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Contrarian Thoughts on the Petro-Yuan and Gold-Backed Currencies

Contrarian Thoughts on the Petro-Yuan and Gold-Backed Currencies Rather than cheer the concept of a new currency, we’re better served to look at the velocity of that currency and the cycles of investing that currency in assets denominated in that currency for a low-risk return. Longtime readers know not to expect me to rubber-stamp anything, […]

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Poszar Was Right: Saudis Confirm Non-Dollar Oil Trade Plans In Davos

Poszar Was Right: Saudis Confirm Non-Dollar Oil Trade Plans In Davos Earlier this month, former NY Fed repo guru Zoltan Pozsar wrote one of his most important reports of 2022, in which he described how Putin could unleash hell on the Western financial system by demanding that instead of dollars, Russian oil exporters are paid in gold, […]

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Canada, the Petroyuan Thesis, and Balance of Trade Issues in Pictures

Canada, the Petroyuan Thesis, and Balance of Trade Issues in Pictures As NAFTA negotiations linger on, let’s step back and see what Trump’s threats are all about. The US has had a goods surplus with Canada every month since 1985. Nonetheless, Trump is incredibly annoyed at Canada and threatens to put tariffs on Canadian cars. […]

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Petroyuan is Only the Beginning, Pop Goes the Metals Market

Petroyuan is Only the Beginning, Pop Goes the Metals Market No boom today.  Boom tomorrow.  There’s always a boom tomorrow” — Susan Ivanova “Babylon 5” When Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (HKEX) bought the London Metals exchange in 2012 all the speculation about about the effects on gold trading.  The primary reason for buying the LME […]

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Another Step Towards Collapse of Petrodollar

Another Step Towards Collapse of Petrodollar image/youtube screen grab For the past year and half a major topic throughout the alternative press has been the new Chinese oil futures contract settled/priced in yuan. The fact that China is directly challenging the Federal Reserve Note, U.S. dollar, is quiet a significant change. For those that have […]

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China’s Growing Oil Demand Has Created A Geopolitical Dilemma

China’s Growing Oil Demand Has Created A Geopolitical Dilemma China has become the world’s largest oil importer, and despite establishing the largely successful yuan-denominated oil futures, Beijing will have to grapple with an overlooked geopolitical and economic consequence as it seeks to quench its thirst for oil and gas. As China relies more on both […]

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China’s Oil Futures Are Gaining Momentum

China’s Oil Futures Are Gaining Momentum China’s new oil futures contract is gaining some momentum as a fixture on the global oil market, although hurdles remain before it can become a key benchmark for Asia. China launched its yuan-denominated oil benchmark in March to much fanfare, after years of planning and delays. The logic of […]

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UBS: “The Petroyuan Will Undermine America’s Dominant Role And Create A Sea Change In Global Markets”

UBS: “The Petroyuan Will Undermine America’s Dominant Role And Create A Sea Change In Global Markets” From Hayden Briscoe, head of Fixed Income, Asia Pacific at UBS RMB-denominated oil contracts began trading for the first time in Shanghai on March 26. We believe that in the long term this will ultimately change how oil is […]

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3 Recent Events That Could Send the US Hurtling Toward World War III

3 Recent Events That Could Send the US Hurtling Toward World War III Recently, the news has been all abuzz with teen activists who want to take away our guns but refuse to use clear backpacks, the Facebook privacy scandal, and how someone bit Beyonce in the face. But there are three recent events that […]

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PetroYuan Futures Open – Over 10 BillIon Notional Trades In First Hour

PetroYuan Futures Open – Over 10 BillIon Notional Trades In First Hour After all the preparation, all the expectation, cheerleading and doomsaying, China’s Yuan-denominated crude oil futures contract began trading tonight and appears to be off a good start with well over 10 billion yuan notional traded within the first hour. So far it has […]

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China is One Signature Away From Dealing the Dollar a Death Blow

China is One Signature Away From Dealing the Dollar a Death Blow If you leave your sliding glass door open, you might let in a stray cat, raccoon, or bugs without knowing it. Some intruders are worse than others. All can be annoying. But let in a thief, who robs your home… and it only […]

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The World’s New Reserve Currency? Everything You Need To Know About PetroYuan

The World’s New Reserve Currency? Everything You Need To Know About PetroYuan Earlier this week, we pointed out that the ‘PetroYuan’ is on the verge of becoming reality with Graticule’s Adam Levinson noting that the birth of a yuan-denominated oil contract will be a “huge story” in the fourth quarter, and will be a “wake […]

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China’s rise, America’s fall

China’s rise, America’s fall Will the rise of China mean the fall of America?  In a word, yes. Although decline might be more accurate. Why do I think this?  Because China is about to launch the PetroYuan and when it does the demand for dollars and for dollar denominated debt will shrink. When it does, […]

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Gold-Backed Petro-Yuan Silliness: Reserve Currency Curse? 

Gold-Backed Petro-Yuan Silliness: Reserve Currency Curse?  A massive amount of hype is spreading regarding China’s alleged ambitions to dethrone the dollar. The story this time involves China’s plan is to price oil in yuan using a gold-backed futures contract. Even if that were true, the impact would be zero. Nonetheless, CNBC is now in on […]

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“It’s A Huge Story”: China Launching “Petroyuan” In Two Months

“It’s A Huge Story”: China Launching “Petroyuan” In Two Months  As a reminder, nothing lasts forever… The World Bank’s former chief economist wants to replace the US dollar with a single global super-currency, saying it will create a more stable global financial system. “The dominance of the greenback is the root cause of global financial […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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