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US Money Supply – The Pandemic Moonshot
US Money Supply – The Pandemic Moonshot Printing Until the Cows Come Home… It started out with Jay Powell planting a happy little money tree in 2019 to keep the repo market from suffering a terminal seizure. This essentially led to a restoration of the status quo ante “QT” (the mythical beast known as “quantitative […]
In Gold We Trust, 2020 – The Dawning of a Golden Decade
In Gold We Trust, 2020 – The Dawning of a Golden Decade The New In Gold We Trust Report is Here! The In Gold We Trust 2020 report by our good friends Ronald Stoeferle and Mark Valek was released last week. It is the biggest and most comprehensive gold research report in the world. As always it contains […]
Credit Markets – The Waiting Game
Credit Markets – The Waiting Game Everything and the Kitchen Sink After the first inter-meeting rate cut in early March, we opined that further rate cuts were a near certainty and that “not-QE” would swiftly morph into “QE, next iteration” (see Rate Cutters Unanimous for the details). As it turned out, the monetary mandarins did not even […]
The Weird Obsessions of Central Bankers, Part 1
The Weird Obsessions of Central Bankers, Part 1 How to Hang on to Greenland Jim Bianco, head of the eponymous research firm, handily won the internet last Thursday with the following tweet: Jim Bianco has an excellent idea as to how Denmark might after all be able to hang on to Greenland, a territory coveted […]
Writing on the Wall
Writing on the Wall Not Adding Up One of the more disagreeable discrepancies of American life in the 21st century is the world according to Washington’s economic bureaus and the world as it actually is. In short, things don’t add up. What’s more, the propaganda is so far off the mark, it is downright insulting. Coming […]
Feeling the Heat of a Civilization on the Downside
Feeling the Heat of a Civilization on the Downside An Epic Folly for the Ages Today we begin with a list. A partial list. And in no particular order… Angela Merkel. Donald Tusk. Mario Draghi. Donald Trump. Jerome Powell. Shinzo Abe. Haruhiko Kuroda. Theresa May. Boris Johnson. Mark Carney. Xi Jinping. Emmanuel Macron. Vladimir Putin. Justin Trudeau. Juan Trump. And many, many more… […]
Drain, drain, drain…
Drain, drain, drain… Money from thin air going back whence it came from – circling the drain of a ‘no reinvestment’ black hole strategically placed in its way by the dollar-sucking vampire bat Ptenochirus Iagori Powelli. Our friend Michael Pollaro recently provided us with an update of outstanding Fed credit as of 26 December 2018. […]
A Global Dearth of Liquidity
A Global Dearth of Liquidity Worldwide Liquidity Drought – Money Supply Growth Slows Everywhere This is a brief update on money supply growth trends in the most important currency areas outside the US (namely the euro area, Japan and China) as announced in in our recent update on US money supply growth (see “Federal Punch […]
The Federal Punch Bowl Removal Agency
The Federal Punch Bowl Removal Agency US Money Supply and Credit Growth Continue to Slow Down Not to belabor the obvious too much, but in light of the recent sharp rebound, the stock market “panic window” is almost certainly closed for this year.* It was interesting that an admission by Mr. Powell that the central […]
The Myth of Capitalism – A Book by Jonathan Tepper
The Myth of Capitalism – A Book by Jonathan Tepper Crony Capitalism vs. Free Markets Many of our readers are probably aware of the excellent work our friend Jonathan Tepper does for Variant Perception (VP)*****, a financial research boutique that really does bring a unique perspective to the table*. Jonathan (with co-author Denise Hearn) has […]
Fed Credit and the US Money Supply – The Liquidity Drain Accelerates
Fed Credit and the US Money Supply – The Liquidity Drain Accelerates Federal Reserve Credit Contracts Further We last wrote in July about the beginning contraction in outstanding Fed credit, repatriation inflows, reverse repos, and commercial and industrial lending growth, and how the interplay between these drivers has affected the growth rate of the true […]
Corporate Credit – A Chasm Between Risk Perceptions and Actual Risk
Corporate Credit – A Chasm Between Risk Perceptions and Actual Risk Shifts in Credit-Land: Repatriation Hurts Small Corporate Borrowers A recent Bloomberg article informs us that US companies with large cash hoards (such as AAPL and ORCL) were sizable players in corporate debt markets, supplying plenty of funds to borrowers in need of US dollars. […]
Not Just Fangs: Manias and Echo Bubbles Abound
Not Just Fangs: Manias and Echo Bubbles Abound It’s not just the FANGs investors should be worried about. A Tweet and an article explain. ✔ “With the FANG stocks faltering lately investors are starting to become concerned about their impact on the broader market. And there is certainly something to this.”https://app.hedgeye.com/insights/69386-it-s-more-than-just-fang-stocks-investors-should-be-worried-about?type=guest-contributors … 6:17 PM – Aug 3, […]
Stock Market Manias of the Past vs the Echo Bubble
Stock Market Manias of the Past vs the Echo Bubble The Big Picture The diverging performance of major US stock market indexes which has been in place since the late January peak in DJIA and SPX has become even more extreme in recent months. In terms of duration and extent it is one of the […]
