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Risk Was Never Low, It Was Only Hidden

October 4, 2021

Risk Was Never Low, It Was Only Hidden The vast majority of market participants are about as ready for a semi-random “volatility event” as the dinosaurs were for the meteor strike that doomed them to oblivion. Judging by euphoric gambler–oops I mean “investor”–sentiment and measures of volatility, risk of a market drop has been near-zero […]

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The Boomer Bomber, Naked Emperors and the End of Civility

October 28, 2018

The Boomer Bomber, Naked Emperors and the End of Civility Recently Hillary Clinton picked herself up off the couch to declare that it was time to end being civil to her political opponents.  Honestly, I thought this statement rich from someone who has so many dead bodies her scattered behind her. Being an Enemy of […]

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Beware Central Banks’ “Illusion Of Control”; Spitznagel Warns “If The Fed Hikes, Markets Will Go Down Very, Very Hard”

September 17, 2016

Beware Central Banks’ “Illusion Of Control”; Spitznagel Warns “If The Fed Hikes, Markets Will Go Down Very, Very Hard” Central banks have created a bubble in the stock market, which will come down “very, very hard” when it finally prices in a series of Fed rate hikes, said Universa’s Mark Spitznagel, warning that “the markets are […]

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The Federal Reserve: Illusion of Understanding, Illusion of Control

October 28, 2015

The Federal Reserve: Illusion of Understanding, Illusion of Control The net result is nonsensical policies that fail to achieve their stated objectives. We live in an era of illusion: the illusion of understanding, and the illusion of control. Few institutions reflect these illusions better than the Federal Reserve, though the Pentagon, Congress, the Imperial Presidency, the […]

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Stock market confessions, chaos, complexity and the illusion of control

September 6, 2015

Stock market confessions, chaos, complexity and the illusion of control In the old days of the Chinese Cultural Revolution those who said or did something perceived by the Chinese authorities to be counter-revolutionary were forced into public confessions–and then humiliated, imprisoned or even put to death. It seems that old ways die hard. Last week the new […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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