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The US Corporate Debt Bomb, Europe’s Recession, and Systemic Risk in China
The US Corporate Debt Bomb, Europe’s Recession, and Systemic Risk in China Yesterday’s note caught a lot of attention. In it, we argued that investing in stocks today based on the Fed getting dovish is like buying stocks after the Bear Stearns deal: you’re buying based on a development that reveals the financial system is in […]
A Glimpse At 2019
A Glimpse At 2019 Markets In Critical Transformation, Chaotic Behaviour Has Just Began. Our inability as market participants to properly frame market fragility and the inherent vulnerability of the financial system makes a market crash more likely, as it helps Systemic Risk go unattended and build further up. For the first time in a while, […]
Never Mind Volatility: Systemic Risk Is Rising
Never Mind Volatility: Systemic Risk Is Rising So who’s holding the hot potato of systemic risk now? Everyone. One of the greatest con jobs of the past 9 years is the status quo’s equivalence of risk and volatility: risk = volatility: so if volatility is low, then risk is low. Wrong: volatility once reflected specific […]
Draghi Speech: Everything Is Awesome In Europe, No Signs Of Systemic Risks
Draghi Speech: Everything Is Awesome In Europe, No Signs Of Systemic Risks Mario Draghi gave the keynote speech at the Frankfurt European Banking Congress this morning in which he focused on the strong outlook for the Eurozone economy and how his monetary policy is playing a vital role. The speech was peppered with upbeat phrases […]
Corruption, resources, climate and systemic risk
Corruption, resources, climate and systemic risk Corruption is a loaded word. One person’s corruption is another’s sound social policy. Some people believe providing unemployment benefits to laid-off workers corrupts them by making them “lazy.” Many others think such benefits are sound social policy in an economic system that is prone to major cyclical ups and […]
Rising Systemic Risk for all Markets
Rising Systemic Risk for all Markets We are on the precipice of what can only be described as rising systemic risk for all markets. The Fed is now hinting that banks should prepare for NEGATIVE INTEREST RATES and this insanity of following the crowd is undermining the entire world economy. The increasingly unstable footing that we find ourselves […]
The Global Economy Could Fall Farther and Faster Than Pundits Expect
The Global Economy Could Fall Farther and Faster Than Pundits Expect Systemic fragility doesn’t respond to central bank jawboning or Keynesian claptrap; unlike those “policy tools,” fragility is real. The core narrative of central bank/cartel capitalism is centralized agencies have the power to limit downturns and extend credit-based “good times” almost indefinitely. The centralized power bag […]
Like sheep to slaughter: You still aren’t grasping the systemic risk in the stock market (or else you would have sold everything already)
Like sheep to slaughter: You still aren’t grasping the systemic risk in the stock market (or else you would have sold everything already) (NaturalNews) If you still own stocks and mutual fund shares, you still aren’t grasping the systemic risk in the stock market. No matter what you claim to BELIEVE, it is your ACTIONS […]
US Bank Counterparty Risk Soars After Energy MTM Debacle
US Bank Counterparty Risk Soars After Energy MTM Debacle A few dots are starting to be connected now that we have exposed the debacle of The Fed’s decision to allow banks to mark-to-unicorn their energy loans. “Something” was wrong in recent weeks as the TED-Spread surged (implying rising counterparty uncertainty among banks) and then the last week – since The […]
Watch Carefully as Dangerous Economic Times Approach: “Nothing but Black Swans Ahead”
Watch Carefully as Dangerous Economic Times Approach: “Nothing but Black Swans Ahead” USA Watchdog’s Greg Hunter interviewed investment expert Jeff Berwick on the ominous signs headed our way in the near future, and in particular, in the month of September. Berwick has, like so many other voices, been on the forefront of warning about the instability of […]
Manipulation = Fragility
Manipulation = Fragility In markets distorted by permanent manipulation the most powerful incentive is to borrow as much money as you can and leverage it as much as you can to maximize your gains in risk-on asset bubbles. A core dynamic is laying waste to global financial markets: the greater the level of central bank/government manipulation, […]
