safe and stable world with greater consistency, less volatility, and much lower risk of catastrophe

…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…

“Financial Crisis” Coming By End Of 2018 – Prepare Urgently

July 14, 2017

“Financial Crisis” Coming By End Of 2018 – Prepare Urgently

“Financial Crisis Of Historic Proportions” Is “Bearing Down On Us”

John Mauldin of Mauldin Economics latest research note, Prepare for Turbulence, is excellent and a must read warning about the coming financial crisis. Mind refreshed from what sounds like a wonderful honeymoon and having had the time to read some books outside his “comfort zone” he has come to the conclusion that we are on the verge of  a “major financial crisis, if not later this year, then by the end of 2018 at the latest.”

Source: Financial Times

Mauldin is a New York Times bestselling author and respected investment expert and his excellent analysis concludes with advice to prepare urgently for the financial “crisis of historic proportions” which is “once again bearing down on us”:

“You and I can’t control whether banks are ready, but we can control whether we are ready. I am working on a number of fronts to help you. My brief time away convinced me beyond any doubt that a crisis of historic proportions is once again bearing down on us. We may have little time to prepare. We definitely have no time to waste.“

His financial crisis warning is important as Mauldin is no perma-bear. Indeed up until now his central thesis was that we were in the “muddle through economy” and that the U.S. economy and global economy would “muddle” along and we would avoid a financial crisis. So not only has he changed his central thesis but he has gone from being neutral and mildly positive to being very bearish and concerned about a severe financial crisis.

Mauldin is a long time advocate of owning physical gold including gold coins  as financial insurance – taking delivery and secure storage.

…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…

US: Five Must Gold See Charts – Gold Miners Are “Running Out” of Gold

December 24, 2016

US: Five Must Gold See Charts – Gold Miners Are “Running Out” of Gold

Gold Mining Companies Are Running Out of Gold: Five Must See Charts

  • ‘Peak gold’ – World’s gold production to peak in 2019 and decline
  • Gold found by miners has plunged 85% over past decade
  • Gold mining CEOs turning to deals to combat dwindling reserves
  • Exploration more difficult and firms have cut capex

The reality of peak gold production has recently been acknowledged by Bloomberg and some of the financial media. Yet the mainstream, non specialist financial media has yet to cover this important topic with obvious ramifications for the gold market and the gold price in the medium and long term.

Peak gold production is happening globally which is very positive for gold and gold mining shares. Bloomberg have again covered this important fundamental factor in the market and have done so with an article and five must see gold charts:

“Gold’s had a roller-coaster year, surging as much as 30 percent before giving up the bulk of those gains. But one trend has been consistent: mining companies are finding it harder to dig up more of the precious metal.

The following charts show why, and what that means for the industry:”


…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…

Perth Mint and U.S. Mint Cannot Meet Demand as Gold Bullion Demand Surges

August 1, 2015

Perth Mint and U.S. Mint Cannot Meet Demand as Gold Bullion Demand Surges

– Perth Mint sees surge in demand and cannot keep up with demand
– “Our biggest restriction is the amount of unrefined gold we’re getting in from producers”
– Very high demand for Perth Mint coins, bars coming from Asia, U.S. and Europe
– U.S. Mint sees highest sales of gold coins in over 2 years
– U.S. Mint restrictions on silver coins due to very high demand
– Gold sentiment has moved from despondency to depression (see chart)
– Current negative sentiment despite strong demand is good contrarian indicator

31-07-2015_1
Perth Mint Gold Bar (1 kilo)

Depressed prices have led to the usual market response, a surge in physical demand for coins and bars globally.

This is confirmed in conversations we have had with our refiner and mint partners in recent days. There are growing shortages of supply of small coins and bars. This is resulting in delays in receiving bullion and indeed to rising premiums.

Asian gold demand picked up this week keeping premiums robust and slightly higher in the world’s top gold buying regions.

Treasurer for the Perth Mint, Nigel Moffatt has said that the mint has seen a surge in demand for physical gold since the price dropped below $1,100 per ounce.

In an interview on Bloomberg’s “First Up” show he said “Our biggest restriction is the amount of unrefined gold we’re getting in from producers”, adding, “everything we get in is going straight out the door as soon as we refine it.”

Moffatt says that the Perth Mint is seeing strong demand for kilo bars which go to Asia – particularly India, China and now Thailand – adding that traditional buyers in Asia tend to “stock up” on gold when the price falls.

There is also a huge demand for coins from individual buyers in the U.S. and Europe:

Gold “is going straight out the door as soon as we can find it.”

…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…

 

‘Titanic’ Global Economy May “Collapse” Warn HSBC – Gold Is Lifeboat

May 23, 2015

‘Titanic’ Global Economy May “Collapse” Warn HSBC – Gold Is Lifeboat

-“The world economy is like an ocean liner without lifeboats …” – HSBC
– Four areas of high risk identified by HSBC
– Risk of stock market crash
– Pension funds and insurers may not meet obligations
– Chinese recession may drag U.S. into recession or depression
– Premature rate rise would expose very fragile global economy
– “There aren’t enough lifeboats to go round”
– Gold vital lifeboat when global ship strikes iceberg  

 

goldcore_chart1_22-05-15
The chief economist of the world’s third largest bank, HSBC’s Stephen King, has compared the global economy to the Titanic.

In a note to clients on Wednesday he wrote “We may not know what will cause the next downswing but, at this stage, we can categorically state that, in the event we hit an iceberg, there aren’t enough lifeboats to go round.”

“The world economy is like an ocean liner without lifeboats.” As we have been warning in recent months, when another recession arrives, governments do not have the ability or the reserves to prop up the economy like they did in 2008.

Global debt has soared by 40 percent since the Great Recession. We now have a staggering $200 trillion of debt globally, or almost three times the size of the global economy. It would be a “truly titanic struggle” for policymakers to right the economy, King said.

He believes that we are now nearer to the next global recession than we are to the last one which ended six years ago. In that time, however, the world has amassed mountains of new unpayable debt – expanding 25% in the last six years – and the U.S. economy has been sluggish despite an unprecedented wave of money printing which was intended to boost the economy. Indeed, post recession growth has never been so anaemic in recent history.

goldcore_chart2_22-05-15

…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…

 

 

 

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