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China Won’t Be Taking Over

January 10, 2019

China Won’t Be Taking Over Pablo Picasso Massacre in Korea 1951 In the New Year, after a close to the old one that was sort of terrible for our zombie markets, do prepare for a whole lot of stories about China (on top of Brexit and Yellow Vests and many more windmills fighting the Donald). […]

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The Fourth Turning & War of the Worlds

November 5, 2018

THE FOURTH TURNING & WAR OF THE WORLDS “In retrospect, the spark might seem as ominous as a financial crash, as ordinary as a national election, or as trivial as a Tea Party. The catalyst will unfold according to a basic Crisis dynamic that underlies all of these scenarios: An initial spark will trigger a […]

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Bubbles, Balloons, Needles and Pins

October 19, 2018

Bubbles, Balloons, Needles and Pins M. C. Escher Meeting (Encounter) 1940 It’s no surprise that China has its own plunge protection team -but why were they so late?-, nor that Beijing blames its problems on Trump’s tariffs. GDP growth was disappointing at 6.5%, but who’s ever believed those almost always dead on numbers? It would […]

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Hot War and Cold Markets

April 13, 2018

Hot War and Cold Markets This is turning into a comedy. A black comedy, for sure, but still. As both the Skripal novichok ‘poisoning’ case in Britain and the ‘chemical attack’ in Douma, Syria fall flat on their faces on a total and absolute lack of evidence, it’s becoming clear that western ‘authorities’ are not […]

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Obstacles to Trump’s ‘Growth’ Plans

November 30, 2016

Obstacles to Trump’s ‘Growth’ Plans Theodor Horydczak “Dome of US Capitol through trees at night” 1943For the second time in a few weeks (see ‘End of Growth’ Sparks Wide Discontent), former British diplomat Alastair Crooke quotes me extensively, and I gladly return the favor. Crooke here attempts to list -some of- the difficulties Donald Trump will face in executing […]

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Is China About To Drop A Devaluation Bomb?

January 27, 2016

Is China About To Drop A Devaluation Bomb?   Though she had no intention of being funny, we laughed out loud, as undoubtedly many did with us, when incumbent and wannabe IMF head Christine Lagarde said last week in Davos that China has a communication issue. Of course, Lagarde knows full well that Beijing has much […]

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China’s Slow-Motion Sleight Of Hand Shatters

January 4, 2016

China’s Slow-Motion Sleight Of Hand Shatters The Chinese stock markets broke through 2 circuit breakers today, breakers that were introduced only a few months ago in response to the market selloff, triggered by a surprise yuan devaluation, in August. The first breaker, at -5%, forced a 15-minute trading halt. The second one, at -7%, halted […]

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The Great Fall Of China Started At Least 4 Years Ago

November 19, 2015

The Great Fall Of China Started At Least 4 Years Ago Looking through a bunch of numbers and graphs dealing with China recently, it occurred to us that perhaps we, and most others with us, may need to recalibrate our focus on what to emphasize amongst everything we read and hear, if we’re looking to […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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