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Olduvai III: Catacylsm
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Sudden Death? Junk-Rated Companies Headed for Biggest “Refinancing Cliff” Ever: Moody’s

Sudden Death? Junk-Rated Companies Headed for Biggest “Refinancing Cliff” Ever: Moody’s At the worst possible time. Most of the defaults, debt restructurings, and bankruptcies so far this year and last year were triggered when over-indebted cash-flow negative companies could not make interest payments on their debts. During the crazy days of the peak of the […]

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Weekly Commentary: China Hardens Peg and Brazil Goes to Junk

Weekly Commentary: China Hardens Peg and Brazil Goes to Junk Let’s this week begin with a cursory glance at the world through the eyes of the bulls. First, the global backdrop provides the Fed convenient cover to delay “liftoff” at next week’s widely anticipated FOMC meeting. Even if they do move, it’s likely “one and […]

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Brazil Cut To Junk By S&P, ETF Falls 5% Post-Mkt

Brazil Cut To Junk By S&P, ETF Falls 5% Post-Mkt It’s not as if the writing wasn’t on the wall, and don’t say we didn’t warn you. Brazil, whose economy officially slid into recession in Q2 – a quarter during which Brazilians suffered through the worst inflation-growth outcome (i.e. stagflation) in over a decade – and whose […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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