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The Enslavement of Infinite Money

The Enslavement of Infinite Money The phrase “don’t fight the Fed” is an unfortunate but popular delusion. It presupposes that the central bank has limitless power to direct the economy because it can print limitless money. I’m not sure where this idea comes from, but consider the fact that anyone today who is under 30 […]

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Monetary Looting

Monetary Looting The United States has historically bragged about its free and transparent markets. But what the Fed is doing today is pulling a dark curtain around the financing of this so-called free and transparent market. The public has no idea which Wall Street firms have received this $3 trillion or why they can’t borrow […]

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The Free Money Bubble Is About To Burst

The Free Money Bubble Is About To Burst Recently, there has been a parade of central bankers along with their lackeys on Wall Street coming on the financial news networks and desperately trying to convince investors that there are no bubbles extant in the world today. Indeed, the Fed sees no economic or market imbalances […]

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Fed Cuts Interest Rate 3rd Time in 2019 With Hints of a Pause

Fed Cuts Interest Rate 3rd Time in 2019 With Hints of a Pause The FOMC committee decided to lower the target range for the federal funds rate to 1-1/2 to 1-3/4 percent. Following the third rate cut in 2019, the Federal Reserve issued this short FOMC Statement. Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met […]

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Fed Cuts Rates Again, But Drops “Act As Appropriate” Pledge Signaling It Is Done Cutting

Fed Cuts Rates Again, But Drops “Act As Appropriate” Pledge Signaling It Is Done Cutting While the assumption is that Fed officials (having passed on the opportunity to lean against dovish market expectations) would not shock the market and vote to keep rates unchanged (96% odds and Fed has never surprised at that level), that’s […]

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NY Fed Announces Extension Of Overnight Repos Until Nov 4, Will Offer 8 More Term Repos

NY Fed Announces Extension Of Overnight Repos Until Nov 4, Will Offer 8 More Term Repos Anyone who expected that the easing of the quarter-end funding squeeze in the repo market would mean the Fed would gradually fade its interventions in the repo market, was disappointed on Friday afternoon when the NY Fed announced it […]

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Goldman: Here’s Why The Fed Is About To Shock The Market

Goldman: Here’s Why The Fed Is About To Shock The Market As discussed earlier, and as both Bank of America and JPM explained, the biggest risk for the market next week is if the Fed not only doesn’t cut – the market assigns a very low probability to such a “pre-emptive” move – but fails to signal an aggressive […]

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Weekly Commentary: Doing Harm with Uber-Dovish

Weekly Commentary: Doing Harm with Uber-Dovish This week’s FOMC meeting will be debated for years – perhaps even decades. The Fed essentially pre-committed to no rate hike in 2019. The committee downgraded both its growth and inflation forecasts. Having all at once turned of little consequence, we can now dismiss the 3.8% unemployment rate and […]

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The Fed Has Given Up: Get Ready for More QE

The Fed Has Given Up: Get Ready for More QE The Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee on Wednesday voted unanimously to keep the federal funds rate unchanged. Overall, the FOMC signaled it has made a dovish turn away from the promised normalization of monetary policy which the Fed has promised will be implemented “some day” for […]

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The Everything Bubble Has Met Its Needle… and It’s Named Jerome Powell

The Everything Bubble Has Met Its Needle… and It’s Named Jerome Powell In December, Jerome Powell confirmed that he is going to implement a financial reset. That reset will crash stocks. We know this because the Fed didn’t even HINT at tapering its Quantitative Tightening program at this latest Fed FOMC despite stocks staging the […]

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Weekly Commentary: Powell Federal Reserve Lowers “Fed Put” Strike Price

Weekly Commentary: Powell Federal Reserve Lowers “Fed Put” Strike Price I have little confidence history will get this right. Today’s overwhelming consensus view holds that Powell this week committed a major policy blunder. After his early-October “we’re a long way from neutral” “rookie mistake”, he has followed with a rate increase right in the throes […]

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Laughable FOMC Statements on Phillips Curve, Inflation Expectations

Laughable FOMC Statements on Phillips Curve, Inflation Expectations The Jan 30-31 FOMC minutes were published today. In addition to the usual drivel came laughable Phillips Curve nonsense. The Fed released its January 30-31 FOMC Meeting Minutes today. The minutes were a combination of the usual drivel about the economy plus some downright laughable comments on […]

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This Fed is on a Mission

This Fed is on a Mission QE Unwind starts Oct. 1. Rate hike in Dec. Low inflation, no problem. The two-day meeting of the FOMC ended on Wednesday with a momentous announcement that has been telegraphed for months: the QE unwind begins October 1. It marks the end of an era. The unwind will proceed […]

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Rate Hike Cycles, Gold, and the “Rule of Total Morons”

Rate Hike Cycles, Gold, and the “Rule of Total Morons” In response to Janet Yellen’s everything is OK speech following today’s balance sheet reduction notice by the FOMC committee, I received an interesting set of comments from Pater Tenebrarum at the Acting Man Blog regarding rate hike cycles, gold, and stock market peaks. “Rule of Total […]

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Yellen’s Balance Sheet Baloney

YELLEN’S BALANCE SHEET BALONEY Of the many questions reporters asked Janet Yellen on Wednesday, at her press conference following the FOMC’s decision to raise the Fed’s policy rates, my favorite was the very first, posed by the Financial Times‘ U.S. Economics Editor, Sam Fleming. Here is Mr. Fleming’s question: [You’ve stated that the Fed wants to […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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