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Olduvai III: Catacylsm
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Carbon-Tinted Glasses

Carbon-Tinted Glasses Most of us have heard the phrase rose-tinted glasses, meaning a tendency to view the world from an optimistic, rosy, point of view.  As we also know, when we look at things through only one perspective, we can gain an unrealistic view of reality.  There is nothing wrong with being optimistic, but if that blinkers us […]

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The Difference Between a Forecast and a Guess

The Difference Between a Forecast and a Guess Every forecast or guess has one refreshing quality: one will be right and the rest will be wrong. What’s the difference between a forecast and a guess? On one level, the answer is “none”: the future is unknown and even the most informed forecast is still a guess. The evidence for […]

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Dawn of Everything Conclusion

Dawn of Everything Conclusion Preface. Clearly for their conclusion to make sense you’ll need to read the book and see the evidence for yourself.  Since they challenge just about all of the ideas currently in fashion, you can find some pretty damning reviews of their book, but do not believe them, the several I’ve read […]

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Why do we need to think and act more systemically?

Why do we need to think and act more systemically? The power and majesty of nature in all its aspects is lost on one who contemplates it merely in the detail of its parts and not as a whole. — Pliny the Elder An increasing number of people are beginning to understand that the world we participate […]

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On Border Incident, US Sources Give One Perspective, Own, While Russian Source Gives Multiple, Including US

On Border Incident, US Sources Give One Perspective, Own, While Russian Source Gives Multiple, Including US These two stories make a fine illustration of why it is crucial to read broadly, pushing one’s comfort zone and challenging the tendency towards confirmation bias. This one, by Buzzfeed (an outlet funded, for example, by a $200 million […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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