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Oh, Greece!

Oh, Greece!

Greece’s bailout program is not working. After receiving hundreds of billions of Euros in new loans to stave off a sovereign default, Greeks are on the verge of electing a new government that may throw Eurozone politics into turmoil.

From the outset, this was always going to be a tricky one for European bureaucrats and lenders. Restoring the solvency of a state which historically had great difficulties in collecting taxes from its citizens was not going to be easy. Moreover, the crash exposed fundamental flaws in the Greek economy, which at the time turned out to be a leading indicator for other Southern Eurozone countries.

With the world still reeling from the Great Recession, in 2010 Greece applied for a rescue program as its funding costs soared once the fragility of its finances could no longer remain hidden.

It can be argued that if debt balances had been restructured there and then to levels where they could actually be paid off over an extended period of time, together with unpleasant but sensible fiscal policies – as we shall see, taking into account important differentiators of the Greek economy – the cost of the bailout could have been much more manageable.

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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