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“The World Is Sleepwalking Into A Financial Crisis”: Former UK PM Gordon Brown

Former British Prime Minister Gordon Brown warned that a leaderless world is sleepwalking towards a repeat of its near meltdown of the last significant financial crisis a decade ago.

Britain’s former prime minister – during the period when the collapse of Lehman Brothers triggered the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression – said that after a decade of stagnation the global economy is now moving into a “decade of vulnerability.”

We are in danger of sleepwalking into a future crisis,” Brown told The Guardian in a recent interview at his estate in Scotland. “There is going to have to be a severe awakening to the escalation of risks, but we are in a leaderless world.”

The former prime minister, who lost the 2010 election following Britain’s deepest recession on a post-war basis, said that countercyclical measures by governments and central banks have become widely exhausted. He warned the ability for global central banks to drop interest rates is not as readily possible today as it was a decade ago, while finance ministries would also have difficulty injecting fiscal stimulus, and here is the surprise: there is no guarantee that China would bail out the world, again.

“The cooperation that was seen in 2008 would not be possible in a post-2018 crisis both in terms of central banks and governments working together. We would have a blame-sharing exercise rather than solving the problem.”

Brown had its doubts that China would be as cooperative for the second time to provide a global stimulus, primarily due to the Trump administration’s trade war launched squarely at Beijing. “Trump’s protectionism is the biggest barrier to building international cooperation,” he said.

…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…

ECB & Helicopter Money

Mario Draghi

How to Run Gov for DummiesSo-called helicopter money involves using a central bank’s power to create money to directly inject funds either into government coffers or straight into the pockets of the public. Yet, nothing has been working and the ECB is now stating that they will continue to buy in debt, but they will also buy corporate debt. On the other side of the table lies the banks. The banks are advising the ECB what to buy so they can clean out the crap from their books. This is by no means in any textbook on how to manage the economy for dummies. The ECB is just shooting in the dark, hoping this will one day have some effect.

While in theory this should be creating money that would be inflationary, no such impact would take place if all they are doing is buying in debt from banks who are desperate to get their balance sheets in order. This money is just monetizing money already lost. Hence, they are not really creating helicopter money until the real money supply increases and passes through the banks into the hands of the public, which has NOT been taking place.

Central banks rely WAY TOO MUCH on commercial/investment banks who both front-run them in the markets of today. The ECB says they will buy corporates and the spread comes in 30bp instantly because the banks have a buyer who has announced they will be a buyer. Those in government are really clueless. When Gordon Brown announced in advance that he would see the British gold reserves, the price fell, the market bought the gold and then it rallied. Those in government have absolutely no idea how markets function.

…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…

We Are All Preppers Now

We Are All Preppers Now

Damian McBride is the former head of communications at the British treasury and former special adviser to Gordon Brown, erstwhile Prime Minister of the U.K. Yesterday he tweeted some surprising advice in response to the plunge in global equities markets.;

Advice on the looming crash, No. 1: get hard cash in a safe place now; don’t assume banks & cashpoints will be open, or bank cards will work.

Crash advice No. 2: do you have enough bottled water, tinned goods & other essentials at home to live a month indoors? If not, get shopping.

Crash advice No. 3: agree a rally point with your loved ones in case transport and communication gets cut off; somewhere you can all head to.

Evidently, McBride interprets the wipe-out of over $3 trillion in total global market cap during the three-day rout as a prelude to a much broader and deeper financial crash that will precipitate civil unrest. According to McBride,

We were close enough in 2008 and what’s coming is on 20 times that scale.

 

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