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What Can Cause the Next Mortgage Crisis in the US?

What Can Cause the Next Mortgage Crisis in the US? The soothingly low mortgage delinquency rate is a deceptive indicator: the New York Fed weighs in. Mortgage delinquencies at all commercial banks in the US inched down to 3.14% in the second quarter, the lowest since Q2 2007, according to the Federal Reserve. But after […]

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Why a US-Style Housing Bust & Mortgage Crisis Can Happen in Canada, Australia, and Other Bubble Markets

Why a US-Style Housing Bust & Mortgage Crisis Can Happen in Canada, Australia, and Other Bubble Markets Despite persistent and false memes to the contrary. When a housing downturn gets big enough, there will be a mortgage crisis, and it will hit banks, shadow banks, and mortgage insurers no matter what the mortgage laws are: […]

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The Next Debt-Clearing ‘Super Cycle’ Starts Now

The Next Debt-Clearing ‘Super Cycle’ Starts Now We are in the early stages of a great debt default – the largest in U.S. history. We know roughly the size and scope of the coming default wave because we know the history of the U.S. corporate debt market. As the sizes of corporate bond deals have grown over […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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