Home » Posts tagged 'trends'
Tag Archives: trends
Why central banks cannot really Manage Anything
Why central banks cannot really Manage Anything QUESTION: Marty you recently said that “the entire problem of lowering interest rates to ‘stimulate’ the economy demonstrates that central banks cannot really manage anything.” Is this statement really true? BG ANSWER: Absolutely. There is a basic presumption in all human activity that somehow we possess the power […]
Why You Should Expect the Unexpected
Why You Should Expect the Unexpected End of the Road The confluence of factors that influence market prices are vast and variable. One moment patterns and relationships are so pronounced you can set a cornerstone by them. The next moment they vanish like smoke in the wind. One thing that makes trading stocks so confounding […]
The Genie’s Out of the Bottle: Eight Defining Trends Are Reversing
The Genie’s Out of the Bottle: Eight Defining Trends Are Reversing Though the Powers That Be will attempt to placate or suppress the Revolt of the Powerless, the genies of political disunity and social disorder cannot be put back in the bottle. The saying “the worm has turned” refers to the moment when the downtrodden […]
Climate Change has Nothing to do with the Sun?
Climate Change has Nothing to do with the Sun? COMMENT: You are wrong. This chart proves you are wrong and it is mankind that is creating global warming. The sun activity has been declining for 35 years and the temperature is rising. That proves you are wrong. PL REPLY: First of all, the chart you […]
The Big Reversal: Inflation and Higher Interest Rates Are Coming Our Way
The Big Reversal: Inflation and Higher Interest Rates Are Coming Our Way This interaction will spark a runaway feedback loop that will smack asset valuations back to pre-bubble, pre-pyramid scheme levels. According to the conventional economic forecast, interest rates will stay near-zero essentially forever due to slow growth. And since growth is slow, inflation will […]
China To Dictate Energy Growth In Coming Years
China To Dictate Energy Growth In Coming Years Natural gas, renewables expected to grow significantly The EIA released this year’s International Energy Outlook today, outlining expected trends in energy through 2040. The International Energy Outlook predicts that total world energy consumption will grow by 28 percent between 2015 and 2040, primarily driven by non-OECD countries. Non-OECD Asia […]
Uncertainty and the Humility of Forecasting an Unknowable Future
Uncertainty and the Humility of Forecasting an Unknowable Future While we’re being reassured that all these grandiose promises are resting on trends that are as reliably predictable as the tides, the next easily predictable crisis will very likely reveal the trends are speculative bubbles that will predictably burst in a devastating reversion. Certainty and uncertainty […]
A Landscape of Dreams
A Landscape of Dreams Maybe it’s just the psychology of selective attention, but tolerably often when I want to go into more detail about a point made in a previous essay here, stories relevant to that point in one way or another start popping up on the news. That’s been true even during this blog’s […]
Right or Wrong – The Dark Side of Human Nature
Right or Wrong – The Dark Side of Human Nature I greatly appreciate the confidence saying I am never wrong. But on an individual level,NOBODY can possibly be right all the time. This is why I try to emphasize that the numbers are the numbers and that all we can do is watch how everything unfolds. […]
oftwominds-Charles Hugh Smith: In Uncharted Waters
ftwominds-Charles Hugh Smith: In Uncharted Waters. What I see as extremes that must necessarily end badly, others see as mere extensions of recently successful policies and trends. A long-time reader recently chastised me for using too many maybe’s in my forecasts. The criticism is valid, as “on the other hand” slips all too easily from qualifying a position […]
