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Morgan Stanley Jumps On The $100 Oil Bandwagon
Morgan Stanley Jumps On The $100 Oil Bandwagon Morgan Stanley expects oil prices to hit $100 per barrel in the second half of the year, becoming the latest major Wall Street bank to expect triple-digit oil prices by the end of 2022. The oil market is headed to a “triple deficit” of low inventories, low […]
One Bank Crunches The Numbers On Oil Supply/Demand Dynamics, Reaches A Shocking Conclusion
One Bank Crunches The Numbers On Oil Supply/Demand Dynamics, Reaches A Shocking Conclusion With oil prices surging amid a broader global energy crisis, many are hoping that this particular price spike is truly transitory as incremental supply – whether from OPEC+ or shale – kicks in and resets the market lower. But maybe not so […]
China Has Ground To A Halt: “On The Ground” Indicators Confirm Worst-Case Scenario
China Has Ground To A Halt: “On The Ground” Indicators Confirm Worst-Case Scenario Back on Monday, when analysts and investors were desperately seeking clues whether China has managed to reboot its economy from the 2-week long hiatus following the Lunar New Year/Coronavirus pandemic amid the information blackout unleashed by the communist party in the already […]
Morgan Stanley: “Climate Will Be A Key Driver Of Asset Prices In The Months And Years Ahead”
Morgan Stanley: “Climate Will Be A Key Driver Of Asset Prices In The Months And Years Ahead” “Sunday Start”, authored by Morgan Stanley equity strategist, Jessica Alsford In three weeks, the world’s leaders will begin to gather in Madrid for the 25th United Nations Climate Change Conference. The intensity of the global climate strikes this […]
Why Morgan Stanley Thinks The S&P Is About To Crash
Why Morgan Stanley Thinks The S&P Is About To Crash Echoing Guggenheim’s fears that US equities are in for a dramatic collapse, Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson warns that “…if equity markets fail one more time at our key resistance point, we believe the reversal is likely to be sharper and deeper than one might expect, even if […]
The Fed, China, And The Markets
The Fed, China, And The Markets Amid market volatility and continued downside surprises in global growth, investors are focusing on the Fed and China. Regarding the Fed, the issue is whether and when it could signal potential changes in balance sheet normalisation (as it has on the policy rate path). On China, the question is […]
“Jarring” FedEx Outlook Cut Suggests “Severe Global Recession”
“Jarring” FedEx Outlook Cut Suggests “Severe Global Recession” FedEx shares tumbled 7% after what Morgan Stanley called a “jarring” cut to its annual forecasts, suggesting global growth is slowing far more than most expect, and prompting expectations of an “uber-dovish hike” by the Fed. The global logistics bellwether slashed its outlook just three months after […]
To One Bank, This Is The Flashing Red Warning That A Crash Is Dead Ahead
To One Bank, This Is The Flashing Red Warning That A Crash Is Dead Ahead For much of 2018, the prevailing market theme was the one Morgan Stanley dubbed “rolling bear markets” when any time a given asset was hit, whether emerging markets, Italian bonds, or tech stocks, money would simply rotate from one place […]
Morgan Stanley: “We Have Hit The Tipping Point”
Morgan Stanley: “We Have Hit The Tipping Point” Having been one of the most bearish voices on Wall Street for a good part of 2018, with downgrades of small caps and tech stocks earlier this summer and one month ago going so far as to call the peak of both Treasurys (in September) and Stocks […]
Morgan Stanley: The Tech Bubble “Can Burst At Any Moment, Without Warning”
Morgan Stanley: The Tech Bubble “Can Burst At Any Moment, Without Warning” Earlier this week, Goldman Sachs, whose market-timing calls leave much to be desired, declared that tech stocks are “not a bubble”, and went so far as to predict that the secular increase in tech names could continue for decades, spawning vivid memories of […]
Italian Bonds Tumble, Triggering Goldman “Contagion” Level As Political Crisis Erupts In Spain
Italian Bonds Tumble, Triggering Goldman “Contagion” Level As Political Crisis Erupts In Spain When it comes to the latest rout in Italian bonds, which has continued this morning sending the 10Y BTP yield beyond 2.40%, a level above which Morgan Stanley had predicted fresh BTP selling would emerge as a break would leave many bondholders, […]
“Worst Case Scenario” Emerging: Morgan Stanley Warns “Selling Has Shifted”
“Worst Case Scenario” Emerging: Morgan Stanley Warns “Selling Has Shifted” Confirming JPMorgan’s “worst case scenario” that forced de-levering in vol-based strategies would lead to retail ETF outflows and create a vicious cycle downwards, Morgan Stanley’s Christopher Metli warns that today’s moves lower are likely not being driven by systematic supply – this appears to be […]
Liquidity Provider Signals Collapse In Global ETF Trading
Liquidity Provider Signals Collapse In Global ETF Trading Trading in low cost, passive investment products might be more vulnerable than some thought. Global ETF trading collapsed by 14% in Q3 2017 versus Q2 2017 – and was described as “unusually slow”. Global ETF trading in September 2017 was 24% lower than the same month a […]
Major Problems Announced At One Of The Largest Too Big To Fail Banks In The United States
Major Problems Announced At One Of The Largest Too Big To Fail Banks In The United States Do you remember when our politicians promised to do something about the “too big to fail” banks? Well, they didn’t, and now the chickens are coming home to roost. On Thursday, it was announced that one of those […]
