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Dollar Libor Jumps To Fresh 10 Year High, Adding To Funding Headwinds

Dollar Libor Jumps To Fresh 10 Year High, Adding To Funding Headwinds It may be the bete noir of the credit market, but despite the gradual phase out of the infamous manipulated benchmark, Libor remains the reference rate for trillions in floating rate debt instruments, and in a further indication that monetary conditions are tightening […]

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You’re Paying Attention To The Wrong Interest Rate

You’re Paying Attention To The Wrong Interest Rate Lamensdorf Market Timing Report – Special Edition This special report by LMTR.com will highlight a few charts. Investors with a lot at stake should pay close attention to these gauges over the coming months. Failure to act on warning signs could be the difference between a comfortable […]

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Lie-Bor: Pitchforkers Rejoice

Lie-Bor: Pitchforkers Rejoice There’s a bit of a hullabaloo going on at the moment about LIBOR. And in truth, it is a pretty big deal. Yes, even bigger than whether or not Stormy Daniels got jiggetty with an old guy wearing a wig. And get this… even bigger than Kanye’s man-love for the same guy. What […]

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There is Over $7.5 Trillion In Debt That’s Highly Vulnerable To Rising Rates – Here’s What To Expect

There is Over $7.5 Trillion In Debt That’s Highly Vulnerable To Rising Rates – Here’s What To Expect The 10-year interest rate hit the critical level of 3% this morning. And this is the highest level it’s been since 2014 – four years ago. . . A couple months back, I highlighted the correlation of […]

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Fox in the Hen House: Why Interest Rates Are Rising

Fox in the Hen House: Why Interest Rates Are Rising On March 31stthe Federal Reserve raised its benchmark interest rate for the sixth time in 3 years and signaled its intention to raise rates twice more in 2018, aiming for a fed funds target of 3.5% by 2020. LIBOR (the London Interbank Offered Rate) has […]

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Wolf Richter: The Era Of The Fed “Put” Is Over

Wolf Richter: The Era Of The Fed “Put” Is Over It now wants lower asset prices (just not too fast) To all those investors expecting the Fed to step in to backstop the recent weakness seen in the stock market, Wolf Richter warns: The cavalry isn’t coming. After years of force-feeding too much liquidity into […]

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How Many Trillions In Debt Are Linked To Soaring LIBOR?

How Many Trillions In Debt Are Linked To Soaring LIBOR? Over the past month as Libor continued its relentless upward creep and is now higher for 37 consecutive sessions, the longest streak of advances since November 2005, and rising to 2.3118% while blowing out the Libor-OIS spread to a crisis-like 59bps, a cottage industry has […]

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“Where Will It Stop?”: Libor Spread Blows Out Beyond Eurocrisis Highs, Central Banks Intervention Awaited

“Where Will It Stop?”: Libor Spread Blows Out Beyond Eurocrisis Highs, Central Banks Intervention Awaited Until two days ago, the critical level for both the Libor-OIS and FRA-OIS spread was the “psychological level” of 50bps. This, however, was breached on Wednesday when as we reported Libor pushed significantly higher without a matching move in swaps. […]

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Interbank Market Collapsing

Interbank Market Collapsing QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; Has interbank lending collapse due to a lack of confidence concerning counter-party risk? Thank you for being a rare source with experience ER ANSWER: Yes that is a correct statement. The failure of Lehman and Bear Sterns was the result of interbank lending when they could not make good on […]

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Plunge in Interbank Lending: The Straw that Broke the Fed’s Back

Plunge in Interbank Lending: The Straw that Broke the Fed’s Back Interbank lending took a historic dive. Readers ask “What’s happening?” Let’s investigate. Interbank Lending Long Term The plunge in interbank lending is both sudden and dramatic. What’s going on? Fed Tightening Two Ways The short answer is a straw broke the Fed’s back. A […]

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Charting The Epic Collapse Of The World’s Most Systemically Dangerous Bank

Charting The Epic Collapse Of The World’s Most Systemically Dangerous Bank It’s been almost 10 years in the making, but the fate of one of Europe’s most important financial institutions appears to be sealed. After a hard-hitting sequence of scandals, poor decisions, and unfortunate events,Visual Capitalist’s Jeff Desjardins notes that Frankfurt-based Deutsche Bank shares are now down -48% on […]

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Kuroda’s NIRP Backlash – Japanese Interbank Lending Crashes

Kuroda’s NIRP Backlash – Japanese Interbank Lending Crashes Not only has the Yen strengthened and stocks collapsed since BoJ’s Kuroda descended into NIRP lunacy but, in a dramatic shift that threatens the entire transmission mechanism of negative-rate stimulus, Japanese banks (whether fearing counterparty risk or already over-burdened) have almost entirely stopped lending to one another. Confusion reigns everywhere […]

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They Broke the Silver Fix

THEY BROKE THE SILVER FIX Editor’s Note: Keith is testifying today before the Arizona Senate Financial Institutions Committee on a gold legal tender bill, which he also helped draft. There is also interest in his gold bonds proposal. Last Thursday, January 28, there was a flash crash on the price chart for silver. Here is a graph of the […]

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The Credit Crunch Is Back: Banks Scramble To Collateralize Loans To Record Levels

The Credit Crunch Is Back: Banks Scramble To Collateralize Loans To Record Levels One of the biggest quandaries of this cycle for the US economy has been the amount and growth of commercial bank loans. Virtually non-existent for the first three years of the centrally-planned new normal, something changed in 2012 at which point US […]

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Did Mario Draghi Just Leak The Bazooka? Two-Tiered NIRP System May Presage Big Rate Cut

Did Mario Draghi Just Leak The Bazooka? Two-Tiered NIRP System May Presage Big Rate Cut Back in September (and on several subsequent occasions), we discussed the implications of a further cut to the ECB’s depo rate. A plunge further into NIRP-dom would have serious consequences for the Riksbank, the SNB, the Nationalbank, and the Norges Bank. In […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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