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Peter Schiff: A Massive Fiscal Time Bomb

Peter Schiff: A Massive Fiscal Time Bomb Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell knew fighting inflation would cause big problems in a bubble economy loaded up with debt. He put it off as long as he could, calling inflation “transitory.” But once inflation became a huge problem, the central bank had no choice but to get […]

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The Economy May Be Finally Peaking, and the Fed Won’t Help Matters

THE ECONOMY MAY BE FINALLY PEAKING, AND THE FED WON’T HELP MATTERS Here we go again it may seem to many. The Fed is preparing us for a policy tightening just when a powerful growth cycle upturn is faltering. Or is it in fact an example of another well-known type of error from Fed history—getting […]

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Inflation and Gold: What Gives?

Inflation and Gold: What Gives? In the last Supply and Demand update, we discussed some different theories which attempt to explain what causes the gold and silver prices to move. We mentioned the: “…attempt to hold up a famous buyer of metal, while ignoring the thousands of not-famous sellers who sold the metal to said famous buyer.” […]

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Gold Standard and Boom Bust Cycles

GOLD STANDARD AND BOOM BUST CYCLES According to the Austrian Business Cycle Theory (ABCT), the boom-bust cycle emerges in response to a deviation in the market interest rate from the natural interest rate, or the equilibrium interest rate. It is held that the major cause for this deviation is increases in the money supply. Based […]

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Monetary Inflation’s Game of Hide-and-Seek

MONETARY INFLATION’S GAME OF HIDE-AND-SEEK The May 12, 2021, press release from the Bureau of Labor Statistics reporting on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for the month of April sent the stock markets tumbling for two days and generated fodder for the news pundits with the announcement that the CPI measure of the cost-of-living had increased […]

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The U.S. Government Will Inflate To The Bitter End

The U.S. Government Will Inflate To The Bitter End The big news organizations say Joe Biden’s the next president of the USA.  That claims of election fraud and fixing are baseless.  Do you believe them?  Do you trust them? Regardless, Biden’s acting as if.  He’s talking to foreign leaders.  He’s meeting with vaccine makers.  He’s […]

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The monetary logic for gold and silver

The monetary logic for gold and silver A considered reflection of current events leads to only one conclusion, and that is accelerating inflation of the dollar’s money supply is firmly on the path to destroying the dollar’s purchasing power — completely. This article looks at the theoretical and empirical evidence from previous fiat money collapses […]

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Inflation, deflation and other fallacies

Inflation, deflation and other fallacies There can be little doubt that macroeconomic policies are failing around the world. The fallacies being exposed are so entrenched that there are bound to be twists and turns yet to come. This article explains the fallacies behind inflation, deflation, economic performance and interest rates. They arise from the modern […]

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Can An Increase In the Demand For Money Neutralize the Effect of a Corresponding Increase in Money Supply?

CAN AN INCREASE IN THE DEMAND FOR MONEY NEUTRALIZE THE EFFECT OF A CORRESPONDING INCREASE IN MONEY SUPPLY? According to popular thinking, not every increase in the supply of money will have an effect on the production of goods. For instance, if an increase in the supply is matched by a corresponding increase in the […]

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The new deal is a bad old deal

The new deal is a bad old deal So far, the current economic situation, together with the response by major governments, compares with the run-in to the depression of the 1930s. Yet to come in the repetitious credit cycle is the collapse in financial asset values and a banking crisis. When the scale of the […]

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Weekly Commentary: More W than V

Weekly Commentary: More W than V The much vaunted “V” recovery is improbable. To simplify, a somewhat “w”-looking scenario is a higher probability. After such an abrupt and extraordinary collapse in economic activity, a decent bounce was virtually assured. Millions would be returning to work after temporary shutdowns to a substantial chunk of the U.S. […]

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Unintended Consequences of Monetary Inflation

UNINTENDED CONSEQUENCES OF MONETARY INFLATION “In short, the Fed is committed to rescue businesses from the greatest economic catastrophe since the great depression and probably even greater than that, to fund the US Government’s rocketing budget deficits, fund the maintenance of domestic consumption directly or indirectly through the US Treasury, while pumping up financial markets […]

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The looming derivative crisis

The looming derivative crisis  The powerful forces of bank credit contraction are at the heart of a rapidly evolving financial crisis in global derivatives, whose gross value is over $600 trillion; an unimaginable sum. Central banks are on course to destroy their currencies through unlimited monetary expansion, lethal for bullion banks with fractionally reserved unallocated […]

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What Will It Take to Get the Public to Embrace Sound Money?

What Will It Take to Get the Public to Embrace Sound Money?  In the last decade, the combination of virulent asset price inflation and low reported consumer price inflation crippled sound money as a political force in the US and globally. In the new decade, a different balance between monetary inflation’s “terrible twins” — asset […]

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A History of Inflationary Money: From 1844 to Nixon

A History of Inflationary Money: From 1844 to Nixon So that we can understand the financial and banking challenges ahead of us, this article provides an historical and technical background. But we must first get an important definition right, and that is the cause of the periodic cycle of boom and bust. The cycle of […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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