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Bank of America Explains How Central Banks Rigged And Manipulated The Market

January 3, 2016

Bank of America Explains How Central Banks Rigged And Manipulated The Market It used to be the provenance of “conspiracy theorists” – alleging that central banks have manipulated, rigged or otherwise broken the “efficient market.” That is no longer the case. As we previously showed, now even the big banks admit it. However, since for some […]

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The Market’s “Other” Panic Indicator Just Went Off The Charts

September 1, 2015

The Market’s “Other” Panic Indicator Just Went Off The Charts With indicators from macro-fundamentals (e.g. retail sales, core capex, inventory-to-sales) to market-oriented measures (VIX levels and backwardation, HY credit spreads, commodity prices) all flashing various colors of dead canary in the coal-mine red, we thought today’s colossal spike in the Arms (TRIN) Index was a notable addition. An Arms Index […]

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Mapping The World’s “Grey Swans”

July 10, 2015

Mapping The World’s “Grey Swans” As H2 2015 begins, Goldman looks at so-called “grey swans” – known market risks that could prove particularly disruptive. From China credit risks to Russia and from rate volatility to Russia with Middle East tensions, cyber threats, and illiquidity-induced ‘flash-crashes’, the known-but-not-priced-in risks are rising… because – simply put – central bank omnipotence […]

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oftwominds-Charles Hugh Smith: Where Will Risk Erupt This Time?

November 10, 2014

oftwominds-Charles Hugh Smith: Where Will Risk Erupt This Time?. So where has all the risk pooled up in the system? In foreign exchange (FX) markets, that’s where. One of the precepts of this blog is that risk cannot be disappeared, it can only be transferred or temporarily hidden from view. This runs counter to modern portfolio management, which […]

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Hussman Funds – Weekly Market Comment: On the Tendency of Large Market Losses to Occur in Succession – October 20, 2014

October 20, 2014

Hussman Funds – Weekly Market Comment: On the Tendency of Large Market Losses to Occur in Succession – October 20, 2014. Abrupt market losses typically reflect compressed risk premiums that are then joined by a shift toward increased risk aversion by investors. In market cycles across history, we find that the distinction between an overvalued […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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