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2020 Will Be A Crucial Year For Oil

2020 Will Be A Crucial Year For Oil It’s the start of a new year and a new decade, and the oil market is as unpredictable as ever. Will OPEC+ extend its cuts? Will U.S. shale finally grind to a halt? Is this the “year of the electric vehicle”? Here are 10 stories to watch […]

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The Drilling Frenzy Is Over For U.S. Shale

The Drilling Frenzy Is Over For U.S. Shale A few high-profile shale executives say the glory days of shale drilling are over. In a round of earnings calls, the financial results were mixed. A few companies beat earnings estimates, while others fell dramatically short. But aside from the individual performances, there were some more newsworthy […]

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The Warning Signs Are Flashing for U.S. Shale

The Warning Signs Are Flashing for U.S. Shale U.S. oil production growth has slammed on the breaks, as low prices and the loss of access to capital markets has forced a slowdown in drilling. Third quarter earnings reports will soon start to trickle in. Three months ago, the shale industry saw improvement in some of the headline […]

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Be Wary Of Unrealistic Shale Growth Expectations

Be Wary Of Unrealistic Shale Growth Expectations U.S. shale drillers are facing a serious problem: Their wells are not producing as much oil and gas as they had anticipated. When facing shareholder scrutiny, shale drillers have countlessly hyped the litany of technological breakthroughs, efficiency gains and innovative drilling techniques. Indeed, production from U.S. E&Ps has […]

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Nothing To See Here, It’s Just Everything

Nothing To See Here, It’s Just Everything The politics of oil are complicated, to say the least. There’s any number of important players, from OPEC to North American shale to sanctions. Relating to that last one, the US government has sought to impose serious restrictions upon the Iranian regime. Choking off a major piece of […]

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A Crisis At The Heart Of U.S. Shale

A Crisis At The Heart Of U.S. Shale The bottlenecks in the Permian are starting to capture the attention of the oil market, raising the prospect that U.S. shale production does not live up to the hype. The frenzy in West Texas has predictably led to bottlenecks up and down the supply chain. Oil drillers […]

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U.S. Shale’s Dirty Secret

U.S. Shale’s Dirty Secret U.S. shale is surging, threatening to take even more market share away from OPEC. But the prospect of U.S. oil edging out barrels from the Middle East is not nearly as simple as it might seem. Oil coming from the major shale plays in the U.S. is light and sweet, while […]

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Is The Sky The Limit For U.S. Shale?

Is The Sky The Limit For U.S. Shale? The IEA’s forecast that U.S. shale will dominate the oil market over the next three years because of skyrocketing shale production made global headlines on Monday, but the conclusions should not be taken as gospel. The industry could run into a series of headwinds that could slow […]

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Shale Pioneer Issues Warning To US Drillers

Shale Pioneer Issues Warning To US Drillers U.S. shale has effectively upended the oil industry, with predictions that total U.S. oil production will surpass Saudi Arabia’s output this year, in turn rivalling Russia’s to become the preeminent global producer. From its position of being dependent on, and subordinate to OPEC, the U.S. has seemingly become […]

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Geopolitical Risk Is On The Rise In Oil Markets

Geopolitical Risk Is On The Rise In Oil Markets In the long-term, many oil analysts expect the world to become increasingly dependent on oil production from the Middle East, as U.S. shale fades in importance. However, geopolitical turmoil is already causing disruptions in major oil-producing countries in the Middle East, raising questions about the region’s […]

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Peak U.S. Shale Could Be 4 Years Away

Peak U.S. Shale Could Be 4 Years Away U.S. shale production growth has outperformed even the most bullish forecasts, forcing OPEC and the International Energy Agency (IEA) to revise up American supply growth projections month after month. The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) also expects shale/tight oil to continue to grow in all possible modeled […]

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WTI Tumbles To $62 Handle After IEA Predicts “Explosive” US Shale Production As Oil Prices Surge

WTI Tumbles To $62 Handle After IEA Predicts “Explosive” US Shale Production As Oil Prices Surge Update: The IEA report has impact prices – as would be expected – sending WTI back below the crucial support level of $63 once again… With WTI Futures net long positioning at extreme longs, one wonders if $63 can […]

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U.S. Shale Can’t Offset Record-Low Oil Discoveries

U.S. Shale Can’t Offset Record-Low Oil Discoveries The U.S. shale resurgence has been one of the main themes in oil markets this year, while OPEC’s production cut deal to deplete the oil overhang and boost oil prices has been the other key development in 2017. U.S. shale production is expected to grow over the next […]

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The ‘Unknown Unknowns’ That Threaten U.S. Shale

The ‘Unknown Unknowns’ That Threaten U.S. Shale Three years after the oil price crash, the U.S. shale patch is on its second growth phase and is expected to continue to increase its production, at least through the next five years. The global oil markets have become increasingly dependent on U.S. tight oil supply—and the oil […]

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A Desperate OPEC Asks US Shale For Help In Cutting Oil Output

A Desperate OPEC Asks US Shale For Help In Cutting Oil Output While OPEC has been presenting an optimistic facade in recent months, repeating at every oppostunity that the global oil market is “rebalancing” and demand is rising, the oil production cartel made a rare slip today when it addressed what should not be named […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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