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Tag Archives: balance sheet
Why the Fed, Nor Any Central Bank, Can Ever Truly “Normalize”
Why the Fed, Nor Any Central Bank, Can Ever Truly “Normalize” Last week, I highlighted that since ’00, when the Federal Reserve has ceased adding to its balance sheet or begun “normalizing” (via rolling off assets), equity markets have swooned (detailed HERE). A simple idea today…that the end of population growth (where it matters) has long been upon […]
Seeds of Market Collapse in the Federal Reserve’s “Autopilot” Balance Sheet Normalization
Seeds of Market Collapse in the Federal Reserve’s “Autopilot” Balance Sheet Normalization A lot of talk last week centered around the potential for the Federal Reserve to revise their planned “normalization” of holdings on their balance sheet. In particular in the post FOMC press conference, Powell said, “I think that the runoff of the balance sheet […]
U.S. Government Financial Balance Sheet One Step Closer To Blowing Up
U.S. Government Financial Balance Sheet One Step Closer To Blowing Up The U.S. Government’s balance sheet is one step closer to blowing up as its debt, and interest expense hit new record highs. And when I say “new record highs,” I am not exaggerating. It’s been a while since I checked the data on the […]
The Fed’s QE Unwind Hits $250 Billion
The Fed’s QE Unwind Hits $250 Billion Here’s my math when this “balance sheet normalization” will end. In August, the Federal Reserve was supposed to shed up to $24 billion in Treasury securities and up to $16 billion in Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS), for a total of $40 billion, according to its QE-unwind plan – […]
Fed’s QE Unwind Accelerates Sharply
Fed’s QE Unwind Accelerates Sharply With a sense of urgency. No more dilly-dallying around. The Fed’s balance sheet for the week ending January 31, released this afternoon, completes the fourth month of QE-unwind. And it’s starting to be a doozie. This “balance sheet normalization” impacts two types of assets: Treasury securities and mortgage backed securities […]
QE…The Gift That Just Kept Giving…Is Now Taking
QE…The Gift That Just Kept Giving…Is Now Taking I know the Federal Reserve doesn’t effectively create money or directly monetize. I know this because then Fed chief, Ben Bernanke, told us so (HERE). But still, something has me wondering about that exchange, now almost a decade ago. The simplest of math. The plan to utilize quantitative […]
The Fed’s Great Unwind: Will It Sink Us?
THE FED’S GREAT UNWIND: WILL IT SINK US? In the eyes of many people, the Federal Reserve (Fed) is an indispensable institution. We are told it supports growth and employment, fends off the negative shocks, and fights inflation. Nothing could be farther from the truth. The Fed’s fiat money regime is economically and socially highly […]
Abracadabra
Abracadabra And so, as they say in the horror movies, it begins…! The unwinding of the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet. Such an esoteric concept! Is there one in ten thousand of the millions of people who sit at desks all day long from sea to shining sea who have a clue how this works? Or […]
The Fed’s QE-Unwind is Really Happening
The Fed’s QE-Unwind is Really Happening Fed’s assets drop to lowest level in over three years. The Fed’s balance sheet for the week ending December 6, released today, completes the second month of the QE-unwind. Total assets initially zigzagged within a tight range to end October where it started, at $4,456 billion. But in November, […]
Benn Steil: The Fed Could be Tightening More Than it Realizes
BENN STEIL: THE FED COULD BE TIGHTENING MORE THAN IT REALIZES Ten years ago, before the collapse of Lehman Brothers rocked global financial markets, the Fed’s balance sheet stood at $925 billion—mostly U.S. Treasuries. After fifty-nine months of asset purchases to push down longer-term interest rates, it had ballooned to a peak of $4.5 trillion, […]
Federal Reserve Hesitates on QE Unwind / Balance Sheet Reduction
Federal Reserve Hesitates on QE Unwind / Balance Sheet Reduction Is the Federal Reserve’s Great Unwind already coming unwound? I thought it would be good to check up on Federal Reserve balance sheet reduction since the Fed is supposed to be up and running on the move out of quantitative easing this month. It should […]
“This Is Most Worrying”: In One Year, Central Bank Liquidity Will Collapse From $2 Trillion To Zero
“This Is Most Worrying”: In One Year, Central Bank Liquidity Will Collapse From $2 Trillion To Zero Is it complacency, or simply trader paralysis? A question we first asked three months ago is getting a second wind this morning, when in a report by Deutsche Bank’s Alan Ruskin, the macro strategist points out that “the […]
The Courage to Normalize Monetary Policy
The Courage to Normalize Monetary Policy A decade after the onset of the global financial crisis, it seems more than appropriate for central bankers to move the levers of policy off their emergency settings. A world in recovery – no matter how anemic it may be – does not require a crisis-like approach to monetary […]
Why Economic Data No Longer Matters
Why Economic Data No Longer Matters Back in mid-2009, we said that with the Fed and central banks nationalizing capital markets, macro and even micro data and newsflow will matter increasingly less and less, and the only thing that does matter is the Fed’s weekly H.4.1 statement, showing the changes to the Fed’s balance sheet. […]
BofA: Even The Bubbles Are Becoming More “Bubbly” Thanks To Central Banks
BofA: Even The Bubbles Are Becoming More “Bubbly” Thanks To Central Banks Back in June, Citi’s credit strategist Hans Lorenzen pointed out that while QE had failed to spark inflation across the broader economy, it had achieved something else: “the principal transmission channel to the real economy has been… lifting asset prices.” That however has […]
